Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic45.2%424TrumpRepublican52.1%489OtherAll other candidates2.7%25
R+6.9
Lead
65
Total
938
vs nation
R+5.5
BidenDemocratic57.8%626TrumpRepublican39.8%431OtherAll other candidates2.4%26
D+18.0
Lead
195
Total
1,083
vs nation
D+13.5
ClintonDemocratic51.3%494TrumpRepublican43.5%419OtherAll other candidates5.2%50
D+7.8
Lead
75
Total
963
vs nation
D+5.7
ObamaDemocratic51.9%389RomneyRepublican45.6%342OtherAll other candidates2.5%19
D+6.3
Lead
47
Total
750
vs nation
D+2.4
ObamaDemocratic48.0%351McCainRepublican50.5%370OtherAll other candidates1.5%11
R+2.6
Lead
19
Total
732
vs nation
R+9.9
KerryDemocratic37.7%255BushRepublican60.7%411OtherAll other candidates1.6%11
R+23.0
Lead
156
Total
677
vs nation
R+20.6
ClintonDemocratic47.8%309DoleRepublican42.0%271OtherAll other candidates10.2%66
D+5.9
Lead
38
Total
646
vs nation
R+2.6
ClintonDemocratic38.9%247BushRepublican37.8%240OtherAll other candidates23.3%148
D+1.1
Lead
7
Total
635
vs nation
R+4.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+6.9MIT Election Lab
Population
4,6292024 5-year
Population density
3,561 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$52,1792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
7.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
90.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+23.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
44.6%944 participants ÷ 2,116 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+21.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
22.8%–24.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
40.0%
32.3%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
944
2,116 ± 433
44.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
686
2,125 ± 456
32.3%
Audited
E/D
1,092
2,018 ± 383
54.1%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
859
2,150 ± 356
40.0%
Audited
E/D
993
1,690 ± 311
58.8%
Audited
E/D
750
1,742
43.1%
Derived
—
732
1,620
45.2%
Derived
—
677
1,498 extrapolated
45.2%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Ivanhoe, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
57.8%
626 votes · D+18.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 51.9%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
60.7%
411 votes · R+23.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 52.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
626votes
57.8% of the vote · D+18.0
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 494 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
489votes
52.1% of the vote · R+6.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 431 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+13.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+18.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +5.7 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+20.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +9.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Ivanhoe · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Tulare County, California, the county containing Ivanhoe — Ivanhoe’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Ivanhoe, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Ivanhoe sits in Tulare County's agricultural corridor, where a predominantly Latino, working-class population has historically produced low voter-registration rates relative to its overall headcount.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 23.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 24.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.9 points.
A population of 4,629, a 8% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,179 describe the city.
In 2024, Ivanhoe, California voted Republican by 6.9 points (R+6.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 938 votes cast, 424 went Democratic and 489 went Republican.
When did Ivanhoe, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ivanhoe, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Ivanhoe, California?
Ivanhoe, California has a population of 4,629 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ivanhoe, California?
Median household income in Ivanhoe, California is $52,179 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Ivanhoe, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Ivanhoe, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
