† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupYoungstown-Warren, OHOhioUnited States
German16.4%22.3%12.5%
Italian13.7%5.8%4.8%
Irish12.7%12.3%9.4%
American11.0%5.6%5.3%
English9.1%11.0%9.5%
Slovak4.0%——
Polish3.5%3.2%2.2%
Hungarian2.1%——
African American†10.2%10.5%9.9%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Puerto Rican2.7%1.2%1.8%
Mexican1.0%2.0%11.3%
Spanish0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Ohio
United States
Median age
43.4
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.5%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$56,704
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
17.8%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.1%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.4%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
2.2%
2.7%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.4%
0.9%
0.5%
Other Indo-European
1.0%
1.2%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Youngstown-Warren, OH
Ohio
United States
Catholic
19.9%
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
15.3%
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
50.3%
52.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.7%
7.0%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Youngstown-Warren, OH
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−9.1%
1896
−21.2%
1900
−19.6%
1904
−39.9%
1908
−12.0%
1912
+5.3%
1916
+4.4%
1920
−35.3%
1924
−54.7%
1928
−36.6%
1932
−9.9%
1936
+39.4%
1940
+28.0%
1944
+26.8%
1948
+22.4%
1952
+8.0%
1956
−7.9%
1960
+16.4%
1964
+41.0%
1968
+15.9%
1972
−6.6%
1976
+21.5%
1980
+7.7%
1984
+14.6%
1988
+23.7%
1992
+26.7%
1996
+33.9%
2000
+24.6%
2004
+24.9%
2008
+24.6%
2012
+25.6%
2016
−1.0%
2020
−5.9%
2024
−12.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
43.2%Harris90,394
56.0%Trump117,232
0.4%Oliver815 +3
R+12.8
R+6.9
R+11.4
209,237
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican56.0%117,232
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic43.2%90,394
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%815
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.2%503
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.1%248
OtherAll other candidates0.0%45
R
46.4%Biden102,160
52.3%Trump115,097
1.2%
R+5.9
R+4.8
R+10.3
219,967
R
46.6%Clinton100,395
47.7%Trump102,640
5.7%
R+1.0
R+26.7
R+3.1
215,336
D
61.5%Obama138,731
35.9%Romney80,920
2.6%
D+25.6
D+1.0
D+21.8
225,524
D
61.0%Obama143,318
36.4%McCain85,483
2.6%
D+24.6
R+0.3
D+17.3
234,930
D
62.2%Kerry149,867
37.2%Bush89,738
0.6%
D+24.9
D+0.3
D+27.4
241,049
D
60.3%Gore126,855
35.7%Bush75,114
4.0%
D+24.6
R+9.3
D+24.1
210,358
D
60.3%Clinton128,320
26.4%Dole56,208
13.3%
D+33.9
D+7.2
D+25.3
212,923
D
51.2%Clinton119,322
24.4%Bush57,022
24.4%
D+26.7
D+3.1
D+21.1
233,256
D
61.5%Dukakis134,198
37.8%Bush82,537
0.8%
D+23.7
D+9.0
D+31.4
218,376
D
56.8%Mondale133,416
42.2%Reagan99,047
1.0%
D+14.6
D+6.9
D+32.9
234,697
D
49.5%Carter108,043
41.8%Reagan91,209
8.7%
D+7.7
R+13.8
D+17.5
218,163
D
59.5%Carter129,665
38.0%Ford82,783
2.5%
D+21.5
D+28.1
D+19.5
217,838
R
45.6%McGovern97,706
52.2%Nixon111,824
2.3%
R+6.6
R+22.5
D+16.6
214,354
D
52.7%Humphrey108,798
36.8%Nixon76,024
10.4%
D+15.9
R+25.1
D+16.6
206,338
D
70.5%Johnson145,276
29.5%Goldwater60,834
0.0%
D+41.0
D+24.5
D+18.4
206,110
D
58.2%Kennedy129,071
41.8%Nixon92,651
0.0%
D+16.4
D+24.4
D+16.3
221,722
R
46.0%Stevenson92,039
54.0%Eisenhower107,928
0.0%
R+7.9
R+15.9
D+7.5
199,967
D
54.0%Stevenson106,784
46.0%Eisenhower90,957
0.0%
D+8.0
R+14.4
D+18.8
197,741
D
60.5%Truman99,565
38.1%Dewey62,662
1.4%
D+22.4
R+4.3
D+17.9
164,538
D
63.4%Roosevelt104,414
36.6%Dewey60,334
0.0%
D+26.8
R+1.2
D+19.3
164,748
D
64.0%Roosevelt111,056
36.0%Willkie62,522
0.0%
D+28.0
R+11.4
D+18.0
173,578
D
68.9%Roosevelt97,270
29.5%Landon41,712
1.6%
D+39.4
D+49.2
D+15.1
141,187
R
42.9%Roosevelt51,010
52.8%Hoover62,742
4.2%
R+9.9
D+26.7
R+27.7
118,774
R
31.4%Smith36,038
67.9%Hoover78,051
0.7%
R+36.6
D+18.1
R+19.1
114,942
R
15.6%Davis13,342
70.3%Coolidge59,988
14.0%
R+54.7
R+19.4
R+29.5
85,313
R
30.3%Cox21,756
65.5%Harding47,079
4.2%
R+35.3
R+39.6
R+9.1
71,829
D
49.9%Wilson19,104
45.5%Hughes17,423
4.6%
D+4.4
R+1.0
D+1.2
38,305
O
31.8%Wilson10,185
26.4%Taft8,472
41.8%
Roosevelt +10.1
D+17.3
R+14.2
32,078
R
41.7%Bryan13,788
53.7%Taft17,738
4.6%
R+12.0
D+28.0
R+2.4
33,054
R
23.3%Parker6,546
63.2%Roosevelt17,787
13.6%
R+39.9
R+20.3
R+20.3
28,149
R
39.0%Bryan11,088
58.6%McKinley16,662
2.4%
R+19.6
D+1.6
R+12.1
28,439
R
38.8%Bryan10,601
60.0%McKinley16,396
1.1%
R+21.2
R+12.1
R+15.1
27,310
R
42.5%Cleveland9,575
51.6%Harrison11,625
5.9%
R+9.1
—
R+10.8
22,538
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
46.8%97,025
49.6%102,822
207,154
2022
R
47.3%75,311
52.5%83,479
159,073
2018
D
59.3%97,975
40.7%67,136
165,138
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Youngstown-Warren, OH
Year
Total registered
2016
306,184
2018
311,169
2020
302,154
2022
299,841
2024
300,778
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+676 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −10,705 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Youngstown-Warren, OH in Youngstown-Warren, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,202
2012
−2,312
2013
−1,365
2014
−1,718
2015
−2,164
2016
−2,479
2017
−1,050
2018
−1,548
2019
−60
2021
+154
2022
+1,124
2023
+811
2024
+428
2025
+676
Youngstown-Warren anchors the Mahoning Valley, a region that spent decades as a Democratic stronghold on the strength of steel-industry labor but has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races since 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 427,420, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,704 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Canton-Massillon, OH and Cleveland, OH.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+12.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 209,237 votes cast, 90,394 went Democratic and 117,232 went Republican.
When did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio has a population of 427,420 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio is $56,704 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.
