Fort Irwin, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +0.3% |
| 2008 | +16.8% |
| 2012 | +7.8% |
| 2016 | +2.7% |
| 2020 | +9.8% |
| 2024 | +2.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 49.9%Harris171 | 46.9%Trump161 | 3.2% | D+2.9 | R+6.9 | D+4.4 | 343 | |
| D | 51.2%Biden276 | 41.4%Trump223 | 7.4% | D+9.8 | D+7.1 | D+5.4 | 539 | |
| D | 45.0%Clinton166 | 42.3%Trump156 | 12.7% | D+2.7 | R+5.1 | D+0.6 | 369 | |
| D | 52.5%Obama115 | 44.7%Romney98 | 2.7% | D+7.8 | R+9.1 | D+3.9 | 219 | |
| D | 57.3%Obama221 | 40.4%McCain156 | 2.3% | D+16.8 | D+16.5 | D+9.6 | 386 | |
| D | 48.6%Kerry162 | 48.3%Bush161 | 3.0% | D+0.3 | — | D+2.8 | 333 |
Fort Irwin is a Census-designated place whose population is almost entirely active-duty soldiers and their families, producing unusually low electoral participation rates and near-complete demographic turnover as units rotate in and out.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.8 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.9 points.
A population of 8,419, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,107 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of North Fort Lewis and Fort Hood.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Fort Irwin, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0625114/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.