Mineral County, Montana: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+48%. Republican peak: R+48 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,9592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,4502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Asotin County, WA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | +43.2% |
| 1920 | +1.7% |
| 1924 | −9.7% |
| 1928 | −8.8% |
| 1932 | +33.3% |
| 1936 | +46.0% |
| 1940 | +22.8% |
| 1944 | +2.7% |
| 1948 | +15.9% |
| 1952 | −5.9% |
| 1956 | −4.7% |
| 1960 | +11.0% |
| 1964 | +41.8% |
| 1968 | +8.0% |
| 1972 | −3.3% |
| 1976 | +9.2% |
| 1980 | −8.4% |
| 1984 | −13.2% |
| 1988 | +12.1% |
| 1992 | +16.0% |
| 1996 | +6.7% |
| 2000 | −42.5% |
| 2004 | −38.1% |
| 2008 | −10.4% |
| 2012 | −25.5% |
| 2016 | −40.3% |
| 2020 | −44.6% |
| 2024 | −48.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 689 | 2,049 | 2,833 | ||
| R | 686 | 1,828 | 2,563 | ||
| R | 519 | 1,330 | 2,012 | ||
| R | 700 | 1,216 | 2,021 | ||
| R | 845 | 1,053 | 1,995 | ||
| R | 542 | 1,242 | 1,837 | ||
| R | 382 | 1,078 | 1,639 | ||
| D | 658 | 549 | 1,615 | ||
| D | 664 | 403 | 1,635 | ||
| D | 789 | 616 | 1,428 | ||
| R | 718 | 943 | 1,704 | ||
| R | 660 | 800 | 1,657 | ||
| D | 819 | 679 | 1,514 | ||
| R | 659 | 706 | 1,419 | ||
| D | 576 | 483 | 1,169 | ||
| D | 901 | 368 | 1,274 | ||
| D | 686 | 549 | 1,240 | ||
| R | 552 | 606 | 1,158 | ||
| R | 491 | 553 | 1,054 | ||
| D | 475 | 338 | 860 | ||
| D | 401 | 380 | 792 | ||
| D | 645 | 402 | 1,068 | ||
| D | 657 | 215 | 960 | ||
| D | 578 | 260 | 955 | ||
| R | 370 | 443 | 832 | ||
| O | 123 | 223 | 1,032 | ||
| D | 362 | 347 | 889 | ||
| D | 781 | 251 | 1,226 | ||
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Demographics
Mineral County stretches along the Clark Fork River through the Bitterroot Range, with a small, largely rural population that has delivered lopsided Republican margins in every recent presidential cycle by wide double digits.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at forty-six points in 1936 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2000 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by forty-two points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-eight points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $63,450 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 14% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Asotin County and Nez Perce County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mineral County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30061/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
