- Lead
- 6,652
- Total
- 84,488
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- 73.0%
Berrien County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.0% of 116,692 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,081
- Total
- 82,391
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- 71.3%
- Lead
- 9,152
- Total
- 72,031
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Lead
- 4,744
- Total
- 72,762
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,251
- Total
- 77,666
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,230
- Total
- 74,671
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,537
- Total
- 65,241
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,640
- Total
- 59,295
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 153,2882024 5-year
- Population density
- 270 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 568 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,4252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 72.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Joseph County, IN · twin score 92.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 73.0%85,144 participants ÷ 116,692 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- +1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 56.8%–60.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85,144 | 116,692 ± 629 | 73.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 64,498 | 117,046 ± 595 | 55.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 82,985 | 116,362 ± 601 | 71.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 63,213 | 115,597 ± 539 | 54.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 73,381 | 114,864 ± 497 | 63.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 72,762 | 114,835 | 63.4% | Derived | — | |
| 77,666 | 116,691 | 66.6% | Derived | — | |
| 74,671 | 118,547 extrapolated | 63.0% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 120 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
120 precincts · 84,488 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Royalton Township, Precinct 1Royalton Township, Precinct 1 | 1,214 | 1,936 | 46 | 3,196 | 38.0% | 60.6% | R+22.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Coloma Charter Township, Precinct 1Coloma Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 851 | 1,929 | 33 | 2,813 | 30.3% | 68.6% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -Chikaming Township, Precinct 1Chikaming Township, Precinct 1 | 1,290 | 897 | 27 | 2,214 | 58.3% | 40.5% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 4St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 4 | 961 | 1,195 | 23 | 2,179 | 44.1% | 54.8% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -Lake Charter Township, Precinct 1Lake Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 715 | 1,409 | 21 | 2,145 | 33.3% | 65.7% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 1Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 860 | 1,247 | 32 | 2,139 | 40.2% | 58.3% | R+18.1 |
| Precinct -Buchanan Charter Township, Precinct 1Buchanan Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 724 | 1,354 | 31 | 2,109 | 34.3% | 64.2% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 2Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 818 | 1,182 | 19 | 2,019 | 40.5% | 58.5% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 3Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 902 | 1,030 | 25 | 1,957 | 46.1% | 52.6% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 1St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 1,162 | 726 | 26 | 1,914 | 60.7% | 37.9% | D+22.8 |
| Precinct -Hagar Township, Precinct 1Hagar Township, Precinct 1 | 665 | 1,211 | 30 | 1,906 | 34.9% | 63.5% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -City of St. Joseph, Precinct 1City of St. Joseph, Precinct 1 | 1,064 | 763 | 27 | 1,854 | 57.4% | 41.2% | D+16.2 |
| Precinct -Baroda Township, Precinct 1Baroda Township, Precinct 1 | 537 | 1,195 | 21 | 1,753 | 30.6% | 68.2% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -Niles Charter Township, Precinct 3Niles Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 677 | 1,043 | 29 | 1,749 | 38.7% | 59.6% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Bertrand Charter Township, Precinct 1Bertrand Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 626 | 1,109 | 12 | 1,747 | 35.8% | 63.5% | R+27.6 |
| Precinct -City of St. Joseph, Precinct 2City of St. Joseph, Precinct 2 | 1,045 | 641 | 33 | 1,719 | 60.8% | 37.3% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 1Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 661 | 1,007 | 38 | 1,706 | 38.7% | 59.0% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -New Buffalo Township, Precinct 1New Buffalo Township, Precinct 1 | 980 | 708 | 14 | 1,702 | 57.6% | 41.6% | D+16.0 |
| Precinct -Bainbridge Township, Precinct 1Bainbridge Township, Precinct 1 | 432 | 1,207 | 22 | 1,661 | 26.0% | 72.7% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 5Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 5 | 658 | 975 | 16 | 1,649 | 39.9% | 59.1% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -Niles Charter Township, Precinct 5Niles Charter Township, Precinct 5 | 663 | 936 | 22 | 1,621 | 40.9% | 57.7% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -Watervliet Charter Township, Precinct 1Watervliet Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 511 | 1,081 | 12 | 1,604 | 31.9% | 67.4% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 4Lincoln Charter Township, Precinct 4 | 620 | 956 | 15 | 1,591 | 39.0% | 60.1% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct -Niles Charter Township, Precinct 4Niles Charter Township, Precinct 4 | 554 | 1,006 | 26 | 1,586 | 34.9% | 63.4% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct -City of Niles, Ward 4, Precinct 4City of Niles, Ward 4, Precinct 4 | 729 | 818 | 24 | 1,571 | 46.4% | 52.1% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -Berrien Township, Precinct 1Berrien Township, Precinct 1 | 621 | 865 | 28 | 1,514 | 41.0% | 57.1% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -Niles Charter Township, Precinct 1Niles Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 476 | 1,020 | 16 | 1,512 | 31.5% | 67.5% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 3Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 936 | 517 | 33 | 1,486 | 63.0% | 34.8% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -City of St. Joseph, Precinct 3City of St. Joseph, Precinct 3 | 835 | 595 | 33 | 1,463 | 57.1% | 40.7% | D+16.4 |
