New Haven, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +70.0% |
| 2008 | +76.3% |
| 2012 | +79.0% |
| 2016 | +75.3% |
| 2020 | +69.8% |
| 2024 | +63.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 80.6%Harris30,662 | 17.4%Trump6,626 | 2.0% | D+63.2 | R+6.6 | D+64.6 | 38,047 | |
| D | 84.4%Biden35,521 | 14.6%Trump6,146 | 1.0% | D+69.8 | R+5.5 | D+65.3 | 42,102 | |
| D | 86.2%Clinton35,933 | 10.9%Trump4,540 | 2.9% | D+75.3 | R+3.7 | D+73.2 | 41,688 | |
| D | 89.0%Obama40,789 | 10.0%Romney4,579 | 1.0% | D+79.0 | D+2.7 | D+75.1 | 45,848 | |
| D | 87.7%Obama39,112 | 11.4%McCain5,098 | 0.9% | D+76.3 | D+6.2 | D+69.0 | 44,603 | |
| D | 84.1%Kerry33,319 | 14.1%Bush5,570 | 1.8% | D+70.0 | — | D+72.5 | 39,620 |
New Haven's electorate blends a large university population with long-established Black and Latino communities, producing some of Connecticut's highest Democratic margins while the city's poverty rate remains among the state's most elevated.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.0 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.2 points.
A population of 134,349, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,851 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hartford and Rochester.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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New Haven, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0952000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.