congressional districtNew York 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+10.6
2008D+13.3
2012D+15.2
2016D+12.0
2020D+14.5
2024D+1.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+9.3D+10.6 → D+1.3
vs. U.S. · 2024D+2.8D+1.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 70.5% of 551,040 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
194,455
189,484
4,687
388,626
551,040
70.5%
2020
223,897
166,533
5,186
395,616
535,904†
73.8%
2016
191,162
148,723
12,374
352,259
525,581†
67.0%
2012
176,598
129,493
3,349
309,440
512,094†
60.4%
2008
194,996
148,730
2,989
346,715
519,001†
66.8%
2004
184,179
148,559
3,231
335,969
525,908†
63.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY-4New YorkUnited States
Italian16.2%10.9%4.8%
Irish11.5%10.5%9.4%
German6.8%8.6%12.5%
American3.7%4.2%5.3%
Polish3.5%3.9%2.2%
Russian2.4%1.2%—
English2.3%5.6%9.5%
Greek1.4%——
Salvadoran5.2%0.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican3.2%5.1%1.8%
Dominican2.7%4.6%0.7%
Colombian1.8%0.9%0.4%
Mexican1.3%2.5%11.3%
Ecuadorian1.3%1.6%—
Honduran0.9%0.3%0.3%
Guatemalan0.8%0.5%0.5%
African American†8.5%8.0%9.9%
Haitian3.0%0.9%0.3%
Jamaican2.4%1.6%0.4%
Guyanese1.3%0.7%—
Nigerian0.5%0.2%0.2%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.5%0.4%—
African0.3%0.6%0.5%
West Indian0.3%0.4%—
Asian Indian2.4%1.9%1.4%
Chinese2.1%3.6%1.3%
Korean0.6%0.6%0.4%
Pakistani0.6%0.4%—
Filipino0.5%0.6%0.9%
Bangladeshi0.2%0.6%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY-4
New York
United States
Median age
40.7
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.3%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.7%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY-4
New York
United States
Median household income
$141,082
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
6.0%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
49.7%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY-4
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
30.7%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
13.7%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.8%
1.5%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
6.6%
4.0%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.9%
3.2%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY-4
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+10.6%
2008
+13.3%
2012
+15.2%
2016
+12.0%
2020
+14.5%
2024
+1.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
D
51.1%191,760
48.8%183,157
375,518
2022
4
R
48.2%130,871
51.8%140,622
271,560
2020
4
D
56.1%199,762
43.0%153,007
355,912
2018
4
D
61.3%159,535
38.7%100,571
260,206
2016
4
D
59.6%186,423
40.4%126,438
313,000
2014
4
D
52.8%89,793
47.2%80,127
169,920
2012
4
D
61.8%163,955
32.3%85,693
265,251
2010
4
D
53.6%94,483
46.4%81,718
176,201
2008
4
D
64.0%164,028
36.0%92,242
256,270
2006
4
D
64.9%101,861
35.1%55,050
156,911
2004
4
D
63.0%159,969
37.0%94,141
254,110
2002
4
D
56.3%94,806
43.2%72,882
168,540
2000
4
D
60.6%136,703
38.9%87,830
225,755
1998
4
D
52.6%90,256
46.6%79,984
171,583
1996
4
D
57.5%127,060
40.5%89,542
221,016
1994
4
R
33.2%65,286
44.6%87,815
196,690
1992
4
R
45.5%100,386
50.2%110,710
220,644
1990
4
R
29.4%41,308
56.5%79,304
140,304
1988
4
R
27.6%59,479
70.1%151,038
215,386
1986
4
R
30.6%43,581
64.8%92,214
142,288
1984
4
R
29.2%65,678
68.9%154,875
224,679
1982
4
R
36.4%63,390
60.4%105,241
174,348
1980
4
R
33.2%58,270
66.8%117,455
175,725
1978
4
R
32.5%46,508
66.1%94,711
143,302
1976
4
R
44.2%83,971
55.8%106,058
190,029
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
52.6%197,858
47.0%176,671
376,292
2022
D
56.8%3,320,561
42.8%2,501,151
5,848,556
2018
D
67.0%4,056,931
33.0%1,998,220
6,055,151
2016
D
70.6%5,221,949
27.2%2,009,353
7,396,308
2012
D
72.2%4,808,878
26.4%1,755,466
6,660,665
2010
D
66.3%3,047,880
32.2%1,480,423
4,595,515
2006
D
67.0%3,008,428
31.0%1,392,189
4,490,053
2004
D
71.2%4,769,824
24.2%1,625,069
6,702,875
2000
D
55.3%3,747,310
43.0%2,915,730
6,779,839
1998
D
54.6%2,551,065
44.1%2,058,988
4,670,805
1994
D
49.7%2,646,541
37.3%1,988,308
5,328,486
1992
D
49.0%3,166,994
47.8%3,086,200
6,458,826
1988
D
67.0%4,048,649
31.1%1,875,784
6,040,980
1986
R
38.4%1,723,216
53.0%2,378,197
4,484,859
1982
D
65.1%3,232,146
34.2%1,696,766
4,967,497
1980
R
43.5%2,618,661
44.9%2,699,652
6,014,841
1976
D
51.3%3,422,594
42.5%2,836,633
6,666,875
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Kirsten E Gillibrand · Democrat/Working Families52.6%197,858
Mike Sapraicone · Republican/Conservative47.0%176,671
Diane Sare · Larouche/Lrp0.3%1,157
Write-In0.2%606
New York's 4th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Nassau county. About 776,900 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 40.7.
Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2012, by narrowing margins. The margin was D+15.4 in 2012, D+12.0 in 2016, D+14.5 in 2020, and D+1.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 776,926, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $141,082 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 17 and Congressional District 2.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New York 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3604/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
How did New York 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 4th Congressional District voted Democratic by 1.3 points (D+1.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 388,626 votes cast, 194,455 went Democratic and 189,484 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 4th Congressional District?
New York 4th Congressional District has a population of 776,926 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in New York 4th Congressional District is $141,082 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
