HarrisDemocratic42.8%153,936TrumpRepublican56.8%204,377OtherAll other candidates0.4%1,299
R+14.0- Lead
- 50,441
- Total
- 359,612
- vs nation
- R+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatereview required
Akashiccongressional district
New York 2nd Congressional District
Contests in this Place (80 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic48.1%176,294TrumpRepublican50.6%185,235OtherAll other candidates1.3%4,663
R+2.4- Lead
- 8,941
- Total
- 366,192
- vs nation
- R+6.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.3%143,998TrumpRepublican51.9%168,543OtherAll other candidates3.8%12,212
R+7.6- Lead
- 24,545
- Total
- 324,753
- vs nation
- R+9.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic50.3%142,745RomneyRepublican48.6%137,826OtherAll other candidates1.1%3,118
D+1.7- Lead
- 4,919
- Total
- 283,689
- vs nation
- R+2.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic51.5%162,606McCainRepublican47.7%150,590OtherAll other candidates0.7%2,339
D+3.8- Lead
- 12,016
- Total
- 315,535
- vs nation
- R+3.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic48.5%148,967BushRepublican49.4%151,720OtherAll other candidates2.1%6,382
R+0.9- Lead
- 2,753
- Total
- 307,069
- vs nation
- D+1.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic52.7%145,151BushRepublican42.9%118,325OtherAll other candidates4.4%12,097
D+9.7- Lead
- 26,826
- Total
- 275,573
- vs nation
- D+9.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic51.2%124,605DoleRepublican37.8%91,900OtherAll other candidates11.0%26,708
D+13.4- Lead
- 32,705
- Total
- 243,213
- vs nation
- D+4.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 776,9592024 5-year
- Population density
- 3,256 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 239 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $128,3302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.4 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.5 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 1, NY · twin score 91.3
presidential history
Party record book
New York 2nd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2020 (partial returns from 1876) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
53.5%
93,339 votes · D+7.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 53.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
78.7%
102,071 votes · R+57.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 77.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
176,294votes
48.1% of the vote · R+2.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 162,606 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
185,235votes
50.6% of the vote · R+2.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 171,668 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+9.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+9.7 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +4.9 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1948
+54.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +53.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
2026 election
On the ballot
NY-02 · U.S. House
Republican Andrew Garbarino holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held June 23, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R+19.5Andrew R. Garbarino | R+14.0 | +5.5 |
| 2022 | R+21.4Andrew R Garbarino | — | — |
| 2020 | R+6.9Andrew R Garbarino | R+2.4 | — |
| 2018 | R+6.2Peter T King | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
U.S. House elections · 25 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
New York 2nd Congressional District sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.4 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 57.5 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 776,959, a 56% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $128,330 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 4.
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Congressional District 1
New York
91.3twin score
elasticity% Catholic% unaffiliated≠ 12-yr trend
Congressional District 4
New York
90.4twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedmedian income≠ % Catholic
Congressional District 17
New York
81.9twin score
median income% EvangelicalItalian ancestry≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3602/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within New York 2nd Congressional District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did New York 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 2nd Congressional District voted Republican by 14.0 points (R+14.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 359,612 votes cast, 153,936 went Democratic and 204,377 went Republican.
When did New York 2nd Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New York 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in New York 2nd Congressional District?
New York 2nd Congressional District has a population of 776,959 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in New York 2nd Congressional District is $128,330 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New York 2nd Congressional District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.