† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWinchester, TNTennesseeUnited States
English15.8%13.3%9.5%
American14.5%11.3%5.3%
German9.1%9.1%12.5%
Irish9.0%9.3%9.4%
Scottish2.5%2.2%1.3%
Scotch-Irish2.5%1.7%—
French2.0%1.3%1.6%
Polish1.7%—2.2%
African American†4.7%14.3%9.9%
African0.2%0.6%0.5%
Mexican1.8%3.8%11.3%
Honduran0.5%0.5%0.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.6%1.8%
Cuban0.4%0.2%0.7%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Winchester, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median age
42.2
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
11.4%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.9%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Winchester, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$63,494
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.0%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.9%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Winchester, TN
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.1%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.4%
5.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Winchester, TN
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
1.7%
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
34.6%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.3%
44.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
7.9%
6.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Winchester, TN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+41.9%
1896
+50.0%
1900
+55.1%
1904
+50.6%
1908
+50.0%
1912
+65.8%
1916
+54.3%
1920
+38.4%
1924
+48.1%
1928
+29.3%
1932
+78.1%
1936
+74.2%
1940
+76.5%
1944
+73.4%
1948
+52.9%
1952
+40.5%
1956
+46.5%
1960
+42.0%
1964
+45.4%
1968
+8.6%
1972
−17.2%
1976
+43.8%
1980
+24.9%
1984
+1.2%
1988
+0.6%
1992
+23.0%
1996
+12.2%
2000
+8.6%
2004
−7.8%
2008
−22.5%
2012
−28.9%
2016
−43.6%
2020
−47.7%
2024
−53.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
23.0%Harris4,529
76.1%Trump15,016
0.5%Kennedy99 +4
R+53.2
R+5.5
R+51.7
19,728
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican76.1%15,016
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic23.0%4,529
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.5%99
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.2%39
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%20
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%19
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%6
R
25.4%Biden4,864
73.1%Trump13,987
1.5%
R+47.7
R+4.0
R+52.1
19,132
R
26.7%Clinton4,374
70.3%Trump11,532
3.0%
R+43.6
R+14.7
R+45.7
16,404
R
34.8%Obama5,603
63.7%Romney10,262
1.6%
R+28.9
R+6.4
R+32.8
16,119
R
37.9%Obama6,613
60.5%McCain10,539
1.6%
R+22.5
R+14.7
R+29.8
17,432
R
45.7%Kerry7,800
53.5%Bush9,129
0.9%
R+7.8
R+16.4
R+5.3
17,077
D
53.3%Gore7,828
44.7%Bush6,560
2.1%
D+8.6
R+3.6
D+8.1
14,691
D
51.8%Clinton6,929
39.6%Dole5,296
8.6%
D+12.2
R+10.8
D+3.7
13,379
D
54.8%Clinton7,773
31.8%Bush4,507
13.4%
D+23.0
D+22.5
D+17.5
14,176
D
50.0%Dukakis5,442
49.4%Bush5,381
0.6%
D+0.6
R+0.7
D+8.3
10,886
D
50.3%Mondale5,846
49.1%Reagan5,705
0.6%
D+1.2
R+23.7
D+19.4
11,621
D
61.0%Carter6,760
36.0%Reagan3,995
3.0%
D+24.9
R+18.8
D+34.7
11,090
D
71.3%Carter6,788
27.5%Ford2,619
1.2%
D+43.8
D+61.0
D+41.7
9,524
R
40.3%McGovern2,896
57.5%Nixon4,136
2.2%
R+17.2
R+25.9
D+5.9
7,192
O
27.3%Humphrey2,489
18.6%Nixon1,700
54.1%
Wallace +26.8
R+36.8
D+9.3
9,128
D
72.7%Johnson6,029
27.3%Goldwater2,262
0.0%
D+45.4
D+3.4
D+22.9
8,291
D
70.6%Kennedy5,041
28.6%Nixon2,041
0.8%
D+42.0
R+4.4
D+41.9
7,139
D
72.6%Stevenson4,791
26.2%Eisenhower1,727
1.2%
D+46.5
D+5.9
D+61.9
6,595
D
70.0%Stevenson4,786
29.5%Eisenhower2,015
0.5%
D+40.5
R+12.3
D+51.3
6,834
D
66.1%Truman2,948
13.2%Dewey589
20.7%
D+52.9
R+20.6
D+48.4
4,461
D
86.6%Roosevelt3,958
13.1%Dewey600
0.3%
D+73.4
R+3.1
D+65.9
4,573
D
88.1%Roosevelt4,312
11.6%Willkie569
0.2%
D+76.5
D+2.3
D+66.6
4,893
D
86.9%Roosevelt3,534
12.8%Landon519
0.3%
D+74.2
R+4.0
D+49.9
4,066
D
88.6%Roosevelt3,029
10.5%Hoover360
0.8%
D+78.1
D+48.9
D+60.3
3,417
D
64.5%Smith1,698
35.3%Hoover928
0.2%
D+29.3
R+18.9
D+46.7
2,632
D
73.0%Davis2,072
24.9%Coolidge707
2.0%
D+48.1
D+9.7
D+73.3
2,837
D
69.2%Cox3,504
30.8%Harding1,558
0.0%
D+38.4
R+15.9
D+64.6
5,064
D
76.3%Wilson2,469
22.0%Hughes711
1.7%
D+54.3
R+11.5
D+51.2
3,235
D
79.3%Wilson2,172
13.5%Taft370
7.2%
D+65.8
D+15.8
D+46.3
2,738
D
74.7%Bryan2,168
24.7%Taft716
0.6%
D+50.0
R+0.5
D+59.6
2,902
D
74.7%Parker2,180
24.1%Roosevelt704
1.2%
D+50.6
R+4.6
D+70.2
2,918
D
76.5%Bryan2,196
21.4%McKinley613
2.2%
D+55.1
D+5.2
D+62.7
2,871
D
73.8%Bryan2,584
23.8%McKinley834
2.4%
D+50.0
D+8.0
D+56.0
3,502
D
60.3%Cleveland1,896
18.3%Harrison577
21.4%
D+41.9
—
D+40.3
3,146
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
23.3%4,493
74.9%14,437
19,274
2020
R
24.1%4,384
74.0%13,490
18,224
2018
R
34.3%4,776
64.5%8,981
13,927
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Winchester, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
25,583
2018
24,871
2020
26,696
2022
27,700
2024
29,401
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+491 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,039 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Winchester, TN in Winchester, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+12
2012
−115
2013
+550
2014
+185
2015
+104
2016
+273
2017
+139
2018
+355
2019
+276
2021
+594
2022
+1,044
2023
+629
2024
+502
2025
+491
Winchester's Franklin County core sits in the Cumberland Plateau foothills, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+2.9 marks a striking compression from earlier cycles, reflecting demographic and economic shifts reshaping small Tennessee metros.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 53.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.2 points.
A population of 43,990, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,494 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McMinnville, TN and Scottsboro, AL.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
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Winchester, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 53.2 points (R+53.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,728 votes cast, 4,529 went Democratic and 15,016 went Republican.
When did Winchester, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Winchester, TN, Tennessee has a population of 43,990 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee is $63,494 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Winchester, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.
