Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+15.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.1
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
Domestic migration in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−2,318
2012
−3,864
2013
−2,140
2014
−2,862
2015
−5,343
2016
−6,003
2017
−2,523
2018
−2,505
2019
−2,783
2021
+285
2022
−4,203
2023
−4,676
2024
−1,898
2025
−2,345
Buffalo anchors a mid-size metro that has voted Democratic in presidential races by double digits for decades, even as surrounding Erie County suburbs shift enough to keep county-level margins competitive in off-cycle contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 38.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.
A population of 1,161,343, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,257 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Syracuse, NY and Pittsburgh, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/15380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York voted Democratic by 5.1 points (D+5.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 558,981 votes cast, 292,089 went Democratic and 263,452 went Republican.
When did Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York has a population of 1,161,343 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Median household income in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York is $72,257 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.
