Lucerne Valley, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −39.8% |
| 2008 | −26.1% |
| 2012 | −33.2% |
| 2016 | −39.1% |
| 2020 | −43.6% |
| 2024 | −45.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.0%Harris492 | 71.3%Trump1,350 | 2.7% | R+45.3 | R+1.7 | R+43.8 | 1,894 | |
| R | 27.4%Biden588 | 71.0%Trump1,522 | 1.6% | R+43.6 | R+4.5 | R+48.0 | 2,144 | |
| R | 27.6%Clinton503 | 66.6%Trump1,216 | 5.8% | R+39.1 | R+5.9 | R+41.2 | 1,825 | |
| R | 32.1%Obama544 | 65.3%Romney1,107 | 2.7% | R+33.2 | R+7.1 | R+37.1 | 1,696 | |
| R | 35.4%Obama627 | 61.4%McCain1,089 | 3.2% | R+26.1 | D+13.8 | R+33.3 | 1,773 | |
| R | 28.0%Kerry462 | 67.8%Bush1,119 | 4.2% | R+39.8 | — | R+37.4 | 1,650 |
Lucerne Valley sits in San Bernardino County's Mojave Desert fringe, where sparse density and a largely working-class, non-college population produce voting patterns that swing more sharply than coastal California norms.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 45.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.3 points.
A population of 5,957, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,788 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brady and Cherry Valley.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Lucerne Valley, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0644420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.