Waterbury, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +14.8% |
| 2008 | +27.2% |
| 2012 | +30.5% |
| 2016 | +20.9% |
| 2020 | +20.5% |
| 2024 | +10.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 54.8%Harris18,328 | 44.0%Trump14,723 | 1.1% | D+10.8 | R+9.8 | D+12.3 | 33,433 | |
| D | 59.7%Biden21,573 | 39.2%Trump14,157 | 1.0% | D+20.5 | R+0.3 | D+16.1 | 36,107 | |
| D | 58.9%Clinton19,870 | 38.1%Trump12,837 | 3.0% | D+20.9 | R+9.6 | D+18.8 | 33,719 | |
| D | 64.7%Obama21,618 | 34.2%Romney11,431 | 1.0% | D+30.5 | D+3.3 | D+26.6 | 33,399 | |
| D | 62.8%Obama22,599 | 35.6%McCain12,821 | 1.5% | D+27.2 | D+12.4 | D+19.9 | 35,975 | |
| D | 56.5%Kerry19,263 | 41.7%Bush14,214 | 1.9% | D+14.8 | — | D+17.3 | 34,117 |
Waterbury's population skews younger and more Latino than Connecticut's statewide average, a demographic shift reshaping turnout patterns in a city that has trended Democratic in recent cycles by double-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.8 points.
A population of 114,869, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,886 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Meriden and West Haven.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Waterbury, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0980000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.