congressional districtArizona 5th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+28.0
2008R+24.1
2012R+27.7
2016R+21.3
2020R+16.4
2024R+20.0
net swing · 2004→2024D+8.0R+28.0 → R+20.0
vs. U.S. · 2024R+18.5R+20.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 74.5% of 597,654 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
175,675
264,575
4,850
445,100
597,654
74.5%
2020
170,507
238,463
6,436
415,406
562,196†
73.9%
2016
104,031
166,671
23,754
294,456
504,121†
58.4%
2012
85,755
153,463
5,104
244,322
459,586†
53.2%
2008
86,642
142,593
2,899
232,134
433,429†
53.6%
2004
69,198
123,301
596
193,095
407,272†
47.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAZ-5ArizonaUnited States
German17.2%12.6%12.5%
English13.3%10.2%9.5%
Irish12.1%8.9%9.4%
Italian5.9%4.1%4.8%
American5.6%4.0%5.3%
Polish3.0%2.0%2.2%
French2.3%1.8%1.6%
Scottish2.0%1.7%1.3%
Mexican15.0%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.3%0.5%—
Spanish0.2%0.4%—
Salvadoran0.2%0.3%0.7%
Cuban0.2%0.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Asian Indian1.6%0.9%1.4%
Filipino1.1%0.7%0.9%
Chinese1.0%0.6%1.3%
Vietnamese0.9%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.4%0.3%0.4%
Japanese0.3%0.2%0.2%
African American†3.2%3.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AZ-5
Arizona
United States
Median age
38.9
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.0%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AZ-5
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$109,252
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.3%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.0%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AZ-5
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
25.1%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
18.9%
19.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.3%
1.0%
2.0%
Other languages
1.0%
2.0%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
AZ-5
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arizona 5th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−28.0%
2008
−24.1%
2012
−27.7%
2016
−21.3%
2020
−16.4%
2024
−20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 22 House races · 18 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
5
R
39.6%167,680
60.4%255,628
423,308
2022
5
R
37.4%120,275
56.7%182,464
321,590
2020
5
R
41.1%183,171
58.9%262,486
445,657
2018
5
R
40.6%127,027
59.4%186,037
313,064
2016
5
R
35.9%114,940
64.1%205,184
320,124
2014
5
R
30.4%54,596
69.6%124,867
179,463
2012
5
R
32.8%89,589
67.2%183,470
273,059
2010
5
R
43.2%91,749
52.0%110,374
212,250
2008
5
D
53.2%149,033
43.6%122,165
280,365
2006
5
D
50.4%101,838
46.4%93,815
202,010
2004
5
R
38.2%102,363
59.5%159,455
268,007
2002
5
R
36.3%61,559
61.2%103,870
169,812
2000
5
R
35.3%101,564
60.1%172,986
287,609
1998
5
R
45.2%91,030
51.6%103,952
201,473
1996
5
R
25.9%67,597
68.7%179,349
260,898
1994
5
R
28.7%63,436
67.7%149,514
220,771
1992
5
R
29.7%77,256
66.5%172,867
259,813
1990
5
R
35.2%75,642
64.8%138,975
214,617
1988
5
R
32.2%78,115
67.8%164,462
242,577
1986
5
R
35.1%64,848
64.9%119,647
184,495
1984
5
R
48.2%109,871
50.9%116,075
227,938
1982
5
D
49.7%82,938
48.3%80,531
166,802
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
43.1%189,836
54.6%240,570
440,279
2022
D
51.4%1,322,027
46.5%1,196,328
2,572,294
2020
D
51.2%1,716,634
48.8%1,638,060
3,355,307
2018
D
50.0%1,191,100
47.6%1,135,200
2,383,742
2016
R
40.8%1,031,245
53.8%1,359,761
2,529,768
2012
R
46.2%1,036,542
49.2%1,104,457
2,243,108
2010
R
34.8%592,011
59.1%1,005,615
1,702,326
2006
R
43.5%664,141
53.3%814,398
1,526,770
2004
R
20.6%404,507
76.7%1,505,372
1,961,677
2000
R
0.0%0
79.3%1,108,196
1,397,076
1998
R
27.2%275,224
68.8%696,577
1,013,093
1994
R
39.5%442,510
53.7%600,999
1,119,002
1992
R
31.6%436,321
55.8%771,395
1,382,025
1988
D
56.7%660,403
41.1%478,060
1,164,507
1986
R
39.5%340,965
60.5%521,850
862,815
1982
D
56.9%411,970
40.3%291,749
723,819
1980
R
48.4%422,972
49.5%432,371
874,225
1976
D
54.0%400,334
43.3%321,236
741,210
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Kari Lake · Republican54.6%240,570
Ruben Gallego · Democrat43.1%189,836
Eduardo Quintana · Green1.9%8,513
Write-In0.3%1,227
Sarah Williams0.0%101
Jannie "Jannie" Prosser0.0%11
Steven Cavin Sanders0.0%10
Christopher Beckett0.0%9
David Bozic0.0%1
Shawn Petty0.0%1
Anchored in the East Valley suburbs of Maricopa County, AZ-05 has backed Republican presidential candidates by double digits consistently, with the 2024 margin reaching R+17.1 — among the largest in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 28.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.
A population of 794,617, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,252 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 8 and Congressional District 11.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Arizona 5th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0405/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Arizona 5th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 5th Congressional District voted Republican by 20.0 points (R+20.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 445,100 votes cast, 175,675 went Democratic and 264,575 went Republican.
How many people live in Arizona 5th Congressional District?
Arizona 5th Congressional District has a population of 794,617 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 5th Congressional District is $109,252 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 5th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arizona 5th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
