Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic43.6%536TrumpRepublican53.3%655OtherAll other candidates3.0%37
R+9.7
Lead
119
Total
1,228
vs nation
R+8.2
BidenDemocratic42.0%575TrumpRepublican55.1%754OtherAll other candidates2.9%40
R+13.1
Lead
179
Total
1,369
vs nation
R+17.5
ClintonDemocratic35.0%398TrumpRepublican59.9%680OtherAll other candidates5.1%58
R+24.8
Lead
282
Total
1,136
vs nation
R+26.9
ObamaDemocratic41.2%393RomneyRepublican56.2%536OtherAll other candidates2.6%25
R+15.0
Lead
143
Total
954
vs nation
R+18.8
ObamaDemocratic41.6%510McCainRepublican54.2%664OtherAll other candidates4.2%51
R+12.6
Lead
154
Total
1,225
vs nation
R+19.8
KerryDemocratic33.0%380BushRepublican58.1%668OtherAll other candidates8.9%102
R+25.0
Lead
288
Total
1,150
vs nation
R+22.6
ClintonDemocratic46.0%204DoleRepublican41.1%182OtherAll other candidates12.9%57
D+5.0
Lead
22
Total
443
vs nation
R+3.6
ClintonDemocratic47.0%198BushRepublican27.8%117OtherAll other candidates25.2%106
D+19.2
Lead
81
Total
421
vs nation
D+13.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+9.7MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6892024 5-year
Population density
79 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
33.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$45,3232024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
65.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
27.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+19.2 in 1992MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+25.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
57.6%1,228 participants ÷ 2,131 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+25.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
32.4%–43.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
44.3%
35.0%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,228
2,131 ± 320
57.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
768
2,192 ± 299
35.0%
Audited
E/D
1,369
2,273 ± 328
60.2%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,034
2,334 ± 313
44.3%
Audited
E/D
1,141
2,428 ± 281
47.0%
Audited
E/D
954
2,674
35.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Homestead Valley, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
47.0%
198 votes · D+19.2
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 46.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
59.9%
680 votes · R+24.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 58.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
575votes
42.0% of the vote · R+13.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 536 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
754votes
55.1% of the vote · R+13.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 680 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
+13.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+19.2 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −3.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+26.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · +22.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Homestead Valley · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Bernardino County, California, the county containing Homestead Valley — Homestead Valley’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Homestead Valley, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Homestead Valley sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.2 points in 1992 and a Republican high of 25.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.7 points.
A population of 2,689, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,323 describe the city.
How did Homestead Valley, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Homestead Valley, California voted Republican by 9.7 points (R+9.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,228 votes cast, 536 went Democratic and 655 went Republican.
When did Homestead Valley, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Homestead Valley, California voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Homestead Valley, California?
Homestead Valley, California has a population of 2,689 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Homestead Valley, California?
Median household income in Homestead Valley, California is $45,323 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Homestead Valley, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Homestead Valley, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
