Phelan, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −49.3% |
| 2008 | −35.3% |
| 2012 | −37.9% |
| 2016 | −43.8% |
| 2020 | −39.4% |
| 2024 | −43.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26.9%Harris1,430 | 70.6%Trump3,753 | 2.5% | R+43.7 | R+4.2 | R+42.2 | 5,318 | |
| R | 29.0%Biden1,706 | 68.5%Trump4,025 | 2.5% | R+39.4 | D+4.4 | R+43.9 | 5,880 | |
| R | 25.5%Clinton1,274 | 69.3%Trump3,465 | 5.3% | R+43.8 | R+5.9 | R+45.9 | 5,002 | |
| R | 29.7%Obama1,389 | 67.6%Romney3,162 | 2.7% | R+37.9 | R+2.6 | R+41.8 | 4,675 | |
| R | 31.4%Obama1,482 | 66.7%McCain3,148 | 1.9% | R+35.3 | D+14.0 | R+42.6 | 4,718 | |
| R | 23.4%Kerry1,057 | 72.7%Bush3,281 | 3.9% | R+49.3 | — | R+46.8 | 4,514 |
Phelan sits in San Bernardino County's Mojave Desert fringe, where rapid residential expansion has outpaced services — a pattern that shapes a voter base skeptical of government capacity while dependent on county resources.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.7 points.
A population of 18,496, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,914 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Artesia and Dalhart.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Phelan, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0656826/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.