Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic54.4%1,357TrumpRepublican41.5%1,036OtherAll other candidates4.0%101
D+12.9
Lead
321
Total
2,494
vs nation
D+14.3
BidenDemocratic59.7%1,638TrumpRepublican37.8%1,036OtherAll other candidates2.5%69
D+21.9
Lead
602
Total
2,743
vs nation
D+17.5
ClintonDemocratic57.8%1,303TrumpRepublican36.2%815OtherAll other candidates6.0%136
D+21.7
Lead
488
Total
2,254
vs nation
D+19.6
ObamaDemocratic56.6%1,216RomneyRepublican40.9%880OtherAll other candidates2.5%53
D+15.6
Lead
336
Total
2,149
vs nation
D+11.8
ObamaDemocratic56.6%1,323McCainRepublican43.0%1,005OtherAll other candidates0.5%11
D+13.6
Lead
318
Total
2,339
vs nation
D+6.3
KerryDemocratic48.9%1,167BushRepublican49.3%1,177OtherAll other candidates1.8%44
R+0.4
Lead
10
Total
2,388
vs nation
D+2.0
ClintonDemocratic44.4%830DoleRepublican45.9%858OtherAll other candidates9.8%183
R+1.5
Lead
28
Total
1,871
vs nation
R+10.0
ClintonDemocratic36.7%731BushRepublican44.8%893OtherAll other candidates18.6%370
R+8.1
Lead
162
Total
1,994
vs nation
R+13.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+12.9MIT Election Lab
Population
4,9502024 5-year
Population density
7,071 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$105,2422024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
22.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
36.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+21.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+8.1 in 1992MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
69.5%2,547 participants ÷ 3,664 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+24.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
45.0%–52.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
50.5%
41.0%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,547
3,664 ± 377
69.5%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,583
3,860 ± 418
41.0%
Audited
E/D
2,743
4,184 ± 434
65.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,011
3,979 ± 342
50.5%
Audited
E/A
2,346
3,856 ± 350
60.8%
Audited
E/A
2,149
3,879
55.4%
Derived
—
2,339
3,827
61.1%
Derived
—
2,388
3,775 extrapolated
63.3%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Mayflower Village, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
59.7%
1,638 votes · D+21.9
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 57.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
49.3%
1,177 votes · R+0.4
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · 45.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,638votes
59.7% of the vote · D+21.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,357 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
1,177votes
49.3% of the vote · R+0.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,036 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+19.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +17.5 pts
Republican
George H. W. Bush1992
+13.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+8.1 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +10.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mayflower Village · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Los Angeles County, California, the county containing Mayflower Village — Mayflower Village’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Mayflower Village, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Mayflower Village sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.9 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 8.1 points in 1992. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.9 points.
A population of 4,950, a 22% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,242 describe the city.
How did Mayflower Village, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Mayflower Village, California voted Democratic by 12.9 points (D+12.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,494 votes cast, 1,357 went Democratic and 1,036 went Republican.
When did Mayflower Village, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Mayflower Village, California voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Mayflower Village, California?
Mayflower Village, California has a population of 4,950 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mayflower Village, California?
Median household income in Mayflower Village, California is $105,242 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Mayflower Village, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Mayflower Village, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
