- Lead
- 7,851
- Total
- 43,707
- vs nation
- R+16.5
- Turnout
- 62.0%
Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.0% of 70,538 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,629
- Total
- 45,271
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Turnout
- 62.2%
- Lead
- 8,330
- Total
- 40,633
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Turnout
- 55.4%
- Lead
- 9,045
- Total
- 40,541
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,459
- Total
- 44,397
- vs nation
- R+33.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,240
- Total
- 39,033
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15,046
- Total
- 41,513
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,681
- Total
- 35,351
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 95,4602024 5-year
- Population density
- 13 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,335 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.4 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Anchorage Municipality, AK · twin score 82.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 62.0%43,707 participants ÷ 70,538 CVAP
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43,707 | 70,538 ± 634 | 62.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 45,271 | 72,785 ± 694 | 62.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 40,632 | 73,392 ± 639 | 55.4% | Audited | C/A | |
| 40,541 | 70,256 | 57.7% | Derived | — | |
| 44,397 | 69,161 | 64.2% | Derived | — | |
| 39,033 | 68,066 extrapolated | 57.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 81 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
81 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 01-446 Aurora446 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-455 Fairbanks No. 1455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-465 Fairbanks No. 2465 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-470 Fairbanks No. 3470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-475 Fairbanks No. 4475 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-480 Fairbanks No. 5480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-485 Fairbanks No. 6485 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-490 Fairbanks No. 7490 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 01-495 Fairbanks No. 10495 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 02-345 Badger No. 2345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 02-355 Fairbanks No. 8355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 02-365 Fairbanks No. 9365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 02-375 Fort Wainwright375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03-130 Badger No. 1130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03-135 Chena Lakes135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03-165 Newby165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03-175 North Pole175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 03-183 Plack183 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-230 Ester230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-240 Farmers Loop240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-250 Goldstream No. 1250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-260 Goldstream No. 2260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-265 Steese East/Gilmore265 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-270 Steese West270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 04-280 University Hills280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-580 Airport580 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-582 Chena582 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-586 Geist586 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-587 Lakeview587 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-588 Pike588 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-590 Richardson590 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-592 Shanly592 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-594 University Campus594 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 05-596 University West596 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-145 Eielson145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-150 Fox150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-155 Moose Creek155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-160 Salcha160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-170 Steele Creek170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 06-180 Two Rivers180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Airport Precinct305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Aurora Precinct310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Badger No. 1 Precinct400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Badger No. 2 Precinct405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chatanika Precinct210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chena Lakes Precinct410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chena Precinct115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eielson Precinct025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ester Precinct130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 1 Precinct320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 10 Precinct353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 2 Precinct325 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 3 Precinct330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 4 Precinct335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 5 Precinct340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 6 Precinct345 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 7 Precinct350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 8 Precinct355 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairbanks No. 9 Precinct360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farmers Loop Precinct225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fort Wainwright Precinct365 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fox Precinct230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Geist Precinct132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goldstream No. 1 Precinct235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goldstream No. 2 Precinct134 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeview Precinct367 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moose Creek Precinct415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newby Precinct420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Pole Precinct425 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pike Precinct138 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Plack Precinct430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richardson Precinct435 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salcha Precinct035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shanly Precinct240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steele Creek/Gilmore Precinct245 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steese East Precinct250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Steese West Precinct255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Two Rivers Precinct260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University Campus Precinct140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University Hills Precinct143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| University West Precinct145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles · 16 with a vote-share denominator · 17 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.7%
4,810 votes · D+15.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40.3%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
66.3%
18,791 votes · R+37.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 64.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
18,249votes
40.3% of the vote · R+14.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 17,029 votes
Republican
John McCain2008
27,327votes
61.6% of the vote · R+25.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 25,529 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+8.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+15.0 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · +3.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+36.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.2 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +33.1 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 3 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
76,812 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,447 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −20,263 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,322 in average income, against $94,714 for residents who stayed — 43% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.2 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK itself (R+18.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK169D+1.4
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK72R+47.7
- El Paso County, CO66R+9.8
- Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, AK57D+5.2
- Maricopa County, AZ57R+3.5
- Bell County, TX50R+16.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK298
- Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK117
- El Paso County, CO88
- Maricopa County, AZ83
- Pierce County, WA67
- Clark County, NV63
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,607 |
| 2012 | +571 |
| 2013 | −1,071 |
| 2014 | −3,241 |
| 2015 | −1,304 |
| 2016 | −535 |
| 2017 | −2,348 |
| 2018 | −2,166 |
| 2019 | −2,763 |
| 2021 | −425 |
| 2022 | −679 |
| 2023 | −1,186 |
| 2024 | −2,062 |
| 2025 | −1,447 |
Home to Fort Wainwright and Eielson Air Force Base, Fairbanks North Star Borough carries a substantial active-duty and veteran population that has contributed to consistent Republican margins averaging around 15–20 points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.4 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.0 points.
A population of 95,460, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,267 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Anchorage Municipality and Benton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fairbanks North Star Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02090/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.