Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+3.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.2
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+268
2012
+178
2013
−1,874
2014
−1,808
2015
−2,649
2016
−2,867
2017
−421
2018
−869
2019
−1,170
2021
+2,986
2022
+1,475
2023
+1,400
2024
+708
2025
+1,235
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households and Catholic working-class voters, the Scranton–Wilkes-Barre metro has shifted toward single-digit or sub-single-digit presidential margins over the past three cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether for blue-collar realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 569,788, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,051 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Utica-Rome, NY and Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/42540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 287,792 votes cast, 126,694 went Democratic and 158,927 went Republican.
When did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 569,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania is $65,051 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
