Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic50.9%510TrumpRepublican46.2%463OtherAll other candidates2.9%29
D+4.7
Lead
47
Total
1,002
vs nation
D+6.2
BidenDemocratic64.8%710TrumpRepublican32.6%357OtherAll other candidates2.6%29
D+32.2
Lead
353
Total
1,096
vs nation
D+27.8
ClintonDemocratic64.5%520TrumpRepublican26.7%215OtherAll other candidates8.8%71
D+37.8
Lead
305
Total
806
vs nation
D+35.8
ObamaDemocratic57.3%394RomneyRepublican40.3%277OtherAll other candidates2.5%17
D+17.0
Lead
117
Total
688
vs nation
D+13.2
ObamaDemocratic57.8%411McCainRepublican41.2%293OtherAll other candidates1.0%7
D+16.6
Lead
118
Total
711
vs nation
D+9.3
KerryDemocratic49.4%359BushRepublican46.7%339OtherAll other candidates3.9%28
D+2.8
Lead
20
Total
726
vs nation
D+5.2
ClintonDemocratic51.1%179DoleRepublican39.1%137OtherAll other candidates9.7%34
D+12.0
Lead
42
Total
350
vs nation
D+3.5
ClintonDemocratic51.4%163BushRepublican30.0%95OtherAll other candidates18.6%59
D+21.5
Lead
68
Total
317
vs nation
D+15.9
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+4.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2912024 5-year
Population density
1,266 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$135,9172024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
28.1%2024 5-year
Black
3.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
58.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37.8 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
51.4%1,018 participants ÷ 1,981 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+22.5 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
28.9%–34.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
39.9%
30.7%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,018
1,981 ± 361
51.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
632
2,060 ± 357
30.7%
Audited
E/D
1,096
2,061 ± 348
53.2%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
722
1,809 ± 164
39.9%
Audited
E/A
833
1,598 ± 173
52.1%
Audited
E/D
688
1,140
60.4%
Derived
—
711
808
88.0%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Val Verde, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
64.8%
710 votes · D+32.2
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 64.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
46.7%
339 votes · D+2.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 46.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
710votes
64.8% of the vote · D+32.2
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 520 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
463votes
46.2% of the vote · D+4.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 357 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+35.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.8 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +27.8 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
−3.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+12.0 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −5.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Val Verde · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Los Angeles County, California, the county containing Val Verde — Val Verde’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Val Verde, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Val Verde is a census-designated place in Los Angeles County with a predominantly Latino population, sitting outside city limits in a region where unincorporated communities often see lower voter registration and turnout than neighboring incorporated cities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 27.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.7 points.
A population of 3,291, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $135,917 describe the city.
In 2024, Val Verde, California voted Democratic by 4.7 points (D+4.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,002 votes cast, 510 went Democratic and 463 went Republican.
How many people live in Val Verde, California?
Val Verde, California has a population of 3,291 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Val Verde, California?
Median household income in Val Verde, California is $135,917 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Val Verde, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Val Verde, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
