Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 60,4132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $80,5382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sublette County, WY · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Kenai Peninsula BoroughPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Kenai Peninsula Borough, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | No data |
| 1928 | No data |
| 1932 | No data |
| 1936 | No data |
| 1940 | No data |
| 1944 | No data |
| 1948 | No data |
| 1952 | No data |
| 1956 | No data |
| 1960 | +5.4% |
| 1964 | +29.1% |
| 1968 | +2.4% |
| 1972 | −30.3% |
| 1976 | −27.8% |
| 1980 | −41.8% |
| 1984 | −45.0% |
| 1988 | −27.3% |
| 1992 | −10.9% |
| 1996 | −28.0% |
| 2000 | −44.3% |
| 2004 | −33.7% |
| 2008 | −37.6% |
| 2012 | −36.2% |
| 2016 | −37.2% |
| 2020 | −32.1% |
| 2024 | −34.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,362 | 21,854 | 33,597 | ||
| R | 10,936 | 21,760 | 33,769 | ||
| R | 7,550 | 18,298 | 28,884 | ||
| R | 7,726 | 17,148 | 25,994 | ||
| R | 8,375 | 18,962 | 28,159 | ||
| R | 7,105 | 14,802 | 22,830 | ||
| R | 4,631 | 15,052 | 23,519 | ||
| R | 5,183 | 10,608 | 19,388 | ||
| R | 4,830 | 6,886 | 18,857 | ||
| R | 4,714 | 8,633 | 14,343 | ||
| R | 3,690 | 10,305 | 14,691 | ||
| R | 2,178 | 7,023 | 11,587 | ||
| R | 2,528 | 4,696 | 7,803 | ||
| R | 1,517 | 3,213 | 5,590 | ||
| D | 2,166 | 2,042 | 5,188 | ||
| D | 2,301 | 1,264 | 3,565 | ||
| D | 1,754 | 1,573 | 3,327 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
18.4%
English
13.2%
Irish
11.1%
American
5.1%
Scottish
3.7%
Italian
2.2%
Polish
2.2%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$80,538
Kenai Peninsula Borough ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Kenai Peninsula Borough$80,538
Alaska$92,788
United States$80,734
Kenai Peninsula Borough ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.4%
Working age (18–64)11.2%
Seniors (65+)9.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.6%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.4%
Spanish1.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Kenai Peninsula's workforce is anchored in fishing, oil-field services, and tourism, producing one of Alaska's most reliably Republican margins — R+34 in 2024 — despite a sparse, dispersed population spread across nearly 16,000 square miles.
The Republican margin here reached forty-five points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was thirty-four points.
A population of 60,413, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,538 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sublette County and Matanuska-Susitna Borough.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02122/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Alaska
More stable rural right counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska voted Republican by 34.2 points (R+34), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,597 votes cast, 10,362 went Democratic and 21,854 went Republican.
What is Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska's political typology?
Akashic places Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska voted Democratic was 1968.
How many people live in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska?
Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska has a population of 60,413 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska?
Median household income in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska is $80,538 — below the national median of $80,734. The Alaska state median is $92,788.
What is the political history of Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kenai Peninsula Borough, Alaska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.