congressional districtCalifornia 38th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+8.7
2008D+22.7
2012D+25.0
2016D+34.3
2020D+28.8
2024D+12.4
net swing · 2004→2024D+3.6D+8.7 → D+12.4
vs. U.S. · 2024D+13.8D+12.4 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 56.6% of 461,982 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
142,652
110,320
8,698
261,670
461,982
56.6%
2020
193,297
105,602
6,042
304,941
457,613†
66.6%
2016
154,198
72,169
12,691
239,058
437,698†
54.6%
2012
137,821
81,514
5,577
224,912
408,871†
55.0%
2008
138,503
87,196
625
226,324
389,901†
58.0%
2004
119,601
100,171
2,730
222,502
370,931†
60.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCA-38CaliforniaUnited States
Mexican45.1%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran4.4%2.0%0.7%
Guatemalan2.9%1.3%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Colombian0.6%0.3%0.4%
Cuban0.6%—0.7%
Honduran0.6%—0.3%
Spanish0.3%0.3%—
Chinese5.5%3.9%1.3%
Vietnamese4.8%1.7%0.6%
Filipino4.4%3.3%0.9%
Korean3.4%1.2%0.4%
Asian Indian1.9%2.3%1.4%
Japanese1.2%0.6%0.2%
Taiwanese0.6%0.3%—
Cambodian0.3%——
German4.4%6.8%12.5%
English4.1%6.3%9.5%
Irish3.7%5.9%9.4%
American2.9%2.8%5.3%
Italian2.3%3.4%4.8%
French0.9%1.3%1.6%
Polish0.9%0.9%2.2%
Armenian0.9%——
African American†1.1%4.4%9.9%
Aztec10.1%0.3%—
Maya6.8%——
Samoan3.4%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
CA-38
California
United States
Median age
39.8
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.4%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
CA-38
California
United States
Median household income
$100,072
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.8%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
39.2%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
CA-38
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
51.6%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
32.3%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
3.9%
3.4%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
3.7%
3.5%
1.1%
Vietnamese
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
CA-38
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
California 38th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+8.7%
2008
+22.7%
2012
+25.0%
2016
+34.3%
2020
+28.8%
2024
+12.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
38
D
59.8%165,110
40.2%110,818
275,928
2022
38
D
58.1%101,260
41.9%73,051
174,311
2020
38
D
100.0%256,206
0.0%0
256,206
2018
38
D
68.9%139,188
31.1%62,968
202,156
2016
38
D
70.5%163,590
29.5%68,524
232,114
2014
38
D
59.1%58,192
40.9%40,288
98,480
2012
38
D
67.5%145,280
32.5%69,807
215,087
2010
38
D
73.5%85,459
26.5%30,883
116,342
2008
38
D
81.7%130,211
0.0%0
159,324
2006
38
D
75.3%75,181
24.7%24,620
99,801
2004
38
D
100.0%116,851
0.0%0
116,851
2002
38
D
71.1%62,600
26.3%23,126
88,027
2000
38
R
47.5%85,498
48.4%87,266
180,122
1998
38
R
44.3%59,767
52.9%71,386
134,858
1996
38
R
42.7%71,627
52.6%88,136
167,645
1994
38
R
36.8%53,681
58.5%85,225
145,769
1992
38
R
43.4%82,108
48.6%92,038
189,321
1990
38
R
41.9%43,693
58.1%60,561
104,254
1988
38
R
35.6%52,399
59.5%87,690
147,369
1986
38
R
42.4%50,625
55.3%66,032
119,464
1984
38
R
45.0%73,231
53.2%86,545
162,797
1982
38
D
52.4%73,914
43.4%61,279
141,182
1980
38
D
55.5%91,880
40.0%66,256
165,437
1978
38
D
58.6%75,471
41.4%53,298
128,769
1976
38
D
63.6%103,317
36.4%59,092
162,409
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
54.8%136,641
45.2%112,677
249,318
2022
D
61.1%6,621,621
38.9%4,222,029
10,843,650
2018
D
100.0%11,113,364
0.0%0
11,113,364
2016
D
100.0%12,244,170
0.0%0
12,244,170
2012
D
62.5%7,864,624
37.5%4,713,887
12,578,511
2010
D
52.2%5,218,441
42.2%4,217,366
10,000,093
2006
D
59.4%5,076,289
35.0%2,990,822
8,541,150
2004
D
57.7%6,955,728
37.8%4,555,922
12,053,242
2000
D
55.8%5,932,522
36.6%3,886,853
10,623,608
1998
D
53.1%4,410,056
43.0%3,575,078
8,311,905
1994
D
46.7%3,979,152
44.8%3,817,025
8,513,916
1992
D
47.9%5,173,467
43.0%4,644,182
10,799,436
1988
R
44.0%4,287,253
52.8%5,143,409
9,743,547
1986
D
49.3%3,646,672
47.9%3,541,804
7,398,462
1982
R
44.8%3,494,968
51.5%4,022,565
7,805,450
1980
D
56.5%4,704,098
37.1%3,091,671
8,324,012
1976
R
46.9%3,502,862
50.2%3,748,973
7,470,586
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Adam B Schiff · Democrat54.8%136,641
Steve Garvey · Republican45.2%112,677
CA-38 covers a dense stretch of Los Angeles County suburbs with a majority-Hispanic and Asian-American population, and has returned Democratic presidential margins above 15 points in each of the last three cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 16.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.4 points.
A population of 756,891, a 13% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $100,072 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 31 and Congressional District 35.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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California 38th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0638/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did California 38th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, California 38th Congressional District voted Democratic by 12.4 points (D+12.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 261,670 votes cast, 142,652 went Democratic and 110,320 went Republican.
How many people live in California 38th Congressional District?
California 38th Congressional District has a population of 756,891 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in California 38th Congressional District?
Median household income in California 38th Congressional District is $100,072 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of California 38th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in California 38th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
