Hartford, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +79.9% |
| 2008 | +83.8% |
| 2012 | +85.8% |
| 2016 | +82.7% |
| 2020 | +74.0% |
| 2024 | +64.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 81.8%Harris23,418 | 17.1%Trump4,884 | 1.2% | D+64.7 | R+9.3 | D+66.2 | 28,634 | |
| D | 86.6%Biden28,301 | 12.6%Trump4,116 | 0.8% | D+74.0 | R+8.7 | D+69.5 | 32,687 | |
| D | 90.2%Clinton30,375 | 7.5%Trump2,531 | 2.3% | D+82.7 | R+3.1 | D+80.6 | 33,667 | |
| D | 92.3%Obama30,352 | 6.5%Romney2,134 | 1.2% | D+85.8 | D+2.0 | D+82.0 | 32,873 | |
| D | 91.6%Obama31,741 | 7.8%McCain2,686 | 0.7% | D+83.8 | D+3.9 | D+76.6 | 34,657 | |
| D | 89.6%Kerry27,144 | 9.6%Bush2,925 | 0.8% | D+79.9 | — | D+82.4 | 30,311 |
Hartford's majority-minority electorate and dense urban core make it one of Connecticut's highest-leverage cities in close statewide races, with Democratic margins routinely exceeding 80 points in presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.7 points.
A population of 121,127, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,411 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of New Haven and Trenton.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Hartford, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0937000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.