HarrisDemocratic33.9%137,011TrumpRepublican64.8%262,095OtherAll other candidates1.4%5,537
R+30.9- Lead
- 125,084
- Total
- 404,643
- vs nation
- R+29.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashiccongressional district
Arizona 9th Congressional District
Contests in this Place (36 available)
President29 · 1912–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic36.4%132,212TrumpRepublican62.1%225,866OtherAll other candidates1.5%5,412
R+25.8- Lead
- 93,654
- Total
- 363,490
- vs nation
- R+30.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic32.3%82,620TrumpRepublican61.4%157,038OtherAll other candidates6.3%16,096
R+29.1- Lead
- 74,418
- Total
- 255,754
- vs nation
- R+31.2
exact aggregate
ObamaDemocratic33.2%75,146RomneyRepublican64.8%146,667OtherAll other candidates2.0%4,497
R+31.6- Lead
- 71,521
- Total
- 226,310
- vs nation
- R+35.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic34.7%77,848McCainRepublican63.4%142,109OtherAll other candidates1.9%4,338
R+28.7- Lead
- 64,261
- Total
- 224,295
- vs nation
- R+35.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic34.6%67,550BushRepublican64.5%125,819OtherAll other candidates0.9%1,781
R+29.9- Lead
- 58,269
- Total
- 195,150
- vs nation
- R+27.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic36.8%54,250BushRepublican59.5%87,733OtherAll other candidates3.7%5,487
R+22.7- Lead
- 33,483
- Total
- 147,470
- vs nation
- R+23.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.9%51,386DoleRepublican50.9%69,075OtherAll other candidates11.3%15,282
R+13.0- Lead
- 17,689
- Total
- 135,743
- vs nation
- R+21.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 794,4422024 5-year
- Population density
- 34 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 23,229 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,6782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 5, CA · twin score 80.8
presidential history
Party record book
Arizona 9th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
63.1%
4,928 votes · D+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 61.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
75.3%
72,666 votes · R+51.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
137,011votes
33.9% of the vote · R+30.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 132,212 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
262,095votes
64.8% of the vote · R+30.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 225,866 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+7.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.4 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +6.1 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+42.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.0 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · +39.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
2026 election
On the ballot
AZ-09 · U.S. House
Republican Paul Gosar holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held July 21, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R+30.6Paul A. Gosar | R+30.9 | −0.3 |
| 2022 | R+95.5Paul Gosar | — | — |
| 2020 | D+23.3Greg Stanton | R+25.8 | — |
| 2018 | D+22.2Greg Stanton | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
U.S. House elections · 7 House
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Arizona 9th Congressional District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 794,442, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,678 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 5 and Congressional District 21.
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Congressional District 5
California
80.8twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Congressional District 21
Texas
79.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Congressional District 1
Idaho
79.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arizona 9th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0409/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Arizona at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arizona 9th Congressional District
counties it covers4
Frequently asked questions
How did Arizona 9th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 9th Congressional District voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 404,643 votes cast, 137,011 went Democratic and 262,095 went Republican.
When did Arizona 9th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arizona 9th Congressional District voted Democratic was 1940.
How many people live in Arizona 9th Congressional District?
Arizona 9th Congressional District has a population of 794,442 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 9th Congressional District?
Median household income in Arizona 9th Congressional District is $78,678 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 9th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 9th Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.