congressional districtMichigan 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+14.2
2008D+2.2
2012R+6.0
2016R+9.5
2020R+3.9
2024R+5.5
net swing · 2004→2024D+8.7R+14.2 → R+5.5
vs. U.S. · 2024R+4.0R+5.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 74.8% of 580,934 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
201,637
225,603
7,241
434,481
580,934
74.8%
2020
196,709
213,174
7,664
417,547
567,826†
73.5%
2016
152,485
186,625
21,301
360,411
551,382†
65.4%
2012
161,820
182,692
5,143
349,655
532,239†
65.7%
2008
186,245
177,985
6,663
370,893
528,200†
70.2%
2004
148,878
198,828
3,575
351,281
524,160†
67.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMI-4MichiganUnited States
German18.6%17.7%12.5%
Dutch13.1%3.0%—
English11.3%10.5%9.5%
Irish9.4%9.9%9.4%
American4.7%4.2%5.3%
Polish4.7%7.2%2.2%
Italian2.7%4.2%4.8%
French2.2%3.0%1.6%
Mexican6.6%4.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.5%1.8%
Cuban0.2%0.2%0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%—0.5%
African American†6.9%12.2%9.9%
African1.0%0.5%0.5%
Asian Indian0.5%1.2%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MI-4
Michigan
United States
Median age
37.7
40.3
39.1
Age 18–24
11.3%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.7%
18.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MI-4
Michigan
United States
Median household income
$74,722
$72,875
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.8%
13.2%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
34.0%
32.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MI-4
Michigan
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.0%
10.4%
22.3%
Spanish
4.7%
3.1%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MI-4
Michigan
United States
Catholic
—
14.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
60.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Michigan 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−14.2%
2008
+2.2%
2012
−6.0%
2016
−9.5%
2020
−3.9%
2024
−5.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
46.4%Harris201,637
51.9%Trump225,603
0.5%Kennedy2,064 +9
R+5.5
R+1.6
R+4.0
434,481
All 12 candidates in 2024 · 10 minor / independent
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
R
43.4%184,641
55.1%234,489
425,817
2022
4
R
42.5%143,690
54.4%183,936
338,348
2020
4
R
32.4%120,802
65.0%242,621
373,245
2018
4
R
37.4%106,540
62.6%178,510
285,050
2016
4
R
32.1%101,277
61.6%194,572
315,751
2014
4
R
39.1%85,777
56.5%123,962
219,423
2012
4
R
33.6%104,996
63.1%197,386
312,949
2010
4
R
30.5%68,458
66.2%148,531
224,354
2008
4
R
35.7%117,665
61.9%204,259
329,764
2006
4
R
37.9%100,260
60.6%160,041
264,245
2004
4
R
34.8%110,885
64.4%205,274
318,924
2002
4
R
30.2%65,950
68.2%149,090
218,573
2000
4
R
29.1%78,019
68.0%182,128
267,819
1998
4
R
0.0%0
91.3%155,343
170,109
1996
4
R
32.7%79,691
65.5%159,561
243,645
1994
4
R
25.5%50,544
73.1%145,176
198,534
1992
4
R
34.8%87,573
62.5%157,337
251,539
1990
4
R
42.2%55,449
57.8%75,850
131,302
1988
4
R
29.2%54,428
70.8%132,270
186,703
1986
4
R
36.6%41,624
61.9%70,331
113,633
1984
4
R
33.1%63,159
66.9%127,907
191,087
1982
4
R
38.8%56,877
59.7%87,489
146,605
1980
4
R
24.0%47,777
74.7%148,950
199,292
1978
4
R
28.3%38,204
70.6%95,440
135,108
1976
4
R
38.8%69,655
60.0%107,881
179,737
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.6%195,132
51.6%221,157
428,349
2020
D
49.9%2,734,568
48.2%2,642,233
5,479,720
2018
D
52.3%2,214,478
45.8%1,938,818
4,237,253
2014
D
54.6%1,704,936
41.3%1,290,199
3,121,698
2012
D
58.8%2,735,826
38.0%1,767,386
4,652,849
2008
D
62.7%3,038,386
33.8%1,641,070
4,848,620
2006
D
56.9%2,151,278
41.3%1,559,597
3,780,118
2002
D
60.6%1,896,614
37.9%1,185,545
3,129,287
2000
D
49.5%2,061,952
47.9%1,994,693
4,167,685
1996
D
58.4%2,195,738
39.9%1,500,106
3,762,271
1994
R
42.7%1,300,960
51.9%1,578,770
3,043,385
1990
D
57.5%1,471,753
41.2%1,055,695
2,560,244
1988
D
60.4%2,116,865
38.5%1,348,219
3,505,985
1984
D
51.8%1,915,831
47.2%1,745,302
3,700,938
1982
D
57.7%1,728,793
40.9%1,223,288
2,994,292
1978
D
52.1%1,484,193
47.9%1,362,165
2,846,630
1976
D
52.5%1,831,031
46.8%1,635,087
3,490,412
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Mike Rogers · Republican51.6%221,157
Elissa Slotkin · Democrat45.6%195,132
Joseph Solis-Mullen · Libertarian1.1%4,888
Dave Stein · Us Taxpayers0.7%3,187
Douglas P Marsh · Green0.6%2,564
Doug Dern · Natural Law0.3%1,420
Marcus A Irvine · No Party Affiliation0.0%1
Michigan's 4th stretches across the rural western Lower Peninsula, where a 26-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a heavily exurban and agricultural electorate with little competitive history in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 14.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.5 points.
A population of 774,600, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,722 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 5.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did Michigan 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 4th Congressional District voted Republican by 5.5 points (R+5.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,481 votes cast, 201,637 went Democratic and 225,603 went Republican.
When did Michigan 4th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 4th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Michigan 4th Congressional District?
Michigan 4th Congressional District has a population of 774,600 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Michigan 4th Congressional District is $74,722 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Michigan 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
