Big Bear City, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −39.1% |
| 2008 | −22.1% |
| 2012 | −26.1% |
| 2016 | −32.6% |
| 2020 | −24.4% |
| 2024 | −26.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 35.6%Harris2,034 | 61.9%Trump3,535 | 2.5% | R+26.3 | R+1.8 | R+24.8 | 5,711 | |
| R | 36.7%Biden2,394 | 61.1%Trump3,988 | 2.1% | R+24.4 | D+8.1 | R+28.9 | 6,522 | |
| R | 30.9%Clinton1,605 | 63.5%Trump3,296 | 5.6% | R+32.6 | R+6.5 | R+34.7 | 5,192 | |
| R | 35.6%Obama1,701 | 61.7%Romney2,945 | 2.7% | R+26.1 | R+4.0 | R+29.9 | 4,773 | |
| R | 38.2%Obama1,988 | 60.3%McCain3,138 | 1.5% | R+22.1 | D+17.0 | R+29.4 | 5,203 | |
| R | 29.6%Kerry1,407 | 68.7%Bush3,264 | 1.6% | R+39.1 | — | R+36.7 | 4,748 |
Nestled at 6,700 feet in the San Bernardino Mountains, Big Bear City votes Republican by wide margins in most cycles — an outlier pattern driven by its year-round working-class resort-economy residents rather than seasonal visitors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 39.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.3 points.
A population of 11,431, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,511 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Forestbrook and Red Hill.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Big Bear City, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0606406/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.