† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
16 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupSacramento-Stockton-ModestoCaliforniaUnited States
German9.0%6.8%12.5%
English8.5%6.3%9.5%
Irish7.4%5.9%9.4%
Italian4.2%3.4%4.8%
American2.4%2.8%5.3%
Scottish1.5%0.9%1.3%
French1.5%1.3%1.6%
Portuguese1.0%——
Mexican25.0%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran0.8%2.0%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Spanish0.6%0.3%—
Spaniard0.5%0.3%—
Guatemalan0.4%1.3%0.5%
Nicaraguan0.2%0.3%—
Filipino3.7%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian2.6%2.3%1.4%
Chinese1.8%3.9%1.3%
Vietnamese1.1%1.7%0.6%
Hmong1.0%0.3%—
Afghan0.5%——
Japanese0.4%0.6%0.2%
Cambodian0.4%——
African American†5.2%4.4%9.9%
African0.4%0.3%0.5%
Aztec0.3%0.3%—
Fijian0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
California
United States
Median age
38.2
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.5%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
California
United States
Median household income
$93,353
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.8%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.6%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
32.5%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
17.9%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
4.3%
3.4%
2.0%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
2.2%
2.1%
0.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
2.6%
2.0%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto
California
United States
Catholic
17.7%
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.2%
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
63.1%
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+0.1%
1896
+3.7%
1900
−6.7%
1904
−27.1%
1908
−12.0%
1912
+51.4%
1916
+16.6%
1920
−33.9%
1924
−35.2%
1928
−11.2%
1932
+37.1%
1936
+49.3%
1940
+25.0%
1944
+21.1%
1948
+11.6%
1952
−4.7%
1956
+2.5%
1960
+6.0%
1964
+29.4%
1968
+4.3%
1972
−6.3%
1976
+5.8%
1980
−13.3%
1984
−16.9%
1988
−6.8%
1992
+5.4%
1996
+2.8%
2000
−3.3%
2004
−7.2%
2008
+9.6%
2012
+8.2%
2016
+11.5%
2020
+13.0%
2024
+5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
51.3%Harris1,013,111
45.6%Trump900,459
1.4%Kennedy27,111 +4
D+5.7
R+7.3
D+7.2
1,974,962
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic51.3%1,013,111
Donald J TrumpRepublican45.6%900,459
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%27,111
Jill SteinIndependent0.9%17,568
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%9,213
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.4%7,472
OtherAll other candidates0.0%28
D
55.2%Biden1,169,176
42.2%Trump894,340
2.6%
D+13.0
D+1.4
D+8.5
2,118,463
D
51.6%Clinton872,650
40.0%Trump677,540
8.4%
D+11.5
D+3.3
D+9.4
1,692,655
D
52.6%Obama816,887
44.4%Romney689,685
2.9%
D+8.2
R+1.4
D+4.3
1,551,739
D
53.6%Obama870,063
44.0%McCain714,166
2.3%
D+9.6
D+16.8
D+2.3
1,622,276
R
45.8%Kerry669,456
53.0%Bush774,946
1.2%
R+7.2
R+3.9
R+4.8
1,461,964
R
45.9%Gore586,281
49.2%Bush627,988
4.9%
R+3.3
R+6.1
R+3.8
1,276,237
D
46.4%Clinton536,918
43.6%Dole504,082
10.0%
D+2.8
R+2.6
R+5.7
1,156,675
D
41.6%Clinton518,807
36.2%Bush451,176
22.2%
D+5.4
D+12.2
R+0.1
1,247,545
R