| Precinct -St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 2St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 676 | 726 | 21 | 1,423 | 47.5% | 51.0% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 1Benton Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 761 | 589 | 20 | 1,370 | 55.5% | 43.0% | D+12.6 |
| Precinct -City of Bridgman, Precinct 1City of Bridgman, Precinct 1 | 597 | 742 | 17 | 1,356 | 44.0% | 54.7% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -Three Oaks Township, Precinct 1Three Oaks Township, Precinct 1 | 586 | 734 | 20 | 1,340 | 43.7% | 54.8% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -City of Niles, Ward 2, Precinct 2City of Niles, Ward 2, Precinct 2 | 653 | 646 | 17 | 1,316 | 49.6% | 49.1% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -Pipestone Township, Precinct 1Pipestone Township, Precinct 1 | 298 | 916 | 24 | 1,238 | 24.1% | 74.0% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 3St. Joseph Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 565 | 651 | 18 | 1,234 | 45.8% | 52.8% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -City of Buchanan, Precinct 1City of Buchanan, Precinct 1 | 522 | 672 | 33 | 1,227 | 42.5% | 54.8% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -Berrien Township, Precinct 2Berrien Township, Precinct 2 | 409 | 778 | 24 | 1,211 | 33.8% | 64.2% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 5Benton Charter Township, Precinct 5 | 722 | 459 | 15 | 1,196 | 60.4% | 38.4% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -Weesaw Township, Precinct 1Weesaw Township, Precinct 1 | 361 | 731 | 20 | 1,112 | 32.5% | 65.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Sodus Township, Precinct 1Sodus Township, Precinct 1 | 351 | 747 | 13 | 1,111 | 31.6% | 67.2% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -City of Niles, Ward 3, Precinct 3City of Niles, Ward 3, Precinct 3 | 513 | 569 | 21 | 1,103 | 46.5% | 51.6% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 6Benton Charter Township, Precinct 6 | 895 | 178 | 16 | 1,089 | 82.2% | 16.3% | D+65.8 |
| Precinct -City of New Buffalo, Precinct 1City of New Buffalo, Precinct 1 | 590 | 437 | 17 | 1,044 | 56.5% | 41.9% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct -Niles Charter Township, Precinct 2Niles Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 397 | 598 | 10 | 1,005 | 39.5% | 59.5% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -City of Niles, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Niles, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 459 | 512 | 17 | 988 | 46.5% | 51.8% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 4Benton Charter Township, Precinct 4 | 565 | 394 | 8 | 967 | 58.4% | 40.7% | D+17.7 |
| Precinct -City of Buchanan, Precinct 2City of Buchanan, Precinct 2 | 388 | 540 | 18 | 946 | 41.0% | 57.1% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -City of Benton Harbor, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Benton Harbor, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 817 | 58 | 13 | 888 | 92.0% | 6.5% | D+85.5 |
| Precinct -City of Benton Harbor, Ward 3, Precinct 1City of Benton Harbor, Ward 3, Precinct 1 | 830 | 42 | 4 | 876 | 94.7% | 4.8% | D+90.0 |
| Precinct -Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 2Oronoko Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 432 | 412 | 15 | 859 | 50.3% | 48.0% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 2Benton Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 571 | 247 | 19 | 837 | 68.2% | 29.5% | D+38.7 |
| Precinct -City of Watervliet, Precinct 1City of Watervliet, Precinct 1 | 297 | 529 | 7 | 833 | 35.7% | 63.5% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -City of Benton Harbor, Ward 4, Precinct 1City of Benton Harbor, Ward 4, Precinct 1 | 742 | 72 | 7 | 821 | 90.4% | 8.8% | D+81.6 |
| Precinct -Galien Township, Precinct 1Galien Township, Precinct 1 | 254 | 555 | 12 | 821 | 30.9% | 67.6% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -Benton Charter Township, Precinct 3Benton Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 495 | 307 | 10 | 812 | 61.0% | 37.8% | D+23.2 |
| Precinct -City of Coloma, Precinct 1City of Coloma, Precinct 1 | 244 | 528 | 12 | 784 | 31.1% | 67.3% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -City of Benton Harbor, Ward 2, Precinct 1City of Benton Harbor, Ward 2, Precinct 1 | 546 | 48 | 8 | 602 | 90.7% | 8.0% | D+82.7 |
| Bainbridge Township 00001021-04840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Baroda Township 00001021-05520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00001021-07400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00002021-07400-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00003021-07400-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00004021-07400-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00005021-07400-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Charter Township 00006021-07400-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Harbor City 01001021-07520-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Harbor City 02001021-07520-02001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Harbor City 03001021-07520-03001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benton Harbor City 04001021-07520-04001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Berrien Township 00001021-07820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Berrien Township 00002021-07820-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bertrand Township 00001021-07920-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bridgman City 00001021-10580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buchanan City 00001021-11400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buchanan City 00002021-11400-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buchanan Township 00001021-11420-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chikaming Township 00001021-15480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coloma Charter Township 00001021-17340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coloma