† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLakeland-Winter Haven, FLFloridaUnited States
American10.6%7.7%5.3%
German8.2%8.9%12.5%
English8.0%8.2%9.5%
Irish6.8%8.2%9.4%
Italian3.7%5.6%4.8%
Polish1.5%2.1%2.2%
French1.4%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.4%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican12.1%5.6%1.8%
Mexican7.4%3.3%11.3%
Cuban2.4%7.3%0.7%
Venezuelan1.4%1.6%—
Dominican1.3%1.3%0.7%
Colombian1.1%2.1%0.4%
Guatemalan0.5%—0.5%
Honduran0.4%0.6%0.3%
African American†10.2%9.5%9.9%
Haitian1.6%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican0.9%1.5%0.4%
African0.8%0.5%0.5%
West Indian0.2%——
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Filipino0.5%0.5%0.9%
Chinese0.2%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Florida
United States
Median age
39.5
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
8.6%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.6%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Florida
United States
Median household income
$65,978
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.5%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.5%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
27.8%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
23.1%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
2.0%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.0%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Florida
United States
Catholic
9.5%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
23.8%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
58.5%
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+81.9%
1896
+57.8%
1900
+68.8%
1904
+69.7%
1908
+53.5%
1912
+66.4%
1916
+59.0%
1920
+35.9%
1924
+29.1%
1928
−23.3%
1932
+46.1%
1936
+43.0%
1940
+52.1%
1944
+43.7%
1948
+19.0%
1952
−3.3%
1956
−12.0%
1960
−14.6%
1964
−10.0%
1968
−15.9%
1972
−57.2%
1976
+3.3%
1980
−15.4%
1984
−40.7%
1988
−33.5%
1992
−9.9%
1996
−0.8%
2000
−9.0%
2004
−17.8%
2008
−6.1%
2012
−6.8%
2016
−14.1%
2020
−14.4%
2024
−20.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.2%Harris136,879
59.9%Trump209,044
0.3%Stein1,027 +5
R+20.7
R+6.3
R+19.2
348,931
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican59.9%209,044
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic39.2%136,879
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%1,027
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%1,017
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%451
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%252
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%252
OtherAll other candidates0.0%9
R
42.3%Biden145,049
56.7%Trump194,586
1.1%
R+14.4
R+0.4
R+18.9
343,256
R
41.3%Clinton117,433
55.4%Trump157,430
3.3%
R+14.1
R+7.2
R+16.2
284,314
R
46.1%Obama114,622
52.9%Romney131,577
1.0%
R+6.8
R+0.7
R+10.7
248,683
R
46.5%Obama113,865
52.6%McCain128,878
0.9%
R+6.1
D+11.7
R+13.4
244,833
R
40.8%Kerry86,009
58.6%Bush123,559
0.6%
R+17.8
R+8.9
R+15.4
210,830
R
44.6%Gore75,207
53.6%Bush90,310
1.8%
R+9.0
R+8.1
R+9.5
168,629
R
44.4%Clinton66,747
45.3%Dole67,962
10.3%
R+0.8
D+9.1
R+9.3
150,173
R
35.3%Clinton51,450
45.2%Bush65,963
19.5%
R+9.9
D+23.5
R+15.5
145,900
R
33.0%Dukakis38,249
66.4%Bush77,104
0.6%
R+33.5
D+7.2
R+25.8
116,040
R
29.7%Mondale35,516
70.3%Reagan84,246
0.0%
R+40.7
R+25.3
R+22.5
119,784
R
40.8%Carter43,327
56.1%Reagan59,651
3.1%
R+15.4
R+18.6
R+5.6
106,315
D
51.0%Carter47,286
