Frederick County, Virginia: Realigning Affluent Suburb county. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Realigning Affluent SuburbAkashic typology
- Population
- 95,0082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,6062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greene County, VA · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Frederick CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Frederick County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +47.6% |
| 1896 | +36.8% |
| 1900 | +44.1% |
| 1904 | +45.1% |
| 1908 | +41.1% |
| 1912 | +60.0% |
| 1916 | +52.4% |
| 1920 | +20.7% |
| 1924 | +45.4% |
| 1928 | +6.2% |
| 1932 | +53.6% |
| 1936 | +35.0% |
| 1940 | +35.7% |
| 1944 | +12.8% |
| 1948 | +13.4% |
| 1952 | −15.2% |
| 1956 | −14.2% |
| 1960 | −7.9% |
| 1964 | +5.4% |
| 1968 | −28.0% |
| 1972 | −52.7% |
| 1976 | −20.4% |
| 1980 | −40.3% |
| 1984 | −56.0% |
| 1988 | −45.3% |
| 1992 | −25.7% |
| 1996 | −25.2% |
| 2000 | −33.1% |
| 2004 | −36.9% |
| 2008 | −21.4% |
| 2012 | −27.9% |
| 2016 | −35.0% |
| 2020 | −27.4% |
| 2024 | −28.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 18,331 | 33,117 | 52,263 | ||
| R | 17,207 | 30,558 | 48,703 | ||
| R | 11,932 | 26,083 | 40,440 | ||
| R | 12,690 | 22,858 | 36,394 | ||
| R | 12,961 | 20,149 | 33,612 | ||
| R | 8,853 | 19,386 | 28,540 | ||
| R | 7,158 | 14,574 | 22,392 | ||
| R | 5,976 | 10,608 | 18,412 | ||
| R | 4,942 | 9,425 | 17,468 | ||
| R | 3,707 | 9,921 | 13,717 | ||
| R | 2,671 | 9,542 | 12,267 | ||
| R | 2,948 | 7,293 | 10,787 | ||
| R | 3,389 | 5,162 | 8,672 | ||
| R | 1,604 | 5,367 | 7,139 | ||
| R | 1,612 | 3,696 | 7,454 | ||
| D | 2,880 | 2,585 | 5,474 | ||
| R | 1,757 | 2,061 | 3,835 | ||
| R | 1,405 | 1,882 | 3,360 | ||
| R | 1,326 | 1,803 | 3,134 | ||
| D | 1,244 | 921 | 2,404 | ||
| D | 1,213 | 938 | 2,156 | ||
| D | 1,631 | 773 | 2,406 | ||
| D | 1,386 | 665 | 2,058 | ||
| D | 1,536 | 456 | 2,016 | ||
| D | 1,140 | 1,006 | 2,146 | ||
| D | 1,314 | 484 | 1,827 | ||
| D | 1,337 | 875 | 2,236 | ||
| D | 1,194 | 366 | 1,581 | ||
| D | 922 | 181 | 1,235 | ||
| D | 866 | 354 | 1,245 | ||
| D | 858 | 316 | 1,202 | ||
| D | 1,748 | 671 | 2,444 | ||
| D | 1,848 | 845 | 2,728 | ||
| D | 2,035 | 700 | 2,803 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.7%
English
14.3%
Irish
12.6%
American
8.1%
Italian
5.9%
Polish
2.0%
French
2.0%
African American
3.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$97,606
Frederick County ranks in the top 5% of US counties.
Frederick County$97,606
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Frederick County ranks in the top 5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
6.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.8%
Working age (18–64)6.2%
Seniors (65+)9.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.1%
speak English only
Spanish9.3%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 67.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Frederick County sits at Virginia's northwestern gateway, where exurban growth from the D.C. corridor meets longstanding rural conservatism. Its 2024 margin of R+28.4 reflects a pattern of deepening Republican strength that has held across multiple election cycles.
Once reliably Republican — a margin of fifty-six points in 1984 at its widest — Frederick County has trended Democratic. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
A median household income of $97,606 — among the higher at this geographic scale — and a population of 95,008 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Union County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Frederick County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Frederick County, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Frederick County, Virginia voted Republican by 28.3 points (R+28), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 52,263 votes cast, 18,331 went Democratic and 33,117 went Republican.
What is Frederick County, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Frederick County, Virginia in the "Realigning Affluent Suburb" typology — College-educated, affluent suburbs — the one bloc moving toward the Democratic Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Frederick County, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Frederick County, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Frederick County, Virginia?
Frederick County, Virginia has a population of 95,008 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Frederick County, Virginia?
Median household income in Frederick County, Virginia is $97,606 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Frederick County, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Frederick County, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The county's typology — "Realigning Affluent Suburb" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.