† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FLFloridaUnited States
German11.0%8.9%12.5%
Irish9.7%8.2%9.4%
English9.3%8.2%9.5%
American8.4%7.7%5.3%
Italian7.0%5.6%4.8%
Polish2.7%2.1%2.2%
French2.0%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.7%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican6.2%5.6%1.8%
Cuban4.6%7.3%0.7%
Mexican3.7%3.3%11.3%
Colombian1.4%2.1%0.4%
Dominican1.2%1.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.7%1.6%—
Spaniard0.5%——
Guatemalan0.3%—0.5%
African American†8.8%9.5%9.9%
Jamaican0.8%1.5%0.4%
Haitian0.6%2.3%0.3%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Asian Indian1.4%0.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.7%0.4%0.6%
Filipino0.5%0.5%0.9%
Chinese0.5%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Florida
United States
Median age
42.8
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.2%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Florida
United States
Median household income
$75,011
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.0%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.0%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
23.1%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
15.6%
22.6%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.0%
0.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
2.0%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Florida
United States
Catholic
23.0%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
17.0%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.2%
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+91.9%
1896
+57.2%
1900
+63.3%
1904
+50.4%
1908
+62.9%
1912
+61.1%
1916
+54.1%
1920
+21.8%
1924
+21.2%
1928
−22.3%
1932
+43.4%
1936
+40.7%
1940
+40.4%
1944
+34.7%
1948
−3.2%
1952
−23.8%
1956
−25.9%
1960
−11.0%
1964
+12.2%
1968
−12.7%
1972
−40.6%
1976
+2.8%
1980
−12.8%
1984
−29.0%
1988
−16.8%
1992
−0.8%
1996
+7.4%
2000
+0.8%
2004
−4.7%
2008
+5.0%
2012
+3.1%
2016
−3.1%
2020
−2.6%
2024
−10.4%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.2%Harris715,788
54.7%Trump884,714
0.5%Stein8,041 +5
R+10.4
R+7.9
R+9.0
1,618,229
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican54.7%884,714
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.2%715,788
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%8,041
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%5,536
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%2,059
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%1,171
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%880
OtherAll other candidates0.0%40
R
48.2%Biden810,409
50.7%Trump853,640
1.1%
R+2.6
D+0.5
R+7.0
1,682,670
R
46.6%Clinton663,534
49.6%Trump707,142
3.8%
R+3.1
R+6.2
R+5.2
1,424,998
D
51.0%Obama661,664
47.9%Romney620,809
1.1%
D+3.1
R+1.9
R+0.7
1,297,044
D
52.0%Obama665,565
47.0%McCain601,546
1.0%
D+5.0
D+9.7
R+2.3
1,279,361
R
47.2%Kerry561,528
51.9%Bush617,127
1.0%
R+4.7
R+5.5
R+2.2
1,190,042
D
48.9%Gore472,457
48.1%Bush464,908
3.1%
D+0.8
R+6.6
D+0.3
966,885
D
48.4%Clinton424,013
41.0%Dole359,212
10.6%
D+7.4
D+8.2
R+1.1
876,080
R
37.9%Clinton348,114
38.7%Bush355,401
23.4%
R+0.8
D+16.0
R+6.4
918,401
R
41.3%Dukakis317,256
58.1%Bush446,215
0.6%
R+16.8
D+12.2
R+9.1
767,752
R
35.5%Mondale267,970
64.5%Reagan486,435
0.0%
R+29.0
R+16.2
R+10.7
754,532
R
40.8%Carter269,611
53.6%Reagan354,123
5.6%
R+12.8
R+15.6
R+3.1
660,791
D
50.8%Carter277,895
48.0%Ford262,606
1.2%
D+2.8
D+43.4
D+0.7
547,193
R
29.6%McGovern135,942
