HarrisDemocratic14.8%2,305TrumpRepublican84.5%13,115KennedyIndependent0.4%59
R+69.6- Lead
- 10,810
- Total
- 15,528
- vs nation
- R+68.1
- Turnout
- 49.5%
Akashiccounty
Campbell County, TN
Contests in this Place (88 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 49.5% of 31,515 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic16.3%2,441TrumpRepublican82.6%12,331JorgensenLibertarian0.7%101
R+66.2- Lead
- 9,890
- Total
- 14,933
- vs nation
- R+70.7
- Turnout
- 47.5%
ClintonDemocratic17.9%2,248TrumpRepublican78.8%9,870JohnsonLibertarian2.0%251
R+60.8- Lead
- 7,622
- Total
- 12,532
- vs nation
- R+62.9
- Turnout
- 40.4%
ObamaDemocratic27.5%3,328RomneyRepublican71.1%8,604OtherAll other candidates1.4%169
R+43.6- Lead
- 5,276
- Total
- 12,101
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic30.6%3,867McCainRepublican67.6%8,535OtherAll other candidates1.8%226
R+37.0- Lead
- 4,668
- Total
- 12,628
- vs nation
- R+44.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.7%6,163BushRepublican55.7%7,859OtherAll other candidates0.7%96
R+12.0- Lead
- 1,696
- Total
- 14,118
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic52.3%6,492BushRepublican46.6%5,784NaderGreen0.6%74
D+5.7- Lead
- 708
- Total
- 12,421
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.8%6,122DoleRepublican38.6%4,393PerotReform6.9%785
D+15.2- Lead
- 1,729
- Total
- 11,385
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+69.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,7612024 5-year
- Population density
- 83 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 480 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,5572024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.2 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Scott County, TN · twin score 96.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 49.5%15,614 participants ÷ 31,515 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.9 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off vs state
- -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 26.7%–34.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15,614 | 31,515 ± 187 | 49.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 7,671 | 31,129 ± 210 | 24.6% | Audited | A/A |
| 14,990 | 31,537 ± 216 | 47.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 10,340 | 31,346 ± 199 | 33.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,808 | 31,724 ± 187 | 40.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 12,101 | 31,628 | 38.3% | Derived | — | |
| 12,628 | 31,365 | 40.3% | Derived | — | |
| 14,118 | 31,102 extrapolated | 45.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 21 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 15,528 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -3/JSTA3/JSTA | 252 | 1,683 | 13 | 1,948 | 12.9% | 86.4% | R+73.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -1/VALV1/VALV | 210 | 1,404 | 10 | 1,624 | 12.9% | 86.5% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -2/LELM2/LELM | 190 | 1,197 | 6 | 1,393 | 13.6% | 85.9% | R+72.3 |
| Precinct -4/CARY4/CARY | 195 | 1,104 | 8 | 1,307 | 14.9% | 84.5% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -4/JACK4/JACK | 171 | 891 | 13 | 1,075 | 15.9% | 82.9% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -1/DEMR1/DEMR | 171 | 857 | 5 | 1,033 | 16.6% | 83.0% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct -2/ELAF2/ELAF | 170 | 831 | 14 | 1,015 | 16.7% | 81.9% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -4/RDGW4/RDGW | 169 | 720 | 6 | 895 | 18.9% | 80.4% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -3/CCHS3/CCHS | 116 | 714 | 11 | 841 | 13.8% | 84.9% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -5/JELL5/JELL | 163 | 672 | 3 | 838 | 19.5% | 80.2% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -5/HABR5/HABR | 49 | 520 | 4 | 573 | 8.6% | 90.8% | R+82.2 |
| Precinct -3/WLAF3/WLAF | 106 | 375 | 1 | 482 | 22.0% | 77.8% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -1/PNCR1/PNCR | 57 | 307 | 5 | 369 | 15.4% | 83.2% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -5/NEWC5/NEWC | 46 | 322 | 1 | 369 | 12.5% | 87.3% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -2/COHL2/COHL | 46 | 309 | 4 | 359 | 12.8% | 86.1% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -1/WLSP1/WLSP | 60 | 260 | 1 | 321 | 18.7% | 81.0% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -5/ELKV5/ELKV | 31 | 278 | 1 | 310 | 10.0% | 89.7% | R+79.7 |
| Precinct -1/ALSP1/ALSP | 35 | 272 | 2 | 309 | 11.3% | 88.0% | R+76.7 |
| Precinct -5/WHTO5/WHTO | 41 | 228 | 0 | 269 | 15.2% | 84.8% | R+69.5 |
| Precinct -5/LREC5/LREC | 18 | 129 | 0 | 147 | 12.2% | 87.8% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -4/CLMR4/CLMR | 9 | 42 | 0 | 51 | 17.6% | 82.4% | R+64.7 |
presidential history
Party record book
Campbell County, TN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
54.5%
5,206 votes · D+9.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 53.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
84.5%
13,115 votes · R+69.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 83.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
6,756votes
52.2% of the vote · D+14.4
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · 6,492 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,115votes
84.5% of the vote · R+69.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,331 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
+8.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.4 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +8.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+70.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +68.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RKen YagerState Senate · 12
RDennis PowersState House · 36
Seats representing Campbell County, TN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.6%2,127 | 85.4%12,440 | 14,567 |
| 2020 | R | 15.5%2,103 | 84.5%11,430 | 13,533 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 24,333 |
| 2018 | 23,763 |
| 2020 | 25,237 |
| 2022 | 23,158 |
| 2024 | 24,527 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+203 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,613 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,482 in average income, against $62,782 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+40.0 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Campbell County, TN itself (R+69.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anderson County, TN159R+35.7
- Knox County, TN153R+19.5
- Claiborne County, TN50R+70.1
- Whitley County, KY40R+69.3
- Scott County, TN28R+79.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Knox County, TN141
- Anderson County, TN120
- Claiborne County, TN40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +100 |
| 2012 | −91 |
| 2013 | −150 |
| 2014 | −176 |
| 2015 | +48 |
| 2016 | +159 |
| 2017 | +145 |
| 2018 | +152 |
| 2019 | +169 |
| 2021 | +424 |
| 2022 | +422 |
| 2023 | +910 |
| 2024 | +298 |
| 2025 | +203 |
Campbell County, anchored by the small city of Jellico along the Kentucky border, recorded an R+69.6 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in a state already trending toward single-party dominance in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 69.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.6 points.
A population of 39,761, a 96% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,557 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scott County and Jackson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Scott County
Tennessee
96.0twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Jackson County
Alabama
95.6twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ American ancestry
Union County
Tennessee
93.7twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Campbell County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Campbell County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Campbell County, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Campbell County, Tennessee voted Republican by 69.6 points (R+69.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,528 votes cast, 2,305 went Democratic and 13,115 went Republican.
When did Campbell County, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Campbell County, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Campbell County, Tennessee?
Campbell County, Tennessee has a population of 39,761 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Campbell County, Tennessee?
Median household income in Campbell County, Tennessee is $51,557 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Campbell County, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Campbell County, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.