Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+6.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+10.4
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.5 points more Republican than the rolls.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
1,938,469
698,468
676,969
551,639
11,393
2018
2,031,150
731,817
704,159
575,761
19,413
2019
2,041,906
729,631
707,714
579,839
24,722
2020
2,210,670
789,387
774,302
609,483
37,498
2021
2,141,015
747,191
748,747
604,249
40,828
2023
1,945,810
629,723
734,035
533,278
48,774
2024
2,093,921
656,355
801,426
568,014
68,126
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,539 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +434,070 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+12,554
2012
+18,136
2013
+25,583
2014
+32,814
2015
+41,494
2016
+47,790
2017
+41,204
2018
+35,650
2019
+34,627
2021
+46,962
2022
+53,738
2023
+34,964
2024
+10,093
2025
−1,539
The Tampa Bay metro blends retiree-heavy coastal suburbs with a diverse urban core and a large Puerto Rican community in Hillsborough County, producing some of Florida's most closely contested countywide results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 40.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 3,304,691, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,011 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL and New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/45300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida voted Republican by 10.4 points (R+10.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,618,229 votes cast, 715,788 went Democratic and 884,714 went Republican.
When did Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida has a population of 3,304,691 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida is $75,011 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.
