Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic36.6%159TrumpRepublican62.4%271OtherAll other candidates0.9%4
R+25.8
Lead
112
Total
434
vs nation
R+24.3
BidenDemocratic56.1%225TrumpRepublican42.1%169OtherAll other candidates1.7%7
D+14.0
Lead
56
Total
401
vs nation
D+9.5
ClintonDemocratic62.5%233TrumpRepublican31.9%119OtherAll other candidates5.6%21
D+30.6
Lead
114
Total
373
vs nation
D+28.5
ObamaDemocratic56.8%163RomneyRepublican40.8%117OtherAll other candidates2.4%7
D+16.0
Lead
46
Total
287
vs nation
D+12.2
ObamaDemocratic38.7%108McCainRepublican58.8%164OtherAll other candidates2.5%7
R+20.1
Lead
56
Total
279
vs nation
R+27.3
KerryDemocratic31.1%82BushRepublican66.7%176OtherAll other candidates2.3%6
R+35.6
Lead
94
Total
264
vs nation
R+33.1
ClintonDemocratic43.6%142DoleRepublican46.3%151OtherAll other candidates10.1%33
R+2.8
Lead
9
Total
326
vs nation
R+11.3
ClintonDemocratic38.7%126BushRepublican38.0%124OtherAll other candidates23.3%76
D+0.6
Lead
2
Total
326
vs nation
R+4.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+25.8MIT Election Lab
Population
2,8512024 5-year
Population density
1,677 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$45,2432024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
6.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
93.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+30.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+35.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
42.2%435 participants ÷ 1,032 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
20.1%–28.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
35.4%
24.5%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
435
1,032 ± 225
42.2%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
252
1,027 ± 233
24.5%
Audited
E/D
402
863 ± 208
46.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
341
963 ± 164
35.4%
Audited
E/D
378
910 ± 167
41.5%
Audited
E/D
287
608
47.2%
Derived
—
279
583
47.9%
Derived
—
264
558 extrapolated
47.3%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Tipton, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
62.5%
233 votes · D+30.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 56.8%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.7%
176 votes · R+35.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 62.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
233votes
62.5% of the vote · D+30.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 225 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
271votes
62.4% of the vote · R+25.8
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 176 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+28.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.6 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +12.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+33.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +27.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Tipton · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Tulare County, California, the county containing Tipton — Tipton’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Tipton, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Tipton sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.6 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 35.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 39.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.8 points.
A population of 2,851, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,243 describe the city.
In 2024, Tipton, California voted Republican by 25.8 points (R+25.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434 votes cast, 159 went Democratic and 271 went Republican.
When did Tipton, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tipton, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Tipton, California?
Tipton, California has a population of 2,851 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tipton, California?
Median household income in Tipton, California is $45,243 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Tipton, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Tipton, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
