congressional districtNew York 15th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+69.8
2008D+80.2
2012D+85.1
2016D+81.8
2020D+70.2
2024D+48.3
net swing · 2004→2024R+21.6D+69.8 → D+48.3
vs. U.S. · 2024D+49.7D+48.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 40.7% of 458,463 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
137,174
47,172
2,110
186,456
458,463
40.7%
2020
182,310
31,132
1,835
215,277
454,663†
47.3%
2016
184,738
16,642
4,108
205,488
440,782†
46.6%
2012
178,956
14,017
911
193,884
414,848†
46.7%
2008
177,428
19,153
809
197,390
406,665†
48.5%
2004
148,963
26,024
1,064
176,051
398,483†
44.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNY-15New YorkUnited States
Dominican22.6%4.6%0.7%
Puerto Rican15.5%5.1%1.8%
Mexican5.5%2.5%11.3%
Ecuadorian2.0%1.6%—
Honduran1.3%0.3%0.3%
Cuban0.6%—0.7%
Colombian0.6%0.9%0.4%
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%0.5%
African American†22.1%8.0%9.9%
Jamaican4.9%1.6%0.4%
African3.2%0.6%0.5%
Ghanaian1.8%——
West Indian1.1%0.4%—
Guyanese1.0%0.7%—
Nigerian0.8%0.2%0.2%
Haitian0.5%0.9%0.3%
American5.5%4.2%5.3%
Italian4.1%10.9%4.8%
Irish2.8%10.5%9.4%
German1.5%8.6%12.5%
Russian0.8%1.2%—
English0.6%5.6%9.5%
Polish0.5%3.9%2.2%
French0.5%1.3%1.6%
Asian Indian1.1%1.9%1.4%
Bangladeshi0.9%0.6%—
Chinese0.4%3.6%1.3%
Filipino0.4%0.6%0.9%
Vietnamese0.2%—0.6%
Pakistani0.2%0.4%—
Aztec10.3%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NY-15
New York
United States
Median age
35.5
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.5%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.6%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NY-15
New York
United States
Median household income
$47,075
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
29.8%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.4%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NY-15
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
57.0%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
45.1%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.8%
1.5%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
3.5%
4.0%
2.0%
Other languages
4.3%
1.3%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
NY-15
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New York 15th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+69.8%
2008
+80.2%
2012
+85.1%
2016
+81.8%
2020
+70.2%
2024
+48.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2012, 2016 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
15
D
76.2%130,392
21.0%36,010
171,095
2022
15
D
82.7%76,406
17.2%15,882
92,390
2020
15
D
88.7%169,533
11.1%21,221
191,037
2018
15
D
95.9%124,469
4.0%5,205
129,751
2016
15
D
95.2%165,688
3.5%6,129
174,036
2014
15
D
97.1%54,906
0.0%0
56,521
2012
15
D
97.2%152,661
2.8%4,427
157,088
2010
15
D
80.4%91,225
10.4%11,754
113,429
2008
15
D
89.2%177,151
7.9%15,676
198,676
2006
15
D
94.0%103,916
6.0%6,592
110,508
2004
15
D
91.1%161,351
7.0%12,355
177,051
2002
15
D
88.5%84,367
11.5%11,008
95,375
2000
15
D
91.9%130,161
5.2%7,346
141,664
1998
15
D
93.1%90,424
5.8%5,633
97,139
1996
15
D
91.3%113,898
4.8%5,951
124,734
1994
15
D
71.7%77,830
0.0%0
108,602
1992
15
D
94.9%105,011
0.0%0
110,693
1990
15
R
31.1%33,464
49.2%52,919
107,522
1988
15
R
36.7%64,425
61.3%107,599
175,483
1986
15
R
42.0%42,147
58.0%58,214
100,361
1984
15
R
43.9%84,404
56.1%107,644
192,048
1982
15
R
44.9%55,483
53.6%66,262
123,698
1980
15
D
50.2%49,684
46.9%46,467
98,976
1978
15
D
68.1%49,272
28.4%20,508
72,331
1976
15
D
63.2%69,242
30.7%33,641
109,487
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
77.3%136,840
21.7%38,521
177,125
2022
D
56.8%3,320,561
42.8%2,501,151
5,848,556
2018
D
67.0%4,056,931
33.0%1,998,220
6,055,151
2016
D
70.6%5,221,949
27.2%2,009,353
7,396,308
2012
D
72.2%4,808,878
26.4%1,755,466
6,660,665
2010
D
66.3%3,047,880
32.2%1,480,423
4,595,515
2006
D
67.0%3,008,428
31.0%1,392,189
4,490,053
2004
D
71.2%4,769,824
24.2%1,625,069
6,702,875
2000
D
55.3%3,747,310
43.0%2,915,730
6,779,839
1998
D
54.6%2,551,065
44.1%2,058,988
4,670,805
1994
D
49.7%2,646,541
37.3%1,988,308
5,328,486
1992
D
49.0%3,166,994
47.8%3,086,200
6,458,826
1988
D
67.0%4,048,649
31.1%1,875,784
6,040,980
1986
R
38.4%1,723,216
53.0%2,378,197
4,484,859
1982
D
65.1%3,232,146
34.2%1,696,766
4,967,497
1980
R
43.5%2,618,661
44.9%2,699,652
6,014,841
1976
D
51.3%3,422,594
42.5%2,836,633
6,666,875
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Kirsten E Gillibrand · Democrat/Working Families77.3%136,840
Mike Sapraicone · Republican/Conservative21.7%38,521
Diane Sare · Larouche/Lrp0.8%1,382
Scatter0.2%382
New York's 15th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in parts of Bronx county. About 777,000 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 35.5.
Measured on those boundaries, the district has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2012, by narrowing margins. The margin was D+85.5 in 2012, D+81.8 in 2016, D+70.3 in 2020, and D+48.3 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 22.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.3 points.
A population of 777,002, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,075 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 14 and Congressional District 24.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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New York 15th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3615/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did New York 15th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, New York 15th Congressional District voted Democratic by 48.3 points (D+48.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 186,456 votes cast, 137,174 went Democratic and 47,172 went Republican.
How many people live in New York 15th Congressional District?
New York 15th Congressional District has a population of 777,002 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New York 15th Congressional District?
Median household income in New York 15th Congressional District is $47,075 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of New York 15th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New York 15th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
