Tucson, AZ · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain, and this place is a single county: Pima County, Arizona. The figures below are that county’s, which is the same territory — not a larger unit standing in for it.
Presidential nominating contests in Tucson, AZ, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+8.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+15.2
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.8 points more Democratic than the rolls.
Domestic migration in Tucson, AZ in Tucson, AZ: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+900
2012
−683
2013
−1,797
2014
+803
2015
−747
2016
+2,763
2017
+6,076
2018
+8,026
2019
+8,801
2021
+5,280
2022
+7,890
2023
+3,804
2024
+3,965
2025
−350
Tucson anchors Pima County, one of Arizona's most consistently Democratic metros, driven by a large university population, significant Latino electorate, and a border-adjacent economy that shapes voters' priorities on trade and immigration policy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.2 points.
A population of 1,060,490, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,315 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flagstaff, AZ and Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Tucson, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/46060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic by 15.2 points (D+15.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 513,176 votes cast, 292,450 went Democratic and 214,669 went Republican.
When did Tucson, AZ, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Tucson, AZ, Arizona has a population of 1,060,490 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona is $70,315 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tucson, AZ, Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
