Fairbanks, Alaska
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −31.4% |
| 2008 | −20.2% |
| 2012 | −15.8% |
| 2016 | −13.8% |
| 2020 | −6.6% |
| 2024 | −9.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 43.5%Harris4,543 | 52.4%Trump5,479 | 4.1% | R+9.0 | R+2.3 | R+7.5 | 10,450 | |
| R | 44.3%Biden5,001 | 50.9%Trump5,750 | 4.8% | R+6.6 | D+7.2 | R+11.1 | 11,292 | |
| R | 36.3%Clinton3,836 | 50.2%Trump5,297 | 13.5% | R+13.8 | D+1.9 | R+15.9 | 10,561 | |
| R | 39.2%Obama4,266 | 55.0%Romney5,981 | 5.7% | R+15.8 | D+4.4 | R+19.6 | 10,872 | |
| R | 38.8%Obama4,710 | 59.0%McCain7,157 | 2.1% | R+20.2 | D+11.2 | R+27.5 | 12,124 | |
| R | 32.7%Kerry2,017 | 64.0%Bush3,954 | 3.3% | R+31.4 | — | R+28.9 | 6,175 |
Home to Fort Wainwright and the University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks blends a transient military population with long-rooted resource-industry workers, producing a reliably Republican lean that diverges sharply from Anchorage's more competitive margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 31.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.0 points.
A population of 32,083, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,534 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stillwater and Conway.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fairbanks, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0224230/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.