Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic28.9%563TrumpRepublican67.4%1,311OtherAll other candidates3.7%71
R+38.5
Lead
748
Total
1,945
vs nation
R+37.0
BidenDemocratic27.9%611TrumpRepublican68.6%1,504OtherAll other candidates3.5%77
R+40.7
Lead
893
Total
2,192
vs nation
R+45.2
ClintonDemocratic20.3%440TrumpRepublican68.5%1,484OtherAll other candidates11.2%242
R+48.2
Lead
1,044
Total
2,166
vs nation
R+50.3
ObamaDemocratic23.3%440RomneyRepublican72.2%1,361OtherAll other candidates4.5%85
R+48.8
Lead
921
Total
1,886
vs nation
R+52.7
ObamaDemocratic24.0%474McCainRepublican74.0%1,462OtherAll other candidates2.0%39
R+50.0
Lead
988
Total
1,975
vs nation
R+57.3
KerryDemocratic31.2%187BushRepublican64.8%389OtherAll other candidates4.0%24
R+33.7
Lead
202
Total
600
vs nation
R+31.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+38.5MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4852024 5-year
Population density
641 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$56,2802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
76.3%2024 5-year
Black
1.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+50.0 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20246 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
45.5%1,508 participants ÷ 3,315 CVAP
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
200420082012201620202024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,508
3,315 ± 280
45.5%
Audited
E/A
1,694
3,740 ± 325
45.3%
Audited
E/A
1,653
3,468 ± 259
47.7%
Audited
E/A
1,886
3,016
62.5%
Derived
—
1,975
2,999
65.9%
Derived
—
600
2,982 extrapolated
20.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Soldotna, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
31.2%
187 votes · R+33.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 28.9%
Republican
John McCain2008
74.0%
1,462 votes · R+50.0
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 72.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
611votes
27.9% of the vote · R+40.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 563 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,504votes
68.6% of the vote · R+40.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 1,484 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−31.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+33.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −37.0 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+57.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.0 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +52.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Soldotna · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska, the county containing Soldotna — Soldotna’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Soldotna, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Soldotna anchors the Kenai Peninsula Borough and leans heavily Republican in state and federal contests, reflecting its blue-collar resource-extraction workforce and sparse, dispersed population typical of southcentral Alaska.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 50.0 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.5 points.
A population of 4,485, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,280 describe the city.
In 2024, Soldotna, Alaska voted Republican by 38.5 points (R+38.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,945 votes cast, 563 went Democratic and 1,311 went Republican.
How many people live in Soldotna, Alaska?
Soldotna, Alaska has a population of 4,485 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Soldotna, Alaska?
Median household income in Soldotna, Alaska is $56,280 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Soldotna, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Soldotna, Alaska from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