45.9%Dukakis480,664
52.7%Bush551,717
1.3%
R+6.8
D+10.2
D+0.9
1,046,157
R
40.9%Mondale397,867
57.8%Reagan562,866
1.3%
R+16.9
R+3.7
D+1.3
973,686
R
37.6%Carter320,307
50.9%Reagan433,099
11.5%
R+13.3
R+19.0
R+3.5
851,235
D
51.4%Carter364,477
45.6%Ford323,668
3.0%
D+5.8
D+12.1
D+3.7
709,295
R
44.9%McGovern321,010
51.3%Nixon366,288
3.8%
R+6.3
R+10.6
D+16.8
714,402
D
47.9%Humphrey282,923
43.6%Nixon257,488
8.5%
D+4.3
R+25.1
D+5.0
590,406
D
64.6%Johnson371,299
35.3%Goldwater202,594
0.1%
D+29.4
D+23.4
D+6.8
574,614
D
52.8%Kennedy270,905
46.8%Nixon240,271
0.5%
D+6.0
D+3.4
D+5.8
513,523
D
51.1%Stevenson221,226
48.6%Eisenhower210,307
0.3%
D+2.5
D+7.2
D+17.9
432,623
R
47.3%Stevenson191,777
52.0%Eisenhower210,774
0.7%
R+4.7
R+16.3
D+6.1
405,489
D
53.9%Truman166,276
42.3%Dewey130,486
3.8%
D+11.6
R+9.5
D+7.1
308,553
D
60.3%Roosevelt153,567
39.2%Dewey99,841
0.6%
D+21.1
R+3.9
D+13.6
254,846
D
61.9%Roosevelt158,836
36.9%Willkie94,770
1.1%
D+25.0
R+24.3
D+15.0
256,501
D
74.0%Roosevelt151,538
24.7%Landon50,650
1.3%
D+49.3
D+12.2
D+25.0
204,829
D
66.7%Roosevelt118,065
29.7%Hoover52,507
3.6%
D+37.1
D+48.3
D+19.3
176,887
R
43.9%Smith61,543
55.1%Hoover77,286
1.1%
R+11.2
D+24.0
D+6.2
140,332
O
9.8%Davis11,317
45.0%Coolidge52,031
45.2%
La Follette +0.2
R+1.3
R+10.1
115,566
R
29.4%Cox29,204
63.4%Harding62,876
7.2%
R+33.9
R+50.6
R+7.7
99,234
D
54.8%Wilson59,774
38.2%Hughes41,652
6.9%
D+16.6
R+34.8
D+13.5
108,985
D
51.4%Wilson42,413
0.0%Taft0
48.6%
D+51.4
D+63.4
D+31.8
82,527
R
39.8%Bryan22,726
51.8%Taft29,602
8.3%
R+12.0
D+15.0
R+2.5
57,095
R
32.3%Parker17,207
59.3%Roosevelt31,646
8.4%
R+27.1
R+20.3
R+7.4
53,348
R
45.3%Bryan24,766
52.0%McKinley28,438
2.6%
R+6.7
R+10.4
D+0.8
54,647
D
50.9%Bryan27,801
47.2%McKinley25,784
2.0%
D+3.7
D+3.6
D+9.8
54,663
D
45.3%Cleveland23,915
45.2%Harrison23,863
9.5%
D+0.1
—
R+1.6
52,819
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+9.8
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.1 points more Democratic.
2,639,756 registered voters · 2024 · up from 2,611,258 in 2022
Domestic migration in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,191
2012
−3,301
2013
−2,262
2014
+13,832
2015
+16,288
2016
+21,923
2017
+25,282
2018
+17,902
2019
+16,645
2021
+2,168
2022
−14,326
2023
−15,996
2024
−1,044
2025
−644
Spanning from the state capital through the San Joaquin Valley, this media market blends Sacramento's government-worker electorate with Stockton and Modesto's majority-minority, working-class communities, producing notably mixed turnout patterns across its counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 4,701,802, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,353 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Los Angeles and San Diego.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/862/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Democratic by 5.7 points (D+5.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,974,962 votes cast, 1,013,111 went Democratic and 900,459 went Republican.
When did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California has a population of 4,701,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California is $93,353 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.
