† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMissoula, MTMontanaUnited States
German20.7%22.9%12.5%
Irish15.2%13.5%9.4%
English12.9%13.1%9.5%
Norwegian6.1%7.5%—
Italian4.5%3.2%4.8%
American3.7%5.4%5.3%
French3.5%—1.6%
Scottish3.0%2.6%1.3%
Mexican3.0%2.9%11.3%
Spanish0.4%0.3%—
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Blackfeet0.5%1.0%—
Filipino0.5%—0.9%
Chinese0.3%—1.3%
Hmong0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Missoula, MT
Montana
United States
Median age
37.6
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
12.5%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.5%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Missoula, MT
Montana
United States
Median household income
$75,118
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.2%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
46.6%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Missoula, MT
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.7%
4.2%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
1.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Missoula, MT
Montana
United States
Catholic
9.1%
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
8.7%
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
73.2%
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Missoula, MT
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+5.7%
1896
+72.0%
1900
+15.1%
1904
−33.3%
1908
−1.9%
1912
+20.1%
1916
+19.0%
1920
−11.6%
1924
−16.1%
1928
−19.8%
1932
+16.5%
1936
+46.2%
1940
+16.1%
1944
+1.8%
1948
+4.9%
1952
−17.8%
1956
−21.1%
1960
−6.7%
1964
+24.1%
1968
−5.8%
1972
−5.8%
1976
−3.3%
1980
−8.8%
1984
−9.0%
1988
+9.1%
1992
+17.2%
1996
+12.9%
2000
−10.2%
2004
+4.2%
2008
+25.5%
2012
+16.3%
2016
+13.5%
2020
+21.4%
2024
+18.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
57.7%Harris43,592
38.8%Trump29,355
1.8%Kennedy1,384 +2
D+18.8
R+2.6
D+20.3
75,606
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic57.7%43,592
Donald J TrumpRepublican38.8%29,355
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.8%1,384
Jill SteinIndependent0.9%697
Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%578
D
59.5%Biden44,043
38.0%Trump28,175
2.5%
D+21.4
D+7.9
D+17.0
74,058
D
51.1%Clinton32,062
37.6%Trump23,580
11.3%
D+13.5
R+2.8
D+11.4
62,734
D
56.6%Obama33,524
40.3%Romney23,868
3.1%
D+16.3
R+9.2
D+12.4
59,253
D
61.2%Obama37,376
35.7%McCain21,796
3.1%
D+25.5
D+21.3
D+18.2
61,070
D
50.7%Kerry27,525
46.5%Bush25,231
2.8%
D+4.2
D+14.4
D+6.7
54,291
R
36.6%Gore17,623
46.8%Bush22,552
16.7%
R+10.2
R+23.2
R+10.7
48,215
D
49.0%Clinton22,532
36.1%Dole16,583
15.0%
D+12.9
R+4.2
D+4.4
45,997
D
46.8%Clinton21,011
29.6%Bush13,301
23.6%
D+17.2
D+8.0
D+11.6
44,934
D
53.8%Dukakis19,967
44.7%Bush16,581
1.5%
D+9.1
D+18.1
D+16.9
37,097
R
44.7%Mondale17,258
53.6%Reagan20,720
1.7%
R+9.0
R+0.2
D+9.3
38,641
R
38.0%Carter13,775
46.8%Reagan16,961
15.2%
R+8.8
R+5.5
D+0.9
36,251
R
47.7%Carter15,918
51.1%Ford17,029
1.2%
R+3.3
D+2.5
R+5.4
33,351
R
45.9%McGovern14,443
51.7%Nixon16,263
2.4%
R+5.8
D+0.1
D+17.4
31,468
R
41.8%Humphrey8,974
47.7%Nixon10,228
10.5%
R+5.8
R+29.9
R+5.1
21,461
D
61.9%Johnson13,801
37.9%Goldwater8,433
0.2%
D+24.1
D+30.8
D+1.5
22,278
R
46.5%Kennedy9,562
53.2%Nixon10,945
0.3%
R+6.7
D+14.4
R+6.9
20,577
R
39.4%Stevenson7,312
60.6%Eisenhower11,233
0.0%
R+21.1
R+3.4
R+5.7
18,545
R
40.9%Stevenson7,392
58.6%Eisenhower10,606
0.5%
R+17.8
R+22.6
R+7.0
18,095
D
50.8%Truman7,480
45.9%Dewey6,764
3.3%
D+4.9
D+3.1
D+0.4
14,733
D
50.4%Roosevelt5,959
48.7%Dewey5,751
0.9%
D+1.8
R+14.3
R+5.7
11,820
D
57.5%Roosevelt8,392
41.4%Willkie6,042
1.2%
D+16.1
R+30.1
D+6.1
14,605
D
71.0%Roosevelt8,347
24.8%Landon2,912
4.3%
D+46.2
D+29.7
D+21.9
11,763
D
55.1%Roosevelt5,820
38.6%Hoover4,079
6.4%
D+16.5
D+36.2
R+1.3
10,571
R
39.4%Smith3,661
59.1%Hoover5,499
1.5%
R+19.8
R+3.6
R+2.3
9,299
O
12.4%Davis1,135
28.6%Coolidge2,609
59.0%
La Follette +30.5
R+4.5
D+9.0
9,136
R
39.7%Cox3,654
51.3%Harding4,721
9.0%
R+11.6
R+30.6
D+14.6
9,203
D
55.2%Wilson4,850
36.1%Hughes3,177
8.7%
D+19.0
R+1.0
D+15.9
8,789
O
32.7%Wilson1,523
12.6%Taft589
54.7%
Roosevelt +22.0
D+21.9
D+0.5
4,658
R
44.3%Bryan1,780
46.1%Taft1,856
9.6%
R+1.9
D+31.4
D+7.7
4,022
R
26.6%Parker996
59.9%Roosevelt2,239
13.5%
R+33.3
R+48.3
R+13.6
3,738
D
56.9%Bryan1,893
41.9%McKinley1,392
1.2%
D+15.1
R+57.0
D+22.6
3,326
D
85.9%Bryan2,259
13.9%McKinley365
0.2%
D+72.0
D+66.3
D+78.1
2,630
D
45.6%Cleveland2,340
39.8%Harrison2,045
14.6%
D+5.7
—
D+4.1
5,136
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
64.8%49,379
33.6%25,574
76,221
2020
D
63.3%47,084
36.7%27,264
74,348
2018
D
66.7%42,473
31.1%19,812
63,709
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Missoula, MT
Year
Total registered
2016
86,846
2018
89,032
2020
93,861
2022
93,996
2024
99,513
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+788 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +10,980 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Missoula, MT in Missoula, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+287
2012
+233
2013
+228
2014
+394
2015
+859
2016
+1,597
2017
+1,224
2018
+552
2019
+715
2021
+1,711
2022
+1,068
2023
+652
2024
+672
2025
+788
Home to the University of Montana, Missoula County has voted Democratic in recent presidential cycles by double-digit margins, making it one of the sharpest blue outliers in a state that leans heavily Republican statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 33.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.
A population of 125,631, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,118 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lawrence, KS and Corvallis, OR.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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In 2024, Missoula, MT, Montana voted Democratic by 18.8 points (D+18.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 75,606 votes cast, 43,592 went Democratic and 29,355 went Republican.
When did Missoula, MT, Montana last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, MT, Montana voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Missoula, MT, Montana has a population of 125,631 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, MT, Montana is $75,118 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, MT, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Missoula, MT, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.