70.2%Nixon322,042
0.2%
R+40.6
R+27.9
R+17.4
458,711
R
31.9%Humphrey121,873
44.6%Nixon170,472
23.6%
R+12.7
R+24.9
R+12.0
382,425
D
56.1%Johnson180,125
43.9%Goldwater140,973
0.0%
D+12.2
D+23.2
R+10.4
321,098
R
44.5%Kennedy128,086
55.5%Nixon159,663
0.0%
R+11.0
D+15.0
R+11.1
287,749
R
37.0%Stevenson72,339
63.0%Eisenhower122,999
0.0%
R+25.9
R+2.2
R+10.5
195,338
R
38.1%Stevenson60,270
61.9%Eisenhower97,848
0.0%
R+23.8
R+20.6
R+13.0
158,118
R
40.9%Truman37,778
44.1%Dewey40,709
15.0%
R+3.2
R+37.9
R+7.7
92,363
D
67.4%Roosevelt54,245
32.6%Dewey26,290
0.0%
D+34.7
R+5.7
D+27.2
80,535
D
70.2%Roosevelt53,921
29.8%Willkie22,875
0.0%
D+40.4
R+0.3
D+30.5
76,796
D
70.3%Roosevelt35,618
29.7%Landon15,016
0.0%
D+40.7
R+2.7
D+16.4
50,634
D
71.7%Roosevelt32,414
28.3%Hoover12,799
0.0%
D+43.4
D+65.7
D+25.6
45,213
R
38.1%Smith15,441
60.4%Hoover24,500
1.5%
R+22.3
R+43.5
R+4.9
40,554
D
54.3%Davis8,183
33.1%Coolidge4,988
12.7%
D+21.2
R+0.6
D+46.4
15,080
D
55.6%Cox11,612
33.8%Harding7,063
10.5%
D+21.8
R+32.3
D+48.0
20,870
D
68.1%Wilson7,355
14.1%Hughes1,520
17.8%
D+54.1
R+7.1
D+50.9
10,794
D
66.2%Wilson4,251
5.0%Taft324
28.8%
D+61.1
R+1.8
D+41.6
6,425
D
73.8%Bryan3,399
11.0%Taft505
15.2%
D+62.9
D+12.5
D+72.4
4,603
D
66.3%Parker2,601
15.9%Roosevelt624
17.8%
D+50.4
R+12.9
D+70.1
3,922
D
73.0%Bryan3,001
9.7%McKinley399
17.3%
D+63.3
D+6.1
D+70.8
4,112
D
75.6%Bryan2,828
18.5%McKinley691
5.9%
D+57.2
R+34.7
D+63.2
3,739
D
91.9%Cleveland3,416
0.0%Harrison0
8.1%
D+91.9
—
D+90.2
3,719
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
44.6%713,880
53.3%853,710
1,601,061
2022
R
42.7%516,398
55.9%675,824
1,209,601
2018
D
50.6%630,618
49.4%616,289
1,247,171
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+6.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+10.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.5 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
1,938,469
698,468
676,969
551,639
11,393
2018
2,031,150
731,817
704,159
575,761
19,413
2019
2,041,906
729,631
707,714
579,839
24,722
2020
2,210,670
789,387
774,302
609,483
37,498
2021
2,141,015
747,191
748,747
604,249
40,828
2023
1,945,810
629,723
734,035
533,278
48,774
2024
2,093,921
656,355
801,426
568,014
68,126
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,539 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +434,070 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+12,554
2012
+18,136
2013
+25,583
2014
+32,814
2015
+41,494
2016
+47,790
2017
+41,204
2018
+35,650
2019
+34,627
2021
+46,962
2022
+53,738
2023
+34,964
2024
+10,093
2025
−1,539
The Tampa Bay metro blends retiree-heavy coastal suburbs with a diverse urban core and a large Puerto Rican community in Hillsborough County, producing some of Florida's most closely contested countywide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 40.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 3,304,691, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,011 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL and New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/45300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida voted Republican by 10.4 points (R+10.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,618,229 votes cast, 715,788 went Democratic and 884,714 went Republican.
When did Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida has a population of 3,304,691 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida is $75,011 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