Charter Township 00002021-17340-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Coloma City 00001021-17320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Galien Township 00001021-31320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hagar Township 00001021-35860-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hagar Township 00002021-35860-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Charter Township 00001021-44260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00001021-47600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00002021-47600-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00003021-47600-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00004021-47600-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00005021-47600-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln Charter Township 00006021-47600-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Buffalo City 00001021-57220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Buffalo Township 00001021-57230-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles City 01001021-57760-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles City 02002021-57760-02002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles City 03003021-57760-03003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles City 04004021-57760-04004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles Township 00001021-57780-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles Township 00002021-57780-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles Township 00003021-57780-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles Township 00004021-57780-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Niles Township 00005021-57780-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oronoko Charter Township 00001021-61180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oronoko Charter Township 00002021-61180-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oronoko Charter Township 00003021-61180-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pipestone Township 00001021-64480-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Royalton Township 00001021-70100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Royalton Township 00002021-70100-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sodus Township 00001021-74440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph Charter Township 00001021-70980-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph Charter Township 00002021-70980-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph Charter Township 00003021-70980-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph Charter Township 00004021-70980-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph City 00001021-70960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph City 00002021-70960-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Joseph City 00003021-70960-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Three Oaks Township 00001021-79740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watervliet City 00001021-84500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Watervliet Township 00001021-84520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Weesaw Township 00001021-85120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Berrien County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
56.1%
20,822 votes · D+14.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 55.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
74.1%
15,748 votes · R+51.2
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 68.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
40,381votes
52.0% of the vote · D+5.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 38,323 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
44,975votes
53.2% of the vote · R+7.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 43,519 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−1.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.5 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · −4.2 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+29.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+21.9 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +25.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Berrien County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.1%34,985 | 56.9%46,218 | 81,203 |
| 2020 | R | 41.6%32,279 | 58.4%45,366 | 77,645 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 127,768 |
| 2018 | 125,275 |
| 2020 | 135,283 |
| 2022 | 134,186 |
| 2024 | 136,948 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−8 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −8,710 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,078 in average income, against $88,620 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.6 on average — 6.3 points more Democratic-leaning than Berrien County, MI itself (R+7.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Joseph County, IN368D+1.5
- Cass County, MI288R+33.9
- Cook County, IL233D+41.6
- Van Buren County, MI221R+15.1
- Kalamazoo County, MI135D+17.7
- Kent County, MI99D+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Joseph County, IN370
- Cass County, MI339
- Van Buren County, MI205
- Kalamazoo County, MI194
- Cook County, IL166
- Kent County, MI152
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −514 |
| 2012 | −855 |
| 2013 | −1,091 |
| 2014 | −705 |
| 2015 | −1,238 |
| 2016 | −1,119 |
| 2017 | −411 |
| 2018 | −537 |
| 2019 | −608 |
| 2021 | −544 |
| 2022 | −234 |
| 2023 | −585 |
| 2024 | −261 |
| 2025 | −8 |
Berrien has oscillated between single-digit margins across recent cycles, with its mix of lakefront resort communities, manufacturing towns like Benton Harbor, and a significant Black urban population creating unusual demographic tension for a county its size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 51.2 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 7.9 points.
A population of 153,288, a 73% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,425 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Joseph County and Sangamon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Berrien County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.