- Lead
- 3,369
- Total
- 7,624
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- 58.5%
La Paz County, AZ
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.5% of 13,172 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,893
- Total
- 7,472
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- 46.2%
- Lead
- 2,428
- Total
- 5,951
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 40.3%
- Lead
- 1,834
- Total
- 5,735
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,580
- Total
- 5,552
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,309
- Total
- 5,059
- vs nation
- R+23.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 774
- Total
- 4,483
- vs nation
- R+17.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 4,493
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,6642024 5-year
- Population density
- 3.7 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,497 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,4782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+4.2 in 1992MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sierra County, NM · twin score 79.5
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 58.5%7,700 participants ÷ 13,172 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +2.0 ptsMidterm-resilient, low base
- Drop-off vs state
- -15.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 53.7%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,700 | 13,172 ± 272 | 58.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 5,611 | 12,681 ± 315 | 44.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 7,522 | 16,271 ± 427 | 46.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,164 | 15,772 ± 426 | 32.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 6,142 | 15,243 ± 296 | 40.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,735 | 15,178 | 37.8% | Derived | — | |
| 5,552 | 14,626 | 38.0% | Derived | — | |
| 5,059 | 14,074 extrapolated | 35.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 23 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 7,624 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -051 PARKER051 PARKER | 734 | 1,072 | 11 | 1,817 | 40.4% | 59.0% | R+18.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -054 UPRIVER054 UPRIVER | 280 | 1,222 | 6 | 1,508 | 18.6% | 81.0% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -058 QUARTZSITE 2058 QUARTZSITE 2 | 272 | 805 | 7 | 1,084 | 25.1% | 74.3% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -057 SALOME057 SALOME | 186 | 719 | 10 | 915 | 20.3% | 78.6% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -064 QUARTZSITE 3064 QUARTZSITE 3 | 161 | 429 | 3 | 593 | 27.2% | 72.3% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -055 BOUSE055 BOUSE | 97 | 444 | 3 | 544 | 17.8% | 81.6% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -060 EHRENBERG060 EHRENBERG | 63 | 306 | 5 | 374 | 16.8% | 81.8% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -052 POSTON052 POSTON | 206 | 137 | 4 | 347 | 59.4% | 39.5% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct -062 VICKSBURG062 VICKSBURG | 40 | 165 | 2 | 207 | 19.3% | 79.7% | R+60.4 |
| Precinct -056 WENDEN056 WENDEN | 45 | 95 | 2 | 142 | 31.7% | 66.9% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -059 CIBOLA059 CIBOLA | 17 | 76 | 0 | 93 | 18.3% | 81.7% | R+63.4 |
| Alamo Voting District04_0401263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bouse Voting District04_0401255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cibola Voting District04_0401259 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ehrenberg Voting District04_0401260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker 1 Voting District04_0401251 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Parker 2 Voting District04_0401253 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Poston Voting District04_0401252 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Quartzite Voting District04_0401258 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salome Voting District04_0401257 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Upriver Voting District04_0401254 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vicksburg Voting District04_0401262 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wenden Voting District04_0401256 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
La Paz County, AZ · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1984–2024 · 11 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
43.7%
1,964 votes · D+1.4
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 39.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
71.7%
5,470 votes · R+44.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,236votes
29.9% of the vote · R+38.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,101 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,470votes
71.7% of the vote · R+44.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,129 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−1.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.2 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −7.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+43.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+38.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +42.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing La Paz County, AZ. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican than the rolls.
11,219 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+182 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,465 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,464 in average income, against $53,865 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.6 on average — 37 points more Democratic-leaning than La Paz County, AZ itself (R+44.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Riverside County, CA54R+1.3
- San Bernardino County, CA40R+2.1
- Mohave County, AZ32R+55.8
- Los Angeles County, CA26D+32.9
- Yuma County, AZ24R+20.4
- Orange County, CA22D+2.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mohave County, AZ65
- Riverside County, CA37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +64 |
| 2012 | −86 |
| 2013 | +10 |
| 2014 | −48 |
| 2015 | −110 |
| 2016 | +171 |
| 2017 | +82 |
| 2018 | +387 |
| 2019 | +123 |
| 2021 | +30 |
| 2022 | +265 |
| 2023 | +254 |
| 2024 | +141 |
| 2025 | +182 |
La Paz County, anchored by Parker along the Colorado River, posted a 44-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in Arizona — driven by a sparse, rural electorate that has leaned heavily right for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.2 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 44.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.2 points.
A population of 16,664, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,478 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sierra County and Mohave County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
La Paz County, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/04012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.