Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic25.0%290TrumpRepublican72.9%844OtherAll other candidates2.1%24
R+47.8
Lead
554
Total
1,158
vs nation
R+46.4
BidenDemocratic28.5%360TrumpRepublican69.6%880OtherAll other candidates1.9%24
R+41.1
Lead
520
Total
1,264
vs nation
R+45.6
ClintonDemocratic25.4%275TrumpRepublican69.4%750OtherAll other candidates5.2%56
R+43.9
Lead
475
Total
1,081
vs nation
R+46.0
ObamaDemocratic25.2%266RomneyRepublican72.3%763OtherAll other candidates2.6%27
R+47.1
Lead
497
Total
1,056
vs nation
R+50.9
ObamaDemocratic29.2%271McCainRepublican69.9%649OtherAll other candidates0.9%8
R+40.7
Lead
378
Total
928
vs nation
R+48.0
KerryDemocratic21.8%211BushRepublican76.5%740OtherAll other candidates1.7%16
R+54.7
Lead
529
Total
967
vs nation
R+52.2
ClintonDemocratic29.2%227DoleRepublican60.7%472OtherAll other candidates10.2%79
R+31.5
Lead
245
Total
778
vs nation
R+40.0
ClintonDemocratic28.2%218BushRepublican48.3%374OtherAll other candidates23.5%182
R+20.2
Lead
156
Total
774
vs nation
R+25.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+47.8MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0942024 5-year
Population density
238 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
13 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$127,7502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
53.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
38.1%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+54.7 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
52.0%1,178 participants ÷ 2,264 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+30.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
22.1%–33.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
53.5%
38.8%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,178
2,264 ± 341
52.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
787
2,026 ± 300
38.8%
Audited
E/D
1,312
1,907 ± 283
68.8%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
991
1,851 ± 171
53.5%
Audited
E/A
1,125
1,840 ± 208
61.1%
Audited
E/D
1,056
1,563
67.6%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Dogtown, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
29.2%
271 votes · R+40.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 29.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
76.5%
740 votes · R+54.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 72.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
360votes
28.5% of the vote · R+41.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 290 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
880votes
69.6% of the vote · R+41.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 844 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−25.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.2 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −40.0 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+52.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.7 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +50.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Dogtown · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Joaquin County, California, the county containing Dogtown — Dogtown’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Dogtown, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Dogtown sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 54.7 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.8 points.
A population of 3,094, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,750 describe the city.
In 2024, Dogtown, California voted Republican by 47.8 points (R+47.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,158 votes cast, 290 went Democratic and 844 went Republican.
How many people live in Dogtown, California?
Dogtown, California has a population of 3,094 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dogtown, California?
Median household income in Dogtown, California is $127,750 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Dogtown, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Dogtown, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
