Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMineral CountyMontanaUnited States
German21.9%22.9%12.5%
English14.1%13.1%9.5%
Irish11.8%13.5%9.4%
French6.8%—1.6%
Italian4.5%3.2%4.8%
Norwegian3.4%7.5%—
American2.8%5.4%5.3%
Scottish2.4%2.6%1.3%
Mexican3.0%2.9%11.3%
Spaniard0.5%0.3%—
Navajo0.2%——
Blackfeet0.2%1.0%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Mineral County
Montana
United States
Median age
50
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
3.7%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
28.0%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Mineral County
Montana
United States
Median household income
$63,450
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.5%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
26.1%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Mineral County
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
1.9%
4.2%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
Mineral County
Montana
United States
Catholic
5.0%
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.5%
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
76.4%
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Mineral County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 2,833 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Mineral County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -SUPERIOR_30SUPERIOR_30
196
616
26
838
23.4%
73.5%
R+50.1
Precinct -ALBERTONALBERTON
162
362
14
538
30.1%
67.3%
R+37.2
Precinct -ST. REGISST. REGIS
118
381
14
513
23.0%
74.3%
R+51.3
Precinct -SUPERIOR_25SUPERIOR_25
120
365
25
510
23.5%
71.6%
R+48.0
Precinct -WEST ENDWEST END
27
200
4
231
11.7%
86.6%
R+74.9
Precinct -SUPERIOR_24SUPERIOR_24
66
125
12
203
32.5%
61.6%
R+29.1
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1916–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1916
+43.2%
1920
+1.7%
1924
−9.7%
1928
−8.8%
1932
+33.3%
1936
+46.0%
1940
+22.8%
1944
+2.7%
1948
+15.9%
1952
−5.9%
1956
−4.7%
1960
+11.0%
1964
+41.8%
1968
+8.0%
1972
−3.3%
1976
+9.2%
1980
−8.4%
1984
−13.2%
1988
+12.1%
1992
+16.0%
1996
+6.7%
2000
−42.5%
2004
−38.1%
2008
−10.4%
2012
−25.5%
2016
−40.3%
2020
−44.6%
2024
−48.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
24.3%Harris689
72.3%Trump2,049
1.9%Kennedy55 +2
R+48.0
R+3.4
R+46.5
2,833
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican72.3%2,049
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic24.3%689
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.9%55
Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%24
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%16
R
26.8%Biden686
71.3%Trump1,828
1.9%Jorgensen49
R+44.6
R+4.2
R+49.0
2,563
R
25.8%Clinton519
66.1%Trump1,330
5.4%Johnson108
R+40.3
R+14.8
R+42.4
2,012
R
34.6%Obama700
60.2%Romney1,216
5.0%GRAY101
R+25.5
R+15.1
R+29.4
2,021
R
42.4%Obama845
52.8%McCain1,053
4.9%
R+10.4
D+27.7
R+17.7
1,995
R
29.5%Kerry542
67.6%Bush1,242
2.9%
R+38.1
D+4.4
R+35.6
1,837
R
23.3%Gore382
65.8%Bush1,078
7.7%Nader127
R+42.5
R+49.2
R+43.0
1,639
D
40.7%Clinton658
34.0%Dole549
23.7%Perot383
D+6.7
R+9.2
R+1.8
1,615
D
40.6%Clinton664
24.6%Bush403
33.2%Perot543
D+16.0
D+3.8
D+10.4
1,635
D
55.3%Dukakis789
43.1%Bush616
1.6%
D+12.1
D+25.3
D+19.8
1,428
R
42.1%Mondale718
55.3%Reagan943
2.5%
R+13.2
R+4.8
D+5.0
1,704
R
39.8%Carter660
48.3%Reagan800
11.9%
R+8.4
R+17.7
D+1.3
1,657
D
54.1%Carter819
44.8%Ford679
1.1%
D+9.2
D+12.6
D+7.2
1,514
R
46.4%McGovern659
49.8%Nixon706
3.8%
R+3.3
R+11.3
D+19.8
1,419
D
49.3%Humphrey576
41.3%Nixon483
9.4%
D+8.0
R+33.9
D+8.7
1,169
D
70.7%Johnson901
28.9%Goldwater368
0.4%
D+41.8
D+30.8
D+19.3
1,274
D
55.3%Kennedy686
44.3%Nixon549
0.4%
D+11.0
D+15.7
D+10.9
1,240
R
47.7%Stevenson552
52.3%Eisenhower606
0.0%
R+4.7
D+1.2
D+10.7
1,158
R
46.6%Stevenson491
52.5%Eisenhower553
0.9%
R+5.9
R+21.8
D+4.9
1,054
D
55.2%Truman475
39.3%Dewey338
5.5%
D+15.9
D+13.3
D+11.4
860
D
50.6%Roosevelt401
48.0%Dewey380
1.4%
D+2.7
R+20.1
R+4.8
792
D
60.4%Roosevelt645
37.6%Willkie402
2.0%
D+22.8
R+23.3
D+12.8
1,068
D
68.4%Roosevelt657
22.4%Landon215
9.2%
D+46.0
D+12.7
D+21.8
960
D
60.5%Roosevelt578
27.2%Hoover260
12.3%
D+33.3
D+42.1
D+15.5
955
R
44.5%Smith370
53.2%Hoover443
2.3%
R+8.8
D+0.9
D+8.7
832
O
11.9%Davis123
21.6%Coolidge223
66.5%La Follette686
La Follette +44.9
R+11.4
D+15.5
1,032
D
40.7%Cox362
39.0%Harding347
20.2%
D+1.7
R+41.5
D+27.9
889
D
63.7%Wilson781
20.5%Hughes251
15.8%
D+43.2
—
D+40.1
1,226
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
33.3%950
64.3%1,831
2,849
2020
R
32.0%816
68.0%1,735
2,551
2018
R
38.1%785
57.4%1,181
2,058
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Mineral County, MT
Year
Total registered
2016
3,101
2018
3,246
2020
3,350
2022
3,735
2024
4,166
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+23 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,029 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,605 in average income, against $63,402 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+21.4 on average — 69 points more Democratic-leaning than Mineral County, MT itself (R+48.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Missoula County, MT58D+21.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Missoula County, MT45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Mineral County, MT in Mineral County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−5
2012
−97
2013
+105
2014
−13
2015
+9
2016
−51
2017
+140
2018
+75
2019
+112
2021
+351
2022
+195
2023
+111
2024
+74
2025
+23
Mineral County stretches along the Clark Fork River through the Bitterroot Range, with a small, largely rural population that has delivered lopsided Republican margins in every recent presidential cycle by wide double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 4,959, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,450 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gilliam County and Owen County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Mineral County, Montana voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,833 votes cast, 689 went Democratic and 2,049 went Republican.
When did Mineral County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mineral County, Montana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Mineral County, Montana?
Mineral County, Montana has a population of 4,959 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mineral County, Montana?
Median household income in Mineral County, Montana is $63,450 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Mineral County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mineral County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
