congressional districtArizona 6th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+10.0
2008R+10.0
2012R+10.8
2016R+5.3
2020D+0.1
2024R+0.7
net swing · 2004→2024D+9.2R+10.0 → R+0.7
vs. U.S. · 2024D+0.7R+0.7 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 69.3% of 635,522 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
216,017
219,318
4,828
440,163
635,522
69.3%
2020
214,868
214,526
6,607
436,001
611,085†
71.3%
2016
155,103
173,842
25,588
354,533
570,199†
62.2%
2012
142,698
177,987
6,374
327,059
547,233†
59.8%
2008
146,715
179,999
4,654
331,368
511,562†
64.8%
2004
133,629
163,442
2,234
299,305
475,890†
62.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAZ-6ArizonaUnited States
German17.4%12.6%12.5%
English14.8%10.2%9.5%
Irish12.1%8.9%9.4%
American5.0%4.0%5.3%
Italian4.7%4.1%4.8%
French2.7%1.8%1.6%
Polish2.4%2.0%2.2%
Scottish2.3%1.7%1.3%
Mexican21.8%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.4%0.5%—
Spanish0.3%0.4%—
African American†3.1%3.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.3%0.5%
Filipino0.8%0.7%0.9%
Chinese0.4%0.6%1.3%
Korean0.4%0.3%0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%0.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.3%0.4%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AZ-6
Arizona
United States
Median age
44.4
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.4%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.8%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AZ-6
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$77,758
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.4%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
29.6%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AZ-6
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
23.8%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
19.6%
19.3%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
AZ-6
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arizona 6th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−10.0%
2008
−10.0%
2012
−10.8%
2016
−5.3%
2020
+0.1%
2024
−0.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 17 House races · 18 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
6
R
47.5%204,774
50.0%215,596
431,220
2022
6
R
49.3%172,040
50.7%177,201
349,283
2020
6
R
47.8%199,644
52.2%217,783
417,427
2018
6
R
44.8%140,559
55.2%173,140
313,699
2016
6
R
37.9%122,866
62.1%201,578
324,444
2014
6
R
35.1%70,198
64.9%129,578
199,776
2012
6
R
33.3%97,666
61.3%179,706
293,177
2010
6
R
29.1%72,615
66.4%165,649
249,383
2008
6
R
34.5%115,457
62.4%208,582
334,176
2006
6
R
0.0%0
74.8%152,201
203,486
2004
6
R
0.0%0
79.4%202,882
255,577
2002
6
R
31.6%49,355
65.9%103,094
156,337
2000
6
R
35.6%108,317
61.4%186,687
304,004
1998
6
R
43.7%88,001
53.0%106,891
201,537
1996
6
R
46.6%118,957
47.6%121,431
255,287
1994
6
R
41.5%81,321
54.6%107,060
196,068
1992
6
D
53.2%124,251
41.6%97,074
233,372
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
51.3%222,982
46.2%200,863
434,909
2022
D
51.4%1,322,027
46.5%1,196,328
2,572,294
2020
D
51.2%1,716,634
48.8%1,638,060
3,355,307
2018
D
50.0%1,191,100
47.6%1,135,200
2,383,742
2016
R
40.8%1,031,245
53.8%1,359,761
2,529,768
2012
R
46.2%1,036,542
49.2%1,104,457
2,243,108
2010
R
34.8%592,011
59.1%1,005,615
1,702,326
2006
R
43.5%664,141
53.3%814,398
1,526,770
2004
R
20.6%404,507
76.7%1,505,372
1,961,677
2000
R
0.0%0
79.3%1,108,196
1,397,076
1998
R
27.2%275,224
68.8%696,577
1,013,093
1994
R
39.5%442,510
53.7%600,999
1,119,002
1992
R
31.6%436,321
55.8%771,395
1,382,025
1988
D
56.7%660,403
41.1%478,060
1,164,507
1986
R
39.5%340,965
60.5%521,850
862,815
1982
D
56.9%411,970
40.3%291,749
723,819
1980
R
48.4%422,972
49.5%432,371
874,225
1976
D
54.0%400,334
43.3%321,236
741,210
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Ruben Gallego · Democrat51.3%222,982
Kari Lake · Republican46.2%200,863
Eduardo Quintana · Green2.4%10,255
Write-In0.2%809
Arizona's 6th anchors the northeastern Phoenix suburbs and exurbs, where rapid population growth has coincided with a consistent shift toward Republican margins in federal contests over the past two cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 10.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.7 points.
A population of 794,623, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,758 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arizona 6th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0406/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Arizona 6th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 6th Congressional District voted Republican by 0.7 points (R+0.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 440,163 votes cast, 216,017 went Democratic and 219,318 went Republican.
When did Arizona 6th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arizona 6th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Arizona 6th Congressional District?
Arizona 6th Congressional District has a population of 794,623 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 6th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 6th Congressional District is $77,758 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 6th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arizona 6th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
