Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+9.8
vs
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 4.1 points more Republican than the rolls.
2,639,756 registered voters · 2024 · up from 2,611,258 in 2022
Domestic migration in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,191
2012
−3,301
2013
−2,262
2014
+13,832
2015
+16,288
2016
+21,923
2017
+25,282
2018
+17,902
2019
+16,645
2021
+2,168
2022
−14,326
2023
−15,996
2024
−1,044
2025
−644
Spanning from the state capital through the San Joaquin Valley, this media market blends Sacramento's government-worker electorate with Stockton and Modesto's majority-minority, working-class communities, producing notably mixed turnout patterns across its counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.
A population of 4,701,802, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,353 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Los Angeles and San Diego.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/862/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Democratic by 5.7 points (D+5.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,974,962 votes cast, 1,013,111 went Democratic and 900,459 went Republican.
When did Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California has a population of 4,701,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Median household income in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California is $93,353 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.
