congressional districtKentucky 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+30.0
2008R+21.9
2012R+27.7
2016R+39.8
2020R+36.6
2024R+41.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+11.3R+30.0 → R+41.3
vs. U.S. · 2024R+39.8R+41.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.5% of 571,690 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
100,533
245,720
5,160
351,413
571,690
61.5%
2020
108,601
237,272
5,982
351,855
558,000†
63.1%
2016
86,605
210,840
14,642
312,087
543,244†
57.4%
2012
100,031
178,289
4,613
282,933
525,897†
53.8%
2008
109,982
173,232
4,967
288,181
507,452†
56.8%
2004
95,162
177,518
1,936
274,616
489,007†
56.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKY-2KentuckyUnited States
English14.6%14.5%9.5%
German11.8%12.7%12.5%
American11.8%11.5%5.3%
Irish11.1%11.0%9.4%
Italian2.1%2.0%4.8%
Scottish2.1%2.0%1.3%
French0.8%1.1%1.6%
Polish0.7%—2.2%
African American†4.9%6.6%9.9%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Mexican1.9%2.4%11.3%
Cuban0.6%0.7%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.2%0.3%0.5%
Burmese0.6%——
Asian Indian0.4%0.3%1.4%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
KY-2
Kentucky
United States
Median age
39
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.9%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
KY-2
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$66,796
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
14.7%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.9%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
KY-2
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.9%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
3.5%
3.4%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.0%
0.5%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
KY-2
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
—
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−30.0%
2008
−21.9%
2012
−27.7%
2016
−39.8%
2020
−36.6%
2024
−41.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
R
26.9%93,029
73.1%252,826
345,855
2022
2
R
28.1%66,769
71.9%170,487
237,256
2020
2
R
26.3%94,643
71.0%255,735
360,399
2018
2
R
31.1%79,964
66.7%171,700
257,345
2016
2
R
0.0%0
100.0%251,825
251,825
2014
2
R
30.8%69,898
69.2%156,936
226,834
2012
2
R
31.7%89,541
64.3%181,508
282,267
2010
2
R
32.1%73,749
67.9%155,906
229,655
2008
2
R
47.4%143,379
52.6%158,936
302,315
2006
2
R
44.6%95,415
55.4%118,548
213,963
2004
2
R
32.1%87,585
67.9%185,394
272,979
2002
2
R
29.2%51,431
69.6%122,773
176,288
2000
2
R
31.4%74,537
67.7%160,800
237,462
1998
2
R
35.3%62,848
63.7%113,285
177,966
1996
2
R
41.9%90,483
58.1%125,433
215,916
1994
2
R
40.2%60,867
59.8%90,535
151,402
1992
2
D
61.4%126,894
38.6%79,684
206,578
1990
2
D
66.0%77,057
34.0%39,624
116,681
1988
2
D
60.6%92,184
39.4%59,907
152,099
1986
2
D
100.0%57,644
0.0%0
57,652
1984
2
D
62.1%93,042
37.9%56,700
149,742
1982
2
D
73.8%49,571
26.2%17,561
67,138
1980
2
D
65.7%99,670
34.3%52,110
151,780
1978
2
D
100.0%36,441
0.0%0
36,459
1976
2
D
60.4%79,016
39.6%51,900
130,920
Spanning rural south-central and western Kentucky, this district recorded an R+41.9 margin in 2024 — among the largest in the nation — reflecting a deeply consolidated Republican coalition across its small-town and agricultural communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 41.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.
A population of 750,989, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,796 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 5 and Congressional District 1.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Kentucky 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Kentucky 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kentucky 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 41.3 points (R+41.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 351,413 votes cast, 100,533 went Democratic and 245,720 went Republican.
How many people live in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Kentucky 2nd Congressional District has a population of 750,989 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District is $66,796 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Kentucky 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kentucky 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
