Orange County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,165,8202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $116,2892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 42.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Gwinnett County, GA · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −5.2% |
| 1896 | −5.8% |
| 1900 | −9.0% |
| 1904 | −36.4% |
| 1908 | −22.1% |
| 1912 | +38.6% |
| 1916 | −22.1% |
| 1920 | −51.9% |
| 1924 | −58.7% |
| 1928 | −59.6% |
| 1932 | +2.5% |
| 1936 | +11.7% |
| 1940 | −12.1% |
| 1944 | −14.4% |
| 1948 | −24.5% |
| 1952 | −40.6% |
| 1956 | −34.5% |
| 1960 | −21.9% |
| 1964 | −11.9% |
| 1968 | −33.3% |
| 1972 | −41.3% |
| 1976 | −26.8% |
| 1980 | −45.3% |
| 1984 | −50.4% |
| 1988 | −36.7% |
| 1992 | −12.3% |
| 1996 | −13.8% |
| 2000 | −15.4% |
| 2004 | −20.7% |
| 2008 | −2.6% |
| 2012 | −6.2% |
| 2016 | +8.6% |
| 2020 | +9.0% |
| 2024 | +2.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 691,731 | 654,815 | 1,391,307 | ||
| D | 814,009 | 676,498 | 1,522,113 | ||
| D | 609,961 | 507,148 | 1,197,521 | ||
| R | 512,440 | 582,332 | 1,122,664 | ||
| R | 549,558 | 579,064 | 1,153,687 | ||
| R | 419,239 | 641,832 | 1,075,399 | ||
| R | 391,819 | 541,299 | 970,905 | ||
| R | 327,485 | 446,717 | 864,576 | ||
| R | 306,930 | 426,613 | 972,549 | ||
| R | 269,013 | 586,230 | 865,307 | ||
| R | 206,272 | 635,013 | 850,077 | ||
| R | 176,704 | 529,797 | 780,212 | ||
| R | 232,246 | 408,632 | 657,433 | ||
| R | 176,847 | 448,291 | 656,653 | ||
| R | 148,869 | 314,905 | 498,707 | ||
| R | 176,539 | 224,196 | 401,165 | ||
| R | 112,007 | 174,891 | 287,599 | ||
| R | 54,895 | 113,510 | 169,879 | ||
| R | 32,530 | 77,548 | 110,904 | ||
| R | 29,018 | 48,587 | 79,814 | ||
| R | 28,649 | 38,394 | 67,450 | ||
| R | 28,236 | 36,070 | 64,997 | ||
| D | 29,836 | 23,494 | 54,251 | ||
| D | 23,835 | 22,623 | 49,276 | ||
| R | 7,611 | 30,572 | 38,527 | ||
| R | 2,565 | 19,913 | 29,566 | ||
| R | 3,502 | 12,797 | 17,893 | ||
| R | 6,474 | 10,609 | 18,746 | ||
| O | 4,406 | 0 | 11,421 | ||
| R | 1,911 | 3,244 | 6,037 | ||
| R | 1,034 | 2,665 | 4,476 | ||
| R | 1,777 | 2,155 | 4,206 | ||
| R | 1,712 | 1,932 | 3,784 | ||
| R | 1,000 | 1,152 | 2,899 | ||
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Demographics
Orange County's shift from a reliably conservative anchor to a D+2.6 presidential result in 2024 reflects rapid demographic change, particularly growth among Latino and Asian American voters in cities like Anaheim and Westminster.
Orange County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of thirty-nine points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved six points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $116,289, and a population of 3,165,820. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gwinnett County and Fort Bend County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Orange County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
