Youngstown-Warren, OH · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Youngstown-Warren, OH, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Youngstown-Warren, OH
Year
Total registered
2016
306,184
2018
311,169
2020
302,154
2022
299,841
2024
300,778
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+676 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −10,705 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Youngstown-Warren, OH in Youngstown-Warren, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,202
2012
−2,312
2013
−1,365
2014
−1,718
2015
−2,164
2016
−2,479
2017
−1,050
2018
−1,548
2019
−60
2021
+154
2022
+1,124
2023
+811
2024
+428
2025
+676
Youngstown-Warren anchors the Mahoning Valley, a region that spent decades as a Democratic stronghold on the strength of steel-industry labor but has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races since 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.8 points.
A population of 427,420, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,704 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Canton-Massillon, OH and Cleveland, OH.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/49660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 12.8 points (R+12.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 209,237 votes cast, 90,394 went Democratic and 117,232 went Republican.
When did Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio has a population of 427,420 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio is $56,704 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Youngstown-Warren, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.
