† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLancaster, PAPennsylvaniaUnited States
German30.7%21.6%12.5%
Irish10.6%14.8%9.4%
English9.1%8.3%9.5%
Italian5.9%10.6%4.8%
American5.3%4.4%5.3%
Polish2.8%5.4%2.2%
French1.5%—1.6%
Scottish1.5%1.1%1.3%
Puerto Rican6.8%3.7%1.8%
Dominican1.3%1.4%0.7%
Mexican1.0%1.4%11.3%
Cuban0.4%0.2%0.7%
Colombian0.4%0.2%0.4%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Spaniard0.2%——
Spanish0.2%——
African American†2.3%8.7%9.9%
African0.3%0.4%0.5%
Ethiopian0.3%——
Haitian0.2%0.2%0.3%
Vietnamese0.5%0.3%0.6%
Asian Indian0.3%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.9%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.2%0.9%
Nepalese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lancaster, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
39.4
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
8.8%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.5%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lancaster, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$86,959
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.2%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.4%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lancaster, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.8%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
6.8%
5.6%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
6.1%
0.9%
0.5%
Other Indo-European
1.0%
1.7%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lancaster, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
9.0%
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
24.0%
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
52.7%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
11.0%
10.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lancaster, PA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−31.4%
1896
−48.3%
1900
−45.7%
1904
−55.7%
1908
−46.8%
1912
−11.9%
1916
−32.1%
1920
−49.4%
1924
−52.9%
1928
−63.6%
1932
−16.5%
1936
−4.6%
1940
−16.4%
1944
−24.1%
1948
−36.5%
1952
−38.9%
1956
−44.4%
1960
−40.4%
1964
+0.8%
1968
−37.0%
1972
−53.0%
1976
−33.3%
1980
−42.0%
1984
−51.7%
1988
−42.3%
1992
−27.6%
1996
−28.2%
2000
−34.7%
2004
−32.2%
2008
−11.8%
2012
−18.9%
2016
−19.1%
2020
−15.8%
2024
−16.0%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.5%Harris120,119
57.5%Trump166,261
0.6%Oliver1,727 +1
R+16.0
R+0.1
R+14.5
289,257
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican57.5%166,261
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic41.5%120,119
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%1,727
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%1,150
R
41.3%Biden115,847
57.2%Trump160,209
1.5%
R+15.8
D+3.3
R+20.3
280,239
R
37.2%Clinton91,093
56.3%Trump137,914
6.5%
R+19.1
R+0.2
R+21.2
244,832
R
39.6%Obama88,481
58.5%Romney130,669
1.9%
R+18.9
R+7.1
R+22.7
223,351
R
43.7%Obama99,586
55.5%McCain126,568
0.9%
R+11.8
D+20.4
R+19.1
228,137
R
33.6%Kerry74,328
65.8%Bush145,591
0.7%
R+32.2
D+2.6
R+29.7
221,372
R
31.3%Gore54,968
66.1%Bush115,900
2.6%
R+34.7
R+6.6
R+35.3
175,367
R
31.6%Clinton49,120
59.8%Dole92,875
8.6%
R+28.2
R+0.6
R+36.7
155,286
R
27.6%Clinton44,255
55.2%Bush88,447
17.2%
R+27.6
D+14.7
R+33.1
160,180
R
28.4%Dukakis38,982
70.8%Bush96,979
0.8%
R+42.3
D+9.4
R+34.6
137,029
R
23.9%Mondale31,308
75.6%Reagan99,090
0.5%
R+51.7
R+9.7
R+33.5
131,016
R
25.3%Carter30,026
67.3%Reagan79,963
7.5%
R+42.0
R+8.7
R+32.3
118,897
R
32.4%Carter35,533
65.7%Ford72,106
1.9%
R+33.3
D+19.7
R+35.4
109,676
R
22.6%McGovern24,223
75.6%Nixon81,036
1.8%
R+53.0
R+16.0
R+29.9
107,138
R
27.6%Humphrey29,870
64.6%Nixon69,953
7.8%
R+37.0
R+37.8
R+36.3
108,307
D
50.3%Johnson53,041
49.5%Goldwater52,243
0.2%
D+0.8
D+41.1
R+21.8
105,508
R
29.7%Kennedy33,233
70.1%Nixon78,390
0.2%
R+40.4
D+4.0
R+40.5
111,889
R
27.7%Stevenson26,538
72.1%Eisenhower69,026
0.2%
R+44.4
R+5.5
R+28.9
95,801
R
30.4%Stevenson28,146
69.2%Eisenhower64,193
0.4%
R+38.9
R+2.4
R+28.1
92,721
R
31.1%Truman21,308
67.6%Dewey46,306
1.3%
R+36.5
R+12.4
R+41.0
68,499
R
37.6%Roosevelt27,353
61.8%Dewey44,888
0.6%
R+24.1
R+7.7
R+31.6
72,673
R
41.6%Roosevelt32,210
58.0%Willkie44,939
0.3%
R+16.4
R+11.8
R+26.4
77,418
R
46.7%Roosevelt38,454
51.4%Landon42,272
1.9%
R+4.6
D+11.9
R+28.9
82,273
R
40.0%Roosevelt24,406
56.5%Hoover34,502
3.5%
R+16.5
D+47.1
R+34.3
61,019
R
17.8%Smith12,146
81.4%Hoover55,530
0.8%
R+63.6
R+10.7
R+46.2
68,192
R
20.8%Davis12,091
73.7%Coolidge42,787
5.4%
R+52.9
R+3.5
R+27.7
58,034
R
23.5%Cox9,521
72.9%Harding29,549
3.6%
R+49.4
R+17.3
R+23.2
40,542
R
31.3%Wilson10,016
63.4%Hughes20,292
5.3%
R+32.1
R+20.2
R+35.3
31,996
O
25.0%Wilson8,574
37.0%Taft12,668
38.0%
Roosevelt +1.1
D+34.9
R+31.5
34,282
R
24.6%Bryan8,109
71.4%Taft23,523
3.9%
R+46.8
D+8.9
R+37.3
32,931
R
20.8%Parker7,092
76.5%Roosevelt26,083
2.6%
R+55.7
R+10.0
R+36.1
34,077
R
26.1%Bryan8,437
71.8%McKinley23,230
2.2%
R+45.7
D+2.6
R+38.2
32,368
R
24.3%Bryan8,145
72.7%McKinley24,337
3.0%
R+48.3
R+17.0
R+42.3
33,490
R
33.1%Cleveland10,326
64.5%Harrison20,126
2.5%
R+31.4
—
R+33.0
31,222
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
41.1%118,580
56.2%162,105
288,352
2022
R
42.1%94,632
55.5%124,798
224,864
2018
R
44.7%90,521
53.1%107,454
202,364
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+19.5
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+16.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.6 points more Republican.
Domestic migration in Lancaster, PA in Lancaster, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−41
2012
−594
2013
−62
2014
−379
2015
−974
2016
−1,247
2017
−112
2018
−928
2019
−852
2021
+1,675
2022
−1,364
2023
−591
2024
−1,271
2025
−1,319
Lancaster's political profile has shifted noticeably as its Latino population—now roughly 10% of city residents—has grown, while the surrounding county's rural precincts continue to anchor reliably conservative margins in statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 16.0 points.
A population of 557,931, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,959 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York-Hanover, PA and Lebanon, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/29540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 16.0 points (R+16.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 289,257 votes cast, 120,119 went Democratic and 166,261 went Republican.
When did Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 557,931 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania is $86,959 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.
