HarrisDemocratic24.3%689TrumpRepublican72.3%2,049KennedyIndependent1.9%55
R+48.0- Lead
- 1,360
- Total
- 2,833
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- 73.6%
Akashiccounty
Mineral County, MT
Contests in this Place (82 available)
President28 · 1916–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1916–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.6% of 3,925 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.8%686TrumpRepublican71.3%1,828JorgensenLibertarian1.9%49
R+44.6- Lead
- 1,142
- Total
- 2,563
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Turnout
- 75.0%
ClintonDemocratic25.8%519TrumpRepublican66.1%1,330JohnsonLibertarian5.4%108
R+40.3- Lead
- 811
- Total
- 2,012
- vs nation
- R+42.4
- Turnout
- 60.7%
ObamaDemocratic34.6%700RomneyRepublican60.2%1,216GRAYLibertarian5.0%101
R+25.5- Lead
- 516
- Total
- 2,021
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic42.4%845McCainRepublican52.8%1,053OtherAll other candidates4.9%97
R+10.4- Lead
- 208
- Total
- 1,995
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.5%542BushRepublican67.6%1,242OtherAll other candidates2.9%53
R+38.1- Lead
- 700
- Total
- 1,837
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic23.3%382BushRepublican65.8%1,078NaderGreen7.7%127
R+42.5- Lead
- 696
- Total
- 1,639
- vs nation
- R+43.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.7%658DoleRepublican34.0%549PerotReform23.7%383
D+6.7- Lead
- 109
- Total
- 1,615
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,9592024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.1 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,220 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,4502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gilliam County, OR · twin score 82.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 73.6%2,888 participants ÷ 3,925 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 59.0%–65.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,888 | 3,925 ± 69 | 73.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 2,215 | 3,665 ± 61 | 60.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 2,624 | 3,500 ± 50 | 75.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 2,063 | 3,448 ± 113 | 59.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 2,096 | 3,452 ± 96 | 60.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2,021 | 3,342 | 60.5% | Derived | — | |
| 1,995 | 3,025 | 66.0% | Derived | — | |
| 1,837 | 2,708 extrapolated | 67.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Mineral County only. The complete district District 1 result is shown below for comparison.
Mineral County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
MATT RAINS0—
RUSSELL CLEVELAND0—
RYAN BUSSE0—
SAM FORSTAG0—
District District 1 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 6 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 2,833 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SUPERIOR_30SUPERIOR_30 | 196 | 616 | 26 | 838 | 23.4% | 73.5% | R+50.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ALBERTONALBERTON | 162 | 362 | 14 | 538 | 30.1% | 67.3% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -ST. REGISST. REGIS | 118 | 381 | 14 | 513 | 23.0% | 74.3% | R+51.3 |
| Precinct -SUPERIOR_25SUPERIOR_25 | 120 | 365 | 25 | 510 | 23.5% | 71.6% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -WEST ENDWEST END | 27 | 200 | 4 | 231 | 11.7% | 86.6% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -SUPERIOR_24SUPERIOR_24 | 66 | 125 | 12 | 203 | 32.5% | 61.6% | R+29.1 |
presidential history
Party record book
Mineral County, MT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1916–2024 · 28 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.7%
901 votes · D+41.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 68.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
72.3%
2,049 votes · R+48.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
901votes
70.7% of the vote · D+41.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 845 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,049votes
72.3% of the vote · R+48.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,828 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+40.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+43.2 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +27.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+49.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +46.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RDenley LogeState Senate · 45
RCurt CochranState House · 90
Seats representing Mineral County, MT. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,101 |
| 2018 | 3,246 |
| 2020 | 3,350 |
| 2022 | 3,735 |
| 2024 | 4,166 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+23 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,029 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,605 in average income, against $63,402 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+21.4 on average — 69 points more Democratic-leaning than Mineral County, MT itself (R+48.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Missoula County, MT58D+21.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Missoula County, MT45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −5 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | +105 |
| 2014 | −13 |
| 2015 | +9 |
| 2016 | −51 |
| 2017 | +140 |
| 2018 | +75 |
| 2019 | +112 |
| 2021 | +351 |
| 2022 | +195 |
| 2023 | +111 |
| 2024 | +74 |
| 2025 | +23 |
Mineral County stretches along the Clark Fork River through the Bitterroot Range, with a small, largely rural population that has delivered lopsided Republican margins in every recent presidential cycle by wide double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 4,959, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,450 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gilliam County and Owen County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Gilliam County
Oregon
82.9twin score
median age% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ elasticity
Owen County
Indiana
82.3twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ French ancestry
Tipton County
Indiana
81.8twin score
elasticity2000–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mineral County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Mineral County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mineral County, Montana voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,833 votes cast, 689 went Democratic and 2,049 went Republican.
When did Mineral County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mineral County, Montana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Mineral County, Montana?
Mineral County, Montana has a population of 4,959 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mineral County, Montana?
Median household income in Mineral County, Montana is $63,450 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Mineral County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mineral County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.