Winchester city, Virginia: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+10%. Republican peak: R+52 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 27,9132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,9742024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 21.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Staunton city, VA · similarity 0.98
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Winchester cityPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Winchester city, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +10.4% |
| 1896 | +4.4% |
| 1900 | +16.6% |
| 1904 | +44.8% |
| 1908 | +24.6% |
| 1912 | +45.2% |
| 1916 | +39.8% |
| 1920 | +15.1% |
| 1924 | +31.8% |
| 1928 | −19.1% |
| 1932 | +25.2% |
| 1936 | +19.1% |
| 1940 | +8.2% |
| 1944 | −4.5% |
| 1948 | −14.8% |
| 1952 | −38.5% |
| 1956 | −41.8% |
| 1960 | −31.7% |
| 1964 | +1.7% |
| 1968 | −27.6% |
| 1972 | −52.5% |
| 1976 | −26.7% |
| 1980 | −33.7% |
| 1984 | −41.8% |
| 1988 | −32.0% |
| 1992 | −13.8% |
| 1996 | −9.1% |
| 2000 | −12.6% |
| 2004 | −14.1% |
| 2008 | +5.4% |
| 2012 | +1.4% |
| 2016 | +3.5% |
| 2020 | +11.5% |
| 2024 | +9.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 6,407 | 5,252 | 11,894 | ||
| D | 6,610 | 5,221 | 12,106 | ||
| D | 5,164 | 4,790 | 10,665 | ||
| D | 5,094 | 4,946 | 10,296 | ||
| D | 5,268 | 4,725 | 10,126 | ||
| R | 3,967 | 5,283 | 9,343 | ||
| R | 3,318 | 4,314 | 7,886 | ||
| R | 3,027 | 3,681 | 7,222 | ||
| R | 2,768 | 3,833 | 7,701 | ||
| R | 2,300 | 4,497 | 6,862 | ||
| R | 2,064 | 5,055 | 7,152 | ||
| R | 2,006 | 4,240 | 6,623 | ||
| R | 2,346 | 4,075 | 6,484 | ||
| R | 1,418 | 4,647 | 6,151 | ||
| R | 1,360 | 2,695 | 4,833 | ||
| D | 2,254 | 2,180 | 4,437 | ||
| R | 1,203 | 2,326 | 3,545 | ||
| R | 945 | 2,375 | 3,419 | ||
| R | 1,055 | 2,375 | 3,432 | ||
| R | 894 | 1,272 | 2,546 | ||
| R | 1,000 | 1,095 | 2,102 | ||
| D | 1,114 | 945 | 2,067 | ||
| D | 1,096 | 743 | 1,851 | ||
| D | 1,179 | 698 | 1,910 | ||
| R | 794 | 1,168 | 1,962 | ||
| D | 820 | 420 | 1,258 | ||
| D | 736 | 540 | 1,300 | ||
| D | 468 | 196 | 684 | ||
| D | 447 | 141 | 677 | ||
| D | 449 | 266 | 744 | ||
| D | 394 | 146 | 553 | ||
| D | 593 | 423 | 1,027 | ||
| D | 490 | 447 | 986 | ||
| D | 579 | 468 | 1,072 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.5%
Irish
13.0%
English
13.0%
American
4.6%
Italian
4.4%
Polish
1.8%
French
1.7%
African American
6.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 36.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,974
Winchester city ranks near the middle of US counties.
Winchester city$63,974
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Winchester city ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
21.5%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1833.5%
Working age (18–64)19.1%
Seniors (65+)7.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
80.4%
speak English only
Spanish15.4%
Other Indo-European3.4%
Other languages0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 23.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Winchester, one of Virginia's oldest independent cities, has shifted noticeably leftward over the past decade, posting a D+9.8 margin in 2024 — a significant departure from its historically Republican-leaning Shenandoah Valley surroundings.
The Democratic margin here reached forty-five points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.
A population of 27,913, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,974 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Staunton city and DuPage County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51840/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Virginia
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Frequently asked questions
How did Winchester city, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester city, Virginia voted Democratic by 9.7 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,894 votes cast, 6,407 went Democratic and 5,252 went Republican.
What is Winchester city, Virginia's political typology?
Akashic places Winchester city, Virginia in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 18 times, Republican 16 times, and other 0 times.
When did Winchester city, Virginia last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester city, Virginia voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Winchester city, Virginia?
Winchester city, Virginia has a population of 27,913 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester city, Virginia?
Median household income in Winchester city, Virginia is $63,974 — below the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Winchester city, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winchester city, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.