Mahoning County, Ohio: Heartland Swing county. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Heartland SwingAkashic typology
- Population
- 226,4912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,9422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Carlton County, MN · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Mahoning CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Mahoning County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +4.3% |
| 1896 | −11.4% |
| 1900 | −9.2% |
| 1904 | −34.4% |
| 1908 | −6.9% |
| 1912 | +4.8% |
| 1916 | +7.0% |
| 1920 | −31.8% |
| 1924 | −51.2% |
| 1928 | −28.3% |
| 1932 | −8.7% |
| 1936 | +44.1% |
| 1940 | +34.2% |
| 1944 | +33.2% |
| 1948 | +24.8% |
| 1952 | +12.0% |
| 1956 | −4.0% |
| 1960 | +22.5% |
| 1964 | +45.8% |
| 1968 | +20.6% |
| 1972 | −1.3% |
| 1976 | +23.6% |
| 1980 | +10.8% |
| 1984 | +17.6% |
| 1988 | +26.5% |
| 1992 | +26.7% |
| 1996 | +35.0% |
| 2000 | +25.2% |
| 2004 | +25.9% |
| 2008 | +26.5% |
| 2012 | +28.0% |
| 2016 | +3.2% |
| 2020 | −1.9% |
| 2024 | −9.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 50,636 | 61,249 | 113,233 | ||
| R | 57,641 | 59,903 | 118,966 | ||
| D | 57,381 | 53,616 | 117,636 | ||
| D | 77,059 | 42,641 | 122,801 | ||
| D | 79,173 | 45,319 | 127,659 | ||
| D | 83,194 | 48,761 | 132,904 | ||
| D | 69,212 | 40,460 | 114,119 | ||
| D | 72,716 | 31,397 | 118,178 | ||
| D | 64,731 | 31,191 | 125,650 | ||
| D | 75,524 | 43,722 | 120,126 | ||
| D | 76,514 | 53,424 | 131,438 | ||
| D | 63,677 | 50,153 | 125,161 | ||
| D | 75,837 | 46,314 | 125,294 | ||
| R | 62,428 | 64,144 | 129,088 | ||
| D | 68,433 | 42,948 | 123,578 | ||
| D | 90,934 | 33,775 | 124,709 | ||
| D | 82,143 | 51,927 | 134,070 | ||
| R | 59,126 | 63,992 | 123,118 | ||
| D | 67,722 | 53,164 | 120,886 | ||
| D | 62,468 | 37,365 | 101,146 | ||
| D | 70,102 | 35,184 | 105,286 | ||
| D | 76,441 | 37,496 | 113,937 | ||
| D | 64,886 | 24,825 | 90,858 | ||
| R | 33,139 | 39,713 | 75,861 | ||
| R | 26,928 | 48,341 | 75,748 | ||
| R | 9,335 | 37,647 | 55,264 | ||
| R | 14,941 | 29,736 | 46,570 | ||
| D | 13,013 | 11,256 | 25,225 | ||
| O | 6,838 | 5,839 | 20,703 | ||
| R | 9,312 | 10,760 | 21,023 | ||
| R | 4,436 | 10,404 | 17,350 | ||
| R | 7,402 | 8,939 | 16,686 | ||
| R | 6,772 | 8,529 | 15,432 | ||
| D | 6,358 | 5,806 | 12,750 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.4%
Italian
16.7%
Irish
13.9%
English
8.8%
American
5.2%
Polish
3.9%
Scottish
1.5%
African American
11.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$56,942
Mahoning County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Mahoning County$56,942
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Mahoning County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.9%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1828.1%
Working age (18–64)16.8%
Seniors (65+)13.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish3.5%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Other languages0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 48.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Mahoning County, anchored by Youngstown, spent decades as one of Ohio's most reliably Democratic counties; since 2016 it has shifted sharply, posting an R+9.4 margin in 2024 after deindustrialization reshaped its working-class electorate.
The Democratic margin here peaked at forty-six points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was nine points.
A population of 226,491, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,942 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carlton County and Mower County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Mahoning County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More heartland swing counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Mahoning County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mahoning County, Ohio voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 113,233 votes cast, 50,636 went Democratic and 61,249 went Republican.
What is Mahoning County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Mahoning County, Ohio in the "Heartland Swing" typology — Industrial Midwest swing counties drifting steadily toward the Republican Party. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 12 times, and other 1 times.
When did Mahoning County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Mahoning County, Ohio voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Mahoning County, Ohio?
Mahoning County, Ohio has a population of 226,491 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mahoning County, Ohio?
Median household income in Mahoning County, Ohio is $56,942 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Mahoning County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Mahoning County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The county's typology — "Heartland Swing" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.