Maricopa County, Arizona: New American county. In 2024, voted R+3%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,559,7482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,3002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morris County, NJ · similarity 0.97
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Maricopa CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Maricopa County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +34.6% |
| 1916 | +12.9% |
| 1920 | −12.5% |
| 1924 | −6.0% |
| 1928 | −24.6% |
| 1932 | +30.5% |
| 1936 | +38.6% |
| 1940 | +21.4% |
| 1944 | +12.8% |
| 1948 | +5.0% |
| 1952 | −21.1% |
| 1956 | −26.1% |
| 1960 | −18.8% |
| 1964 | −7.9% |
| 1968 | −27.7% |
| 1972 | −42.3% |
| 1976 | −27.1% |
| 1980 | −40.4% |
| 1984 | −44.9% |
| 1988 | −31.0% |
| 1992 | −8.5% |
| 1996 | −2.7% |
| 2000 | −10.3% |
| 2004 | −14.6% |
| 2008 | −10.6% |
| 2012 | −10.7% |
| 2016 | −2.8% |
| 2020 | +2.2% |
| 2024 | −3.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 980,016 | 1,051,531 | 2,061,574 | ||
| D | 1,040,774 | 995,665 | 2,076,086 | ||
| R | 702,907 | 747,361 | 1,567,834 | ||
| R | 602,288 | 749,885 | 1,380,959 | ||
| R | 602,166 | 746,448 | 1,364,962 | ||
| R | 504,849 | 679,455 | 1,194,961 | ||
| R | 386,683 | 479,967 | 901,699 | ||
| R | 363,991 | 386,015 | 817,432 | ||
| R | 285,457 | 360,049 | 876,832 | ||
| R | 230,952 | 442,337 | 681,518 | ||
| R | 154,833 | 411,902 | 572,273 | ||
| R | 119,752 | 316,287 | 486,834 | ||
| R | 144,613 | 258,262 | 418,841 | ||
| R | 95,135 | 244,593 | 353,000 | ||
| R | 86,204 | 162,262 | 274,651 | ||
| R | 122,042 | 143,114 | 265,326 | ||
| R | 86,834 | 127,090 | 214,059 | ||
| R | 54,010 | 92,140 | 146,341 | ||
| R | 50,285 | 77,249 | 127,534 | ||
| D | 40,498 | 36,585 | 78,992 | ||
| D | 32,197 | 24,853 | 57,258 | ||
| D | 35,055 | 22,610 | 58,079 | ||
| D | 32,031 | 13,671 | 47,610 | ||
| D | 28,601 | 15,086 | 44,280 | ||
| R | 12,146 | 20,089 | 32,269 | ||
| R | 9,177 | 10,611 | 23,758 | ||
| R | 8,825 | 11,336 | 20,161 | ||
| D | 7,634 | 5,747 | 14,640 | ||
| D | 2,606 | 642 | 5,669 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
9.8%
Irish
8.8%
Italian
4.4%
American
4.2%
Polish
2.2%
French
1.7%
African American
4.6%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$89,300
Maricopa County ranks in the top 10% of US counties.
Maricopa County$89,300
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Maricopa County ranks in the top 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)9.9%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.0%
speak English only
Spanish19.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.7%
Other Indo-European2.4%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Maricopa holds roughly 60% of Arizona's total population, making it the decisive variable in statewide races. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+3.5 reflects a suburban realignment that has compressed what were once double-digit Republican advantages.
Maricopa County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of thirty-nine points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved six points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $89,300, and a population of 4,559,748. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morris County and Lynchburg city.
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Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maricopa County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Maricopa County, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maricopa County, Arizona voted Republican by 3.5 points (R+3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,061,574 votes cast, 980,016 went Democratic and 1,051,531 went Republican.
What is Maricopa County, Arizona's political typology?
Akashic places Maricopa County, Arizona in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.
When did Maricopa County, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Maricopa County, Arizona voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Maricopa County, Arizona?
Maricopa County, Arizona has a population of 4,559,748 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maricopa County, Arizona?
Median household income in Maricopa County, Arizona is $89,300 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Maricopa County, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maricopa County, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.