Winchester city, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 11,894 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -101 - MERRIMANS101 - MERRIMANS | 1,553 | 1,073 | 50 | 2,676 | 58.0% | 40.1% | D+17.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -301 - WAR MEMORIAL301 - WAR MEMORIAL | 1,063 | 986 | 31 | 2,080 | 51.1% | 47.4% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -402 - ROLLING HILLS402 - ROLLING HILLS | 1,003 | 1,002 | 45 | 2,050 | 48.9% | 48.9% | D+0.0 |
| Precinct -201 - VIRGINIA AVENUE201 - VIRGINIA AVENUE | 1,182 | 787 | 33 | 2,002 | 59.0% | 39.3% | D+19.7 |
| Precinct -102 - OLD TOWN102 - OLD TOWN | 1,068 | 826 | 55 | 1,949 | 54.8% | 42.4% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct -401 - FREDERICK DOUGLASS401 - FREDERICK DOUGLASS | 538 | 578 | 21 | 1,137 | 47.3% | 50.8% | R+3.5 |
| Frederick Douglass51840000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Merrimans51840000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Old Town51840000102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Rolling Hills51840000402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Virginia Avenue51840000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| War Memorial51840000301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +10.4% |
| 1896 | +4.4% |
| 1900 | +16.6% |
| 1904 | +44.8% |
| 1908 | +24.6% |
| 1912 | +45.2% |
| 1916 | +39.8% |
| 1920 | +15.1% |
| 1924 | +31.8% |
| 1928 | −19.1% |
| 1932 | +25.2% |
| 1936 | +19.1% |
| 1940 | +8.2% |
| 1944 | −4.5% |
| 1948 | −14.8% |
| 1952 | −38.5% |
| 1956 | −41.8% |
| 1960 | −31.7% |
| 1964 | +1.7% |
| 1968 | −27.6% |
| 1972 | −52.5% |
| 1976 | −26.7% |
| 1980 | −33.7% |
| 1984 | −41.8% |
| 1988 | −32.0% |
| 1992 | −13.8% |
| 1996 | −9.1% |
| 2000 | −12.6% |
| 2004 | −14.1% |
| 2008 | +5.4% |
| 2012 | +1.4% |
| 2016 | +3.5% |
| 2020 | +11.5% |
| 2024 | +9.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 15,940 |
| 2018 | 16,533 |
| 2020 | 17,594 |
| 2022 | 18,275 |
| 2024 | 18,996 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+20 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,015 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,080 in average income, against $86,709 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.4 on average — 28 points more Republican-leaning than Winchester city, VA itself (D+9.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Frederick County, VA498R+28.3
- Loudoun County, VA103D+16.2
- Berkeley County, WV75R+35.8
- Fairfax County, VA68D+34.7
- Prince William County, VA51D+17.9
- Warren County, VA47R+37.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Frederick County, VA607
- Berkeley County, WV123
- Shenandoah County, VA65
- Loudoun County, VA41
- Warren County, VA41
- Fairfax County, VA40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +276 |
| 2012 | +184 |
| 2013 | +121 |
| 2014 | −164 |
| 2015 | −252 |
| 2016 | −72 |
| 2017 | +116 |
| 2018 | −468 |
| 2019 | −44 |
| 2021 | +22 |
| 2022 | −311 |
| 2023 | −326 |
| 2024 | −117 |
| 2025 | +20 |
Winchester, one of Virginia's oldest independent cities, has shifted noticeably leftward over the past decade, posting a D+9.8 margin in 2024 — a significant departure from its historically Republican-leaning Shenandoah Valley surroundings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 27,913, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,974 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Waynesboro city and Fredericksburg city.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Winchester city, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51840/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.