congressional districtKentucky 3rd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+3.5
2008D+13.8
2012D+13.5
2016D+15.4
2020D+22.4
2024D+18.9
net swing · 2004→2024D+15.4D+3.5 → D+18.9
vs. U.S. · 2024D+20.4D+18.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.1% of 544,107 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
194,712
131,797
6,151
332,660
544,107
61.1%
2020
220,379
138,600
6,887
365,866
543,192†
67.4%
2016
185,486
133,529
17,652
336,667
535,656†
62.9%
2012
182,049
138,142
5,558
325,749
518,783†
62.8%
2008
192,343
145,151
3,839
341,333
498,489†
68.5%
2004
166,592
155,154
2,762
324,508
478,196†
67.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKY-3KentuckyUnited States
German15.9%12.7%12.5%
Irish12.2%11.0%9.4%
English12.2%14.5%9.5%
American5.8%11.5%5.3%
Italian2.7%2.0%4.8%
Scottish1.8%2.0%1.3%
French1.6%1.1%1.6%
Polish1.1%—2.2%
African American†19.2%6.6%9.9%
African1.9%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Somali0.2%——
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Cuban3.0%0.7%0.7%
Mexican2.4%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.4%0.3%0.5%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian1.1%0.3%1.4%
Vietnamese0.5%—0.6%
Filipino0.3%—0.9%
Chinese0.2%—1.3%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Nepalese0.2%——
Burmese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
KY-3
Kentucky
United States
Median age
38.1
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
8.4%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.2%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
KY-3
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$68,047
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.8%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
37.0%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
KY-3
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.9%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
6.7%
3.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.3%
0.5%
2.0%
Other languages
1.2%
0.5%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
KY-3
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
—
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Kentucky 3rd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+3.5%
2008
+13.8%
2012
+13.5%
2016
+15.4%
2020
+22.4%
2024
+18.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
3
D
61.9%203,100
38.0%124,713
327,864
2022
3
D
62.0%160,920
38.0%98,637
259,587
2020
3
D
62.7%230,672
37.3%137,425
368,097
2018
3
D
62.1%173,002
36.6%101,930
278,720
2016
3
D
63.5%212,401
36.5%122,093
334,494
2014
3
D
63.5%157,056
35.6%87,981
247,355
2012
3
D
64.0%206,385
34.5%111,452
322,656
2010
3
D
54.7%139,940
44.0%112,627
255,930
2008
3
D
59.4%203,843
40.6%139,527
343,370
2006
3
D
50.6%122,489
48.2%116,568
241,965
2004
3
R
37.8%124,040
60.3%197,736
328,154
2002
3
R
48.4%110,846
51.6%118,228
229,074
2000
3
R
44.2%118,875
52.9%142,106
268,785
1998
3
R
47.5%92,865
51.5%100,690
195,436
1996
3
R
49.7%125,326
50.3%126,625
251,951
1994
3
D
44.4%67,663
44.1%67,238
152,523
1992
3
D
52.7%148,066
47.3%132,689
280,770
1990
3
D
60.6%84,750
39.4%55,188
139,938
1988
3
D
69.7%131,981
30.3%57,387
189,368
1986
3
D
73.0%81,943
26.1%29,348
112,233
1984
3
D
67.7%145,680
31.7%68,185
215,138
1982
3
D
65.1%92,849
32.2%45,900
142,597
1980
3
D
63.7%85,873
34.6%46,681
134,724
1978
3
D
65.7%37,346
31.3%17,785
56,871
1976
3
D
57.2%80,496
41.2%58,019
140,744
Kentucky's 3rd is the state's most reliably Democratic congressional seat, centered on Louisville and Jefferson County, where dense urban precincts and a substantial Black voting population have produced double-digit Democratic presidential margins in every cycle since the 1990s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.9 points.
A population of 750,973, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,047 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 3 and Congressional District 7.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kentucky 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Kentucky 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 3rd Congressional District voted Democratic by 18.9 points (D+18.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 332,660 votes cast, 194,712 went Democratic and 131,797 went Republican.
How many people live in Kentucky 3rd Congressional District?
Kentucky 3rd Congressional District has a population of 750,973 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 3rd Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 3rd Congressional District is $68,047 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 3rd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kentucky 3rd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
