† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTucson, AZArizonaUnited States
German13.1%12.6%12.5%
English10.7%10.2%9.5%
Irish9.2%8.9%9.4%
Italian4.1%4.1%4.8%
American3.3%4.0%5.3%
Polish2.3%2.0%2.2%
Scottish2.1%1.7%1.3%
French2.0%1.8%1.6%
Mexican32.0%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.9%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.7%0.5%—
Spanish0.5%0.4%—
Cuban0.3%0.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.2%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%
African American†2.6%3.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.3%0.5%
Chinese0.7%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.6%0.7%0.9%
Asian Indian0.5%0.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.3%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.2%0.2%
Tohono O'odham0.9%0.2%—
Navajo0.3%1.9%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Tucson, AZ
Arizona
United States
Median age
39.8
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
11.5%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.5%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Tucson, AZ
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$70,315
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.3%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
36.8%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Tucson, AZ
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
25.7%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
20.8%
19.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Tucson, AZ
Arizona
United States
Catholic
18.9%
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.4%
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
61.2%
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Tucson, AZ
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+18.8%
1916
−10.9%
1920
−16.0%
1924
−11.4%
1928
−14.2%
1932
+27.7%
1936
+33.2%
1940
+19.5%
1944
+9.0%
1948
+2.0%
1952
−20.4%
1956
−25.1%
1960
−5.1%
1964
+7.1%
1968
−9.9%
1972
−10.5%
1976
−3.9%
1980
−15.3%
1984
−14.8%
1988
−1.7%
1992
+11.2%
1996
+12.8%
2000
+8.0%
2004
+6.0%
2008
+6.1%
2012
+6.9%
2016
+13.6%
2020
+18.6%
2024
+15.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
57.0%Harris292,450
41.8%Trump214,669
0.6%Stein3,209 +1
D+15.2
R+3.5
D+16.6
513,176
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic57.0%292,450
Donald J TrumpRepublican41.8%214,669
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%3,209
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%2,848
D
58.4%Biden304,981
39.8%Trump207,758
1.8%
D+18.6
D+5.0
D+14.2
522,174
D
53.3%Clinton224,661
39.7%Trump167,428
7.0%
D+13.6
D+6.7
D+11.5
421,640
D
52.5%Obama201,251
45.6%Romney174,779
1.9%
D+6.9
D+0.8
D+3.1
383,173
D
52.4%Obama206,254
46.4%McCain182,406
1.2%
D+6.1
D+0.1
R+1.2
393,428
D
52.6%Kerry193,128
46.6%Bush171,109
0.9%
D+6.0
R+2.0
D+8.4
367,492
D
51.3%Gore147,688
43.3%Bush124,579
5.3%
D+8.0
R+4.8
D+7.5
287,640
D
52.2%Clinton137,983
39.4%Dole104,121
8.5%
D+12.8
D+1.6
D+4.3
264,552
D
45.7%Clinton128,569
34.5%Bush97,036
19.9%
D+11.2
D+12.9
D+5.6
281,484
R
48.5%Dukakis113,824
50.3%Bush117,899
1.2%
R+1.7
D+13.1
D+6.0
234,473
R
42.1%Mondale91,585
56.9%Reagan123,830
1.0%
R+14.8
D+0.5
D+3.4
217,612
R
34.4%Carter64,418
49.7%Reagan93,055
15.8%
R+15.3
R+11.4
R+5.6
187,057
R
45.9%Carter71,214
49.8%Ford77,264
4.2%
R+3.9
D+6.6
R+6.0
155,061
R
34.9%McGovern56,223
45.4%Nixon73,154
19.7%
R+10.5
R+0.6
D+12.6
161,110
R
40.7%Humphrey39,786
50.6%Nixon49,479
8.7%
R+9.9
R+17.0
R+9.2
97,766
D
53.4%Johnson54,120
46.4%Goldwater46,955
0.2%
D+7.1
D+12.2
R+15.5
101,278
R
47.3%Kennedy42,171
52.4%Nixon46,734
0.3%
R+5.1
D+19.9
R+5.3
89,144
R
37.4%Stevenson23,536
62.5%Eisenhower39,298
0.1%
R+25.1
R+4.7
R+9.7
62,885
R
39.8%Stevenson21,237
60.2%Eisenhower32,113
0.0%
R+20.4
R+22.4
R+9.6
53,350
D
49.7%Truman17,692
47.6%Dewey16,968
2.7%
D+2.0
R+7.0
R+2.5
35,625
D
54.4%Roosevelt13,006
45.4%Dewey10,850
0.2%
D+9.0
R+10.5
D+1.5
23,913
D
59.6%Roosevelt14,035
40.1%Willkie9,445
0.3%
D+19.5
R+13.7
D+9.5
23,562
D
65.9%Roosevelt12,249
32.7%Landon6,079
1.4%
D+33.2
D+5.5
D+8.9
18,590
D
62.4%Roosevelt11,061
34.7%Hoover6,152
2.9%
D+27.7
D+41.9
D+9.9
17,727
R
42.7%Smith4,976
56.9%Hoover6,635
0.4%
R+14.2
R+2.8
D+3.2
11,653
R
30.7%Davis2,594
42.2%Coolidge3,559
27.1%
R+11.4
D+4.6
D+13.7
8,439
R
42.0%Cox2,455
58.0%Harding3,392
0.0%
R+16.0
R+5.1
D+10.2
5,847
R
42.2%Wilson2,079
53.1%Hughes2,616
4.6%
R+10.9
R+29.8
R+14.1
4,922
O
38.4%Wilson693
19.6%Taft353
42.0%
Roosevelt +3.6
—
R+0.7
1,804
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
59.0%298,751
38.1%193,021
506,474
2022
D
61.9%248,230
36.1%144,936
401,089
2018
D
56.6%221,242
41.1%160,550
390,568
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+8.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+15.2
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 6.8 points more Republican.
Domestic migration in Tucson, AZ in Tucson, AZ: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+900
2012
−683
2013
−1,797
2014
+803
2015
−747
2016
+2,763
2017
+6,076
2018
+8,026
2019
+8,801
2021
+5,280
2022
+7,890
2023
+3,804
2024
+3,965
2025
−350
Tucson anchors Pima County, one of Arizona's most consistently Democratic metros, driven by a large university population, significant Latino electorate, and a border-adjacent economy that shapes voters' priorities on trade and immigration policy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 25.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.2 points.
A population of 1,060,490, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,315 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flagstaff, AZ and Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tucson, AZ, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/46060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic by 15.2 points (D+15.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 513,176 votes cast, 292,450 went Democratic and 214,669 went Republican.
When did Tucson, AZ, Arizona last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tucson, AZ, Arizona voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Tucson, AZ, Arizona has a population of 1,060,490 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Tucson, AZ, Arizona is $70,315 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Tucson, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tucson, AZ, Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
