Palmer, Alaska
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −44.9% |
| 2008 | −38.8% |
| 2012 | −30.8% |
| 2016 | −34.3% |
| 2020 | −25.6% |
| 2024 | −21.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.9%Harris857 | 58.1%Trump1,348 | 5.0% | R+21.2 | D+4.4 | R+19.7 | 2,320 | |
| R | 34.6%Biden862 | 60.2%Trump1,499 | 5.3% | R+25.6 | D+8.8 | R+30.0 | 2,492 | |
| R | 26.0%Clinton677 | 60.3%Trump1,570 | 13.6% | R+34.3 | R+3.6 | R+36.4 | 2,602 | |
| R | 31.8%Obama731 | 62.5%Romney1,438 | 5.7% | R+30.8 | D+8.1 | R+34.6 | 2,299 | |
| R | 29.6%Obama732 | 68.4%McCain1,693 | 2.1% | R+38.8 | D+6.1 | R+46.1 | 2,476 | |
| R | 25.9%Kerry250 | 70.8%Bush683 | 3.3% | R+44.9 | — | R+42.4 | 965 |
Palmer anchors the Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Alaska's fastest-growing region and a reliably conservative anchor in statewide races, with roots in a 1930s New Deal farming colony that still shapes its small-city identity.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.2 points.
A population of 6,268, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,201 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bridgewater and Byron.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Palmer, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0258660/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.