† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupScranton--Wilkes-Barre, PAPennsylvaniaUnited States
Irish18.2%14.8%9.4%
Italian16.0%10.6%4.8%
Polish14.5%5.4%2.2%
German13.9%21.6%12.5%
English6.3%8.3%9.5%
American4.0%4.4%5.3%
Welsh3.2%——
Slovak1.8%0.8%—
Dominican5.3%1.4%0.7%
Puerto Rican3.6%3.7%1.8%
Mexican2.0%1.4%11.3%
Salvadoran0.4%—0.7%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%
Ecuadorian0.2%——
African American†2.6%8.7%9.9%
African0.3%0.4%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%0.3%0.4%
Asian Indian0.7%1.2%1.4%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Chinese0.2%0.9%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
42.1
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
8.6%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.3%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$65,051
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.8%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.2%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.2%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
9.7%
5.6%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.4%
1.7%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
38.7%
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
6.0%
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
45.2%
53.1%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.9%
10.3%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+1.9%
1896
−16.4%
1900
−10.1%
1904
−32.0%
1908
−13.3%
1912
+23.3%
1916
−8.8%
1920
−29.8%
1924
−31.6%
1928
+2.9%
1932
+6.6%
1936
+15.3%
1940
+11.2%
1944
+5.9%
1948
+2.3%
1952
−5.8%
1956
−13.8%
1960
+18.9%
1964
+42.8%
1968
+15.4%
1972
−19.4%
1976
+10.8%
1980
−4.2%
1984
−7.5%
1988
−0.4%
1992
+7.3%
1996
+16.8%
2000
+13.0%
2004
+6.5%
2008
+15.0%
2012
+13.3%
2016
−10.9%
2020
−6.2%
2024
−11.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.0%Harris126,694
55.2%Trump158,927
0.4%Oliver1,155 +1
R+11.2
R+5.0
R+9.7
287,792
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican55.2%158,927
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.0%126,694
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%1,155
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%1,016
R
46.4%Biden131,568
52.6%Trump149,199
1.0%
R+6.2
D+4.7
R+10.7
283,589
R
42.7%Clinton108,245
53.6%Trump135,909
3.7%
R+10.9
R+24.2
R+13.0
253,567
D
55.8%Obama131,206
42.5%Romney99,997
1.7%
D+13.3
R+1.7
D+9.4
235,117
D
57.0%Obama145,997
42.0%McCain107,598
1.0%
D+15.0
D+8.5
D+7.7
256,189
D
52.7%Kerry134,128
46.1%Bush117,501
1.2%
D+6.5
R+6.5
D+9.0
254,679
D
54.5%Gore124,033
41.4%Bush94,346
4.1%
D+13.0
R+3.7
D+12.5
227,676
D
52.7%Clinton110,600
35.9%Dole75,395
11.4%
D+16.8
D+9.5
D+8.3
209,906
D
45.0%Clinton104,835
37.7%Bush87,871
17.3%
D+7.3
D+7.7
D+1.7
232,964
R
49.4%Dukakis106,941
49.8%Bush107,749
0.7%
R+0.4
D+7.2
D+7.4
216,280
R
45.6%Mondale106,851
53.2%Reagan124,531
1.2%
R+7.5
R+3.4
D+10.7
234,245
R
45.1%Carter107,999
49.2%Reagan117,983
5.7%
R+4.2
R+15.0
D+5.6
239,694
D
54.8%Carter135,968
44.0%Ford109,117
1.3%
D+10.8
D+30.2
D+8.8
248,261
R
39.9%McGovern98,705
59.3%Nixon146,619
0.7%
R+19.4
R+34.8
D+3.8
247,106
D
55.5%Humphrey147,703
40.1%Nixon106,639
4.3%
D+15.4
R+27.4
D+16.1
265,895
D
71.1%Johnson198,796
28.3%Goldwater79,031
0.7%
D+42.8
D+23.9
D+20.2
279,755
D
59.4%Kennedy185,822
40.4%Nixon126,535
0.2%
D+18.9
D+32.8
D+18.8
312,975
R
42.9%Stevenson123,016
56.7%Eisenhower162,750
0.4%
R+13.8
R+8.1
D+1.6
287,055
R
47.0%Stevenson139,320
52.7%Eisenhower156,383
0.3%
R+5.8
R+8.0
D+5.0
296,601
D
50.5%Truman128,038
48.2%Dewey122,289
1.2%
D+2.3
R+3.6
R+2.2
253,487
D
52.8%Roosevelt134,846
46.9%Dewey119,826
0.3%
D+5.9
R+5.4
R+1.6
255,359
D
55.5%Roosevelt175,468
44.2%Willkie139,889
0.3%
D+11.2
R+4.1
D+1.3
316,423
D
57.0%Roosevelt188,862
41.7%Landon138,079
1.2%
D+15.3
D+8.7
R+8.9
331,065
D
52.4%Roosevelt104,496
45.8%Hoover91,272
1.8%
D+6.6
D+3.7
R+11.2
199,329
D
51.4%Smith126,890
48.5%Hoover119,703
0.1%
D+2.9
D+34.5
D+20.4
246,940
R
24.9%Davis38,525
56.6%Coolidge87,396
18.5%
R+31.6
R+1.8
R+6.4
154,518
R
33.5%Cox49,301
63.3%Harding93,220
3.2%
R+29.8
R+21.0
R+3.6
147,303
R
43.6%Wilson37,170
52.5%Hughes44,704
3.9%
R+8.8
R+32.2
R+12.0
85,195
O
35.2%Wilson27,389
11.9%Taft9,249
52.9%
Roosevelt +17.7
D+36.6
D+3.8
77,754
R
41.8%Bryan34,459
55.0%Taft45,418
3.2%
R+13.3
D+18.7
R+3.7
82,525
R
32.3%Parker25,161
64.3%Roosevelt50,040
3.4%
R+32.0
R+21.9
R+12.3
77,818
R
43.2%Bryan33,073
53.3%McKinley40,803
3.4%
R+10.1
D+6.3
R+2.6
76,498
R
40.3%Bryan31,125
56.7%McKinley43,828
3.0%
R+16.4
R+18.4
R+10.4
77,310
D
48.7%Cleveland27,990
46.8%Harrison26,876
4.5%
D+1.9
—
D+0.3
57,480
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.8%130,949
52.1%148,957
285,992
2022
D
48.8%106,052
48.7%105,850
217,352
2018
D
51.4%104,512
47.5%96,544
203,180
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+3.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.2
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+268
2012
+178
2013
−1,874
2014
−1,808
2015
−2,649
2016
−2,867
2017
−421
2018
−869
2019
−1,170
2021
+2,986
2022
+1,475
2023
+1,400
2024
+708
2025
+1,235
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by union households and Catholic working-class voters, the Scranton–Wilkes-Barre metro has shifted toward single-digit or sub-single-digit presidential margins over the past three cycles, making it a closely watched bellwether for blue-collar realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 32.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 569,788, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,051 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Utica-Rome, NY and Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/42540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 11.2 points (R+11.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 287,792 votes cast, 126,694 went Democratic and 158,927 went Republican.
When did Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 569,788 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania is $65,051 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.