47.7%Ford44,238
1.3%
D+3.3
D+60.5
D+1.2
92,706
R
21.2%McGovern16,419
78.4%Nixon60,748
0.4%
R+57.2
R+41.4
R+34.1
77,460
O
21.1%Humphrey15,898
37.0%Nixon27,839
41.9%
Wallace +4.9
R+5.8
R+15.2
75,277
R
45.0%Johnson29,355
55.0%Goldwater35,906
0.0%
R+10.0
D+4.6
R+32.6
65,261
R
42.7%Kennedy23,546
57.3%Nixon31,618
0.0%
R+14.6
R+2.7
R+14.8
55,164
R
44.0%Stevenson18,626
56.0%Eisenhower23,682
0.0%
R+12.0
R+8.7
D+3.5
42,308
R
48.4%Stevenson19,556
51.6%Eisenhower20,874
0.0%
R+3.3
R+22.2
D+7.5
40,430
D
52.6%Truman12,034
33.6%Dewey7,692
13.8%
D+19.0
R+24.8
D+14.5
22,892
D
71.9%Roosevelt13,152
28.1%Dewey5,150
0.0%
D+43.7
R+8.4
D+36.2
18,302
D
76.1%Roosevelt17,690
23.9%Willkie5,564
0.0%
D+52.1
D+9.2
D+42.2
23,254
D
71.5%Roosevelt10,441
28.5%Landon4,164
0.0%
D+43.0
R+3.1
D+18.7
14,605
D
73.1%Roosevelt9,463
26.9%Hoover3,490
0.0%
D+46.1
D+69.4
D+28.3
12,953
R
36.9%Smith4,576
60.2%Hoover7,460
2.8%
R+23.3
R+52.4
R+5.8
12,386
D
58.0%Davis3,070
28.9%Coolidge1,530
13.1%
D+29.1
R+6.8
D+54.3
5,296
D
65.9%Cox3,918
30.0%Harding1,782
4.2%
D+35.9
R+23.1
D+62.1
5,949
D
76.1%Wilson2,574
17.1%Hughes578
6.8%
D+59.0
R+7.4
D+55.9
3,381
D
71.4%Wilson1,520
5.0%Taft106
23.6%
D+66.4
D+13.0
D+46.9
2,128
D
69.6%Bryan1,251
16.1%Taft290
14.2%
D+53.5
R+16.3
D+63.0
1,797
D
81.4%Parker869
11.7%Roosevelt125
6.8%
D+69.7
D+0.9
D+89.4
1,067
D
79.6%Bryan983
10.8%McKinley133
9.6%
D+68.8
D+11.0
D+76.4
1,235
D
76.2%Bryan1,155
18.4%McKinley279
5.3%
D+57.8
R+24.1
D+63.9
1,515
D
81.9%Cleveland869
0.0%Harrison0
18.1%
D+81.9
—
D+80.2
1,061
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
39.4%135,475
58.7%201,722
343,694
2022
R
35.8%82,261
63.0%144,548
229,594
2018
R
43.2%105,748
56.7%138,751
244,544
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+11.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+20.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.7 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
400,710
143,492
143,801
111,519
1,898
2018
420,816
148,241
150,308
119,157
3,110
2019
443,783
153,445
157,199
128,582
4,557
2020
476,015
162,891
174,746
131,277
7,101
2021
464,375
155,647
170,929
129,736
8,063
2023
430,611
132,013
172,953
115,059
10,586
2024
468,295
140,190
191,492
122,295
14,318
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+18,752 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +208,643 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+3,044
2012
+1,801
2013
+4,020
2014
+7,783
2015
+10,410
2016
+13,345
2017
+15,193
2018
+16,911
2019
+16,638
2021
+27,123
2022
+28,989
2023
+25,219
2024
+19,415
2025
+18,752
Once anchored by agricultural employment, the Lakeland-Winter Haven metro has urbanized rapidly, drawing working-class and retiree migrants who have tilted its competitive margins toward double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 57.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.7 points.
A population of 790,694, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,978 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/29460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida voted Republican by 20.7 points (R+20.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 348,931 votes cast, 136,879 went Democratic and 209,044 went Republican.
When did Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida has a population of 790,694 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida is $65,978 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
