† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTracyCaliforniaUnited States
Mexican35.4%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran1.0%2.0%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Spanish0.7%0.3%—
Guatemalan0.6%1.3%0.5%
Spaniard0.4%0.3%—
Nicaraguan0.3%0.3%—
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
German6.8%6.8%12.5%
English5.4%6.3%9.5%
Irish5.0%5.9%9.4%
Italian3.9%3.4%4.8%
Portuguese2.2%——
American1.9%2.8%5.3%
French1.0%1.3%1.6%
Scottish1.0%0.9%1.3%
Filipino7.0%3.3%0.9%
Asian Indian6.2%2.3%1.4%
Cambodian2.2%——
Chinese1.6%3.9%1.3%
Pakistani1.4%——
Vietnamese1.3%1.7%0.6%
Hmong1.0%0.3%—
Laotian0.4%——
African American†5.4%4.4%9.9%
African0.8%0.3%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Aztec6.0%0.3%—
Samoan3.0%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Tracy
California
United States
Median age
35.6
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
11.4%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Tracy
California
United States
Median household income
$121,119
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.8%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.5%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Tracy
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
44.2%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
22.7%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
11.6%
3.4%
2.0%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
3.0%
2.1%
0.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
3.1%
2.0%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Tracy
California
United States
Catholic
—
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Tracy, California
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+4.2%
2008
+22.7%
2012
+25.1%
2016
+26.5%
2020
+26.6%
2024
+9.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
53.0%Harris18,264
43.2%Trump14,873
3.8%
D+9.8
R+16.7
D+11.3
34,443
D
62.2%Biden24,295
35.6%Trump13,924
2.2%
D+26.6
D+0.1
D+22.1
39,060
D
60.4%Clinton17,127
33.9%Trump9,621
5.7%
D+26.5
D+1.4
D+24.4
28,378
D
61.3%Obama15,379
36.2%Romney9,082
2.5%
D+25.1
D+2.4
D+21.2
25,093
D
61.2%Obama15,200
38.5%McCain9,563
0.4%
D+22.7
D+18.5
D+15.4
24,856
D
51.9%Kerry11,869
47.7%Bush10,906
0.4%
D+4.2
—
D+6.7
22,868
Tracy has absorbed waves of Bay Area transplants priced out of coastal markets, pushing its population past 90,000 and shifting a historically agricultural voting base toward the competitive margins common in inland commuter suburbs.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.6 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 16.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.8 points.
A population of 96,966, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $121,119 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stockton and Lathrop.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Tracy, California voted Democratic by 9.8 points (D+9.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 34,443 votes cast, 18,264 went Democratic and 14,873 went Republican.
How many people live in Tracy, California?
Tracy, California has a population of 96,966 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tracy, California?
Median household income in Tracy, California is $121,119 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Tracy, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Tracy, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
