† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWinchester, VA-WVUnited States
German16.5%12.5%
English13.9%9.5%
Irish12.8%9.4%
American7.0%5.3%
Italian5.1%4.8%
French2.0%1.6%
Scottish1.7%1.3%
Polish1.6%2.2%
Mexican4.3%11.3%
Salvadoran2.0%0.7%
Puerto Rican1.4%1.8%
Guatemalan0.8%0.5%
Honduran0.6%0.3%
Peruvian0.5%—
Colombian0.3%0.4%
Bolivian0.3%—
African American†3.8%9.9%
Jamaican0.2%0.4%
Asian Indian0.4%1.4%
Filipino0.4%0.9%
Chinese0.2%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Winchester, VA-WV
United States
Median age
41.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.4%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Winchester, VA-WV
United States
Median household income
$85,664
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Winchester, VA-WV
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
11.7%
22.3%
Spanish
9.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Winchester, VA-WV
United States
Catholic
6.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
17.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
59.4%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Winchester, VA-WV
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+43.8%
1896
+36.1%
1900
+42.2%
1904
+44.7%
1908
+40.0%
1912
+55.4%
1916
+48.8%
1920
+23.8%
1924
+41.9%
1928
+1.4%
1932
+44.7%
1936
+36.3%
1940
+26.9%
1944
+12.3%
1948
+11.0%
1952
−14.2%
1956
−18.9%
1960
−8.8%
1964
+15.4%
1968
−21.4%
1972
−46.9%
1976
−12.3%
1980
−30.2%
1984
−46.2%
1988
−36.9%
1992
−19.0%
1996
−18.4%
2000
−28.1%
2004
−32.4%
2008
−17.1%
2012
−24.2%
2016
−31.6%
2020
−25.5%
2024
−27.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
35.7%Harris26,628
62.7%Trump46,833
0.4%Oliver310 +5
R+27.1
R+1.6
R+25.6
74,657
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican62.7%46,833
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic35.7%26,628
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%310
OtherAll other candidates0.4%295
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%277
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.2%118
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.1%101
Cornel R WestIndependent0.1%95
R
36.3%Biden25,756
61.8%Trump43,812
1.9%
R+25.5
D+6.1
R+29.9
70,895
R
31.2%Clinton18,676
62.8%Trump37,565
5.9%
R+31.6
R+7.4
R+33.7
59,784
R
36.7%Obama20,083
60.9%Romney33,327
2.4%
R+24.2
R+7.2
R+28.1
54,709
R
40.7%Obama21,212
57.8%McCain30,096
1.5%
R+17.1
D+15.4
R+24.3
52,084
R
33.3%Kerry15,275
65.7%Bush30,158
1.0%
R+32.4
R+4.3
R+30.0
45,879
R
34.5%Gore12,545
62.6%Bush22,767
2.9%
R+28.1
R+9.8
R+28.6
36,375
R
36.1%Clinton11,338
54.4%Dole17,103
9.5%
R+18.4
D+0.6
R+26.9
31,415
R
32.1%Clinton10,075
51.1%Bush16,025
16.7%
R+19.0
D+17.9
R+24.5
31,340
R
31.2%Dukakis8,092
68.1%Bush17,671
0.7%
R+36.9
D+9.3
R+29.2
25,942
R
26.7%Mondale6,837
72.9%Reagan18,662
0.4%
R+46.2
R+16.0
R+28.0
25,606
R
32.5%Carter7,476
62.7%Reagan14,412
4.8%
R+30.2
R+17.9
R+20.4
22,995
R
43.4%Carter8,839
55.7%Ford11,334
0.9%
R+12.3
D+34.6
R+14.3
20,357
R
25.9%McGovern4,659
72.7%Nixon13,098
1.4%
R+46.9
R+25.4
R+23.7
18,011
R
28.5%Humphrey4,763
49.9%Nixon8,350
21.6%
R+21.4
R+36.9
R+20.7
16,731
D
57.7%Johnson8,515
42.2%Goldwater6,238
0.1%
D+15.4
D+24.2
R+7.2
14,765
R
45.5%Kennedy5,809
54.3%Nixon6,928
0.3%
R+8.8
D+10.1
R+8.9
12,770
R
39.8%Stevenson4,706
58.7%Eisenhower6,933
1.5%
R+18.9
R+4.7
R+3.5
11,811
R
42.9%Stevenson4,772
57.1%Eisenhower6,351
0.1%
R+14.2
R+25.2
R+3.4
11,130
D
51.9%Truman4,495
40.9%Dewey3,544
7.3%
D+11.0
R+1.3
D+6.5
8,668
D
56.1%Roosevelt4,698
43.8%Dewey3,671
0.1%
D+12.3
R+14.6
D+4.8
8,381
D
63.4%Roosevelt6,022
36.5%Willkie3,469
0.1%
D+26.9
R+9.5
D+16.9
9,501
D
67.9%Roosevelt6,274
31.6%Landon2,920
0.4%
D+36.3
R+8.4
D+12.1
9,234
D
71.8%Roosevelt6,396
27.1%Hoover2,412
1.2%
D+44.7
D+43.3
D+26.9
8,914
D
50.6%Smith4,066
49.2%Hoover3,953
0.2%
D+1.4
R+40.5
D+18.9
8,034
D
70.3%Davis5,127
28.5%Coolidge2,076
1.2%
D+41.9
D+18.1
D+67.0
7,289
D
61.3%Cox4,294
37.5%Harding2,629
1.1%
D+23.8
R+25.0
D+50.0
7,003
D
73.9%Wilson3,843
25.1%Hughes1,307
1.0%
D+48.8
R+6.6
D+45.6
5,201
D
72.1%Wilson3,146
16.7%Taft728
11.2%
D+55.4
D+15.4
D+35.9
4,365
D
69.2%Bryan3,088
29.2%Taft1,303
1.7%
D+40.0
R+4.7
D+49.5
4,465
D
71.1%Parker3,130
26.4%Roosevelt1,162
2.5%
D+44.7
D+2.4
D+64.4
4,403
D
70.6%Bryan4,364
28.4%McKinley1,753
1.0%
D+42.2
D+6.2
D+49.8
6,180
D
67.2%Bryan4,247
31.2%McKinley1,968
1.6%
D+36.1
R+7.7
D+42.2
6,316
D
70.3%Cleveland4,492
26.4%Harrison1,691
3.3%
D+43.8
—
D+42.1
6,394
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+37.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+27.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Republican.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Winchester, VA-WV
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2026 (partial)
15,117
2,536
8,239
3,869
473
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,079 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +15,001 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Winchester, VA-WV in Winchester, VA-WV: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+716
2012
+473
2013
+873
2014
+634
2015
+110
2016
+734
2017
+1,687
2018
+963
2019
+781
2021
+2,539
2022
+725
2023
+994
2024
+1,693
2025
+2,079
Winchester spans the Virginia–West Virginia line along the lower Shenandoah Valley, drawing commuters from the D.C. corridor whose arrival has gradually narrowed what were once double-digit Republican margins in federal races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.1 points.
A population of 146,386, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,664 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton-Stuarts Draft, VA and Gettysburg, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 74,657 votes cast, 26,628 went Democratic and 46,833 went Republican.
When did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia has a population of 146,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia is $85,664 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
