San Bernardino County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,197,1042024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,4782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hillsborough County, FL · similarity 0.95
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −5.2% |
| 1880 | −1.3% |
| 1884 | −11.1% |
| 1888 | −11.7% |
| 1892 | −15.1% |
| 1896 | −1.3% |
| 1900 | −13.1% |
| 1904 | −34.6% |
| 1908 | −22.9% |
| 1912 | +38.0% |
| 1916 | −10.8% |
| 1920 | −34.6% |
| 1924 | −47.5% |
| 1928 | −50.6% |
| 1932 | +5.6% |
| 1936 | +20.6% |
| 1940 | +10.2% |
| 1944 | +6.1% |
| 1948 | −0.9% |
| 1952 | −14.9% |
| 1956 | −14.1% |
| 1960 | −4.5% |
| 1964 | +14.3% |
| 1968 | −10.1% |
| 1972 | −24.2% |
| 1976 | −1.6% |
| 1980 | −28.0% |
| 1984 | −30.8% |
| 1988 | −21.4% |
| 1992 | +1.5% |
| 1996 | +0.8% |
| 2000 | −1.5% |
| 2004 | −11.8% |
| 2008 | +6.3% |
| 2012 | +7.3% |
| 2016 | +10.6% |
| 2020 | +10.7% |
| 2024 | −2.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 362,114 | 378,416 | 761,714 | ||
| D | 455,859 | 366,257 | 841,130 | ||
| D | 340,833 | 271,240 | 653,983 | ||
| D | 305,109 | 262,358 | 582,930 | ||
| D | 315,720 | 277,408 | 606,334 | ||
| R | 227,789 | 289,306 | 523,276 | ||
| R | 214,749 | 221,757 | 454,893 | ||
| D | 183,372 | 180,135 | 413,355 | ||
| D | 183,634 | 176,563 | 474,070 | ||
| R | 151,118 | 235,167 | 392,008 | ||
| R | 116,454 | 222,071 | 342,705 | ||
| R | 91,790 | 172,957 | 289,812 | ||
| R | 109,636 | 113,265 | 228,885 | ||
| R | 85,986 | 144,689 | 242,256 | ||
| R | 89,418 | 111,974 | 223,616 | ||
| D | 123,012 | 92,145 | 215,400 | ||
| R | 90,888 | 99,481 | 191,313 | ||
| R | 64,946 | 86,263 | 151,652 | ||
| R | 54,615 | 73,921 | 129,631 | ||
| R | 45,691 | 46,570 | 95,838 | ||
| D | 38,530 | 34,084 | 73,260 | ||
| D | 37,520 | 30,511 | 68,878 | ||
| D | 33,955 | 22,219 | 57,016 | ||
| D | 24,889 | 22,094 | 49,548 | ||
| R | 9,436 | 29,229 | 39,112 | ||
| R | 2,634 | 15,974 | 28,061 | ||
| R | 5,620 | 12,518 | 19,921 | ||
| R | 9,398 | 11,932 | 23,545 | ||
| O | 5,835 | 0 | 15,343 | ||
| R | 2,685 | 4,729 | 8,940 | ||
| R | 1,573 | 3,884 | 6,670 | ||
| R | 2,347 | 3,135 | 6,011 | ||
| R | 2,740 | 2,818 | 5,805 | ||
| R | 2,546 | 3,686 | 7,567 | ||
| R | 2,388 | 3,059 | 5,718 | ||
| R | 1,288 | 1,617 | 2,974 | ||
| R | 711 | 730 | 1,487 | ||
| R | 607 | 674 | 1,300 |
Demographics
San Bernardino County spans 20,000 square miles from Inland Empire suburbs to Mojave Desert communities, a geographic breadth that mirrors its political diversity and has pushed its presidential margins rightward by roughly 20 points over the past decade.
San Bernardino County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of thirty-eight points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved thirteen points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 33% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,478, and a population of 2,197,104. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hillsborough County and Riverside County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
San Bernardino County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